The time has finally come to officially kick off my weekly and somewhat whimsical series on Spartan Football, the broader college football landscape, math, and a dash of potentially dubious betting advice.
For those who may not be familiar, I have been using my algorithm and simulation methodology for several years now to analyze the football season. Over the years, I derived a couple of methods to find perhaps a few angles when it comes to betting.
As a general rule, I think that my upset bets are the most accurate and potentially lucrative. My recommended bets against the spread are very good over a 7-year span, but the last few years the hit rate has been a bit under .500. I recently added point total bets, but the results there have been extremely mixed. Two years ago, those picks were awesome. Last year they were terrible. I am not sure how this year will go.
I do not actually bet on sports myself, so I do recommend caution. I do this for the pure entertainment value only. But if you see a few things here that support some ideas you already have, let me provide a bit of confirmation bias.
As always, enjoy!
michiganstate.rivals.com
For those who may not be familiar, I have been using my algorithm and simulation methodology for several years now to analyze the football season. Over the years, I derived a couple of methods to find perhaps a few angles when it comes to betting.
As a general rule, I think that my upset bets are the most accurate and potentially lucrative. My recommended bets against the spread are very good over a 7-year span, but the last few years the hit rate has been a bit under .500. I recently added point total bets, but the results there have been extremely mixed. Two years ago, those picks were awesome. Last year they were terrible. I am not sure how this year will go.
I do not actually bet on sports myself, so I do recommend caution. I do this for the pure entertainment value only. But if you see a few things here that support some ideas you already have, let me provide a bit of confirmation bias.
As always, enjoy!
Spartans Illustrated - Dr. Green and White Bad Betting Advice, Week One: Who?
As the Spartans gear up to face a parliament of nocturnal birds of prey, we all have a lot of questions.
michiganstate.rivals.com
