With the loss last night in Ann Arbor, last night, there are now only four scenarios left for MSU. This chart and table below summarize the odds for MSU to earn each BTT seed, depending on the scenario. The No. 7 seed is most likely.
Note that the best-case scenario is the No. 4 seed. MSU needs to win out. Rutgers needs to lose one game and Iowa needs to lose out. Rutgers plays at Indiana tonight and hosts Penn State on Sunday. Iowa is at Michigan on Thursday at Illinois on Sunday. So, in order for MSU to have any shot at the No. 4 seed, Michigan needs to beat Iowa. That is not ideal.
Tonight's Indiana / Rutgers game also will have a noticeable impact on MSU's seed. The Figure below gives the details.
Basically, a Rutgers win hurts MSU's chances of a top five seed and pushes the odds for the No. 7 seed to 50-50.
As the games play out, I will continue to crunch the numbers.
Note that the best-case scenario is the No. 4 seed. MSU needs to win out. Rutgers needs to lose one game and Iowa needs to lose out. Rutgers plays at Indiana tonight and hosts Penn State on Sunday. Iowa is at Michigan on Thursday at Illinois on Sunday. So, in order for MSU to have any shot at the No. 4 seed, Michigan needs to beat Iowa. That is not ideal.
Tonight's Indiana / Rutgers game also will have a noticeable impact on MSU's seed. The Figure below gives the details.
Basically, a Rutgers win hurts MSU's chances of a top five seed and pushes the odds for the No. 7 seed to 50-50.
As the games play out, I will continue to crunch the numbers.
