Let me try something here. I sent out a tweet with all of the updated data:
I am not sure if everyone can read this, but here is the bottom line(s)
-MSU's expected win total in down to 12.7 with a 13% chance of 15 wins (or more) and a 32% chance of 14 or more. Regular season title odds are now at 20%.
-MSU now has about 66% chance to earn a double bye and projects as the No. 3 or No. 4 seed. Odds to win the BTT are now 12%.
-MSU projects to be favored in 8 of the remaining 11 games, but "expected" to win only 6.7. *If* MSU can win 9 and finish at 15-4, the odds to win the Big Ten are about 82%.
-With the Wisconsin and Illinois games both finished, MSU's remaining schedule strength is now in the middle of the conference (7th hardest).
I will wait until Friday for the full update.
If anyone really wants to see the figures, let me know, and I can drop them in.
I am not sure if everyone can read this, but here is the bottom line(s)
-MSU's expected win total in down to 12.7 with a 13% chance of 15 wins (or more) and a 32% chance of 14 or more. Regular season title odds are now at 20%.
-MSU now has about 66% chance to earn a double bye and projects as the No. 3 or No. 4 seed. Odds to win the BTT are now 12%.
-MSU projects to be favored in 8 of the remaining 11 games, but "expected" to win only 6.7. *If* MSU can win 9 and finish at 15-4, the odds to win the Big Ten are about 82%.
-With the Wisconsin and Illinois games both finished, MSU's remaining schedule strength is now in the middle of the conference (7th hardest).
I will wait until Friday for the full update.
If anyone really wants to see the figures, let me know, and I can drop them in.
