Based on Wednesday night's Big Ten action and the lines for Thursday's games, here is the updated Big Ten Tournament seeding odds. MSU can still get the No. 4 seed (with help) but the No. 7 seed is now 50-50.
Here is a table & figure that summarizes how MSU's odds change based on the results of the OSU/MSU game and Iowa/UofM game. If MSU wins, the No. 6 seed is most likely. If MSU loses, only the No. 7 and No. 8 seeds are in play. Iowa needs to lose for the No. 4 seed to be in play.
For reference, here is the same analysis for Michigan. If UofM beats Iowa, the No. 5 or No. 6 seed is most likely. If Iowa wins, Michigan looks headed for the No. 8 seed and the result of the MSU/OSU game does not matter.
Here is a table & figure that summarizes how MSU's odds change based on the results of the OSU/MSU game and Iowa/UofM game. If MSU wins, the No. 6 seed is most likely. If MSU loses, only the No. 7 and No. 8 seeds are in play. Iowa needs to lose for the No. 4 seed to be in play.
For reference, here is the same analysis for Michigan. If UofM beats Iowa, the No. 5 or No. 6 seed is most likely. If Iowa wins, Michigan looks headed for the No. 8 seed and the result of the MSU/OSU game does not matter.
