MEN'S BASKETBALL Dr. G&W's super quick odds update (02/02, post Maryland)

[Dr. Green and White]

Here is a tweet of mine with the updated data:



The key numbers are:

• MSU's expected win total is now at 13.9
• The odds to finish at 15-5 or better are 36% (which gives MSU a 50/50 shot at the title)
• The odds to finish at 16-4 or better are 15% (which gives MSU a >90% shot at the title)
• Overall, MSU title odds at at 28%, which is tied with Illinois, but behind Purdue at 49%
• MSU still projects as the No. 3 seed in the BTT and the odds for a double bye are 73%
• As for tonight, a Minnesota upset of Purdue would boost MSU's odds to 33%
• The results of the Illinois / Wisconsin game will affect those two teams a lot, but the impact on MSU's odds are minimal.
• Wisconsin's remaining schedule is a little easier than Illinois' schedule, so if you want a tie-breaker, that is it... Go Badgers?

I will plan a full update on Friday.

 

[Dr. Green and White]

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