I recently subscribed to Kenpom's site and got access to some really interesting historical data. I crunched some numbers comparing the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency numbers of the past 16 National Title winners using pre-tournament data. I then compared that to the current Kenpom Top 40. Here is what that looks like:
If these numbers hold until early March, I only see 7 teams that are currently in the region of the graph of the graph where the past 16 champs are located:
Virginia
Cincinnati
Texas Tech
Tennessee
MSU
Purdue
Clemson
Note that there are several teams that are close, including Miami, Michigan, and Ohio State. It will be interesting to see how these numbers change in the coming weeks, and eventually if the trend holds.
If these numbers hold until early March, I only see 7 teams that are currently in the region of the graph of the graph where the past 16 champs are located:
Virginia
Cincinnati
Texas Tech
Tennessee
MSU
Purdue
Clemson
Note that there are several teams that are close, including Miami, Michigan, and Ohio State. It will be interesting to see how these numbers change in the coming weeks, and eventually if the trend holds.