So that was a bit painful. I think that everyone can and has agreed that in the current situation, MSU is still a very good team, but one with a small margin for error. When you score ZERO points in the final 4 minutes of a road game, you are likely not going to win. Plus, as other have pointed out, this team has not been great in close games down the stretch. MSU needs to learn how to win on the last possessions of a game. I would rather lose today and perhaps learn a lesson than to face the same situation in the round of 32 and choke. Actually, I would rather that they learn that lesson today and win... but what can you do?
Anyway, where does MSU stand now in the B1G race? Well, here are the up-to-the minutes stats:
Odds to win or share the B1G title:
Purdue: 87%
MSU: 39%
Michigan: 13%
In more detail, we have:
Purdue solo title: 52%
MSU/Purdue tie: 28%
MSU solo: 10% (note: this is higher than zero!)
UofM / Purdue tie: 10%
All other scenarios: <4%
Incidentally, Purdue is currently blowing out OSU, so that would push the odds of a Purdue title (win or share) to 93% and drop MSU's to 32%.
So, the race is not over, but today was a game MSU needed to win. You just cannot lose to a bad team twice. Purdue, for all of their faults, has not done that this year. MSU has 3 times in conference play. So, that's where we are.
Anyway, where does MSU stand now in the B1G race? Well, here are the up-to-the minutes stats:
Odds to win or share the B1G title:
Purdue: 87%
MSU: 39%
Michigan: 13%
In more detail, we have:
Purdue solo title: 52%
MSU/Purdue tie: 28%
MSU solo: 10% (note: this is higher than zero!)
UofM / Purdue tie: 10%
All other scenarios: <4%
Incidentally, Purdue is currently blowing out OSU, so that would push the odds of a Purdue title (win or share) to 93% and drop MSU's to 32%.
So, the race is not over, but today was a game MSU needed to win. You just cannot lose to a bad team twice. Purdue, for all of their faults, has not done that this year. MSU has 3 times in conference play. So, that's where we are.
