It was kind of tricky to decide when to update this table this week, since there were games every day. So, how about Saturday morning? Here is the projected Big Ten win table, once again based on Kenpom's victory probabilities:
And, here are the odds to win (or tie for) first place:
MSU's position seems to be strengthening a bit more, as we now have almost an 0.8 game advantage in expected wins (the sum of the probabilities to win all remaining games plus the current win total). Also, MSU now has a 70% chance to at least share the B1G Title, assuming they can continue at the same current pace of performance. Michigan is slipping a little, but it still by far the biggest threat.
Also of note is that the odds that a team will need 17 wins to claim the title is increasing. As for the also rans, Purdue and Maryland had good weeks on balance and are now both ahead of Wisconsin.
Enjoy!
And, here are the odds to win (or tie for) first place:
MSU's position seems to be strengthening a bit more, as we now have almost an 0.8 game advantage in expected wins (the sum of the probabilities to win all remaining games plus the current win total). Also, MSU now has a 70% chance to at least share the B1G Title, assuming they can continue at the same current pace of performance. Michigan is slipping a little, but it still by far the biggest threat.
Also of note is that the odds that a team will need 17 wins to claim the title is increasing. As for the also rans, Purdue and Maryland had good weeks on balance and are now both ahead of Wisconsin.
Enjoy!
