Regarding Xavier Tillman's shooting yesterday:
X was 2 for 11 for 2-pt baskets (18%) yesterday
For the year, X is 100 for 175 for 2-pt shots (57%)
Based on the binomial distribution, the odds of a 57% shooter going 2 for 11 or worse is almost exactly 1%.
Now, this analysis assumes that X is doing something like rolling a pair of dice and not shooting a basketball in front of hostile crowd. BUT, I think the general idea still holds. He had a highly anomalous shooting game yesterday. That is not likely to continue to be a problem.
My best guess: X has a touch of the flu / cold, just like Gabe and half of the other people that I know in Michigan right now.
MSU clearly needs to figure out the mental aspects of playing on the road. At some point, they need to get tired of losing and decide to do something about it. Focus still seems to be the #1 problem. But, we have all seen this exact same scenario play out almost every year for the past 25. More times than not, it works out OK. Enjoy the ride.
X was 2 for 11 for 2-pt baskets (18%) yesterday
For the year, X is 100 for 175 for 2-pt shots (57%)
Based on the binomial distribution, the odds of a 57% shooter going 2 for 11 or worse is almost exactly 1%.
Now, this analysis assumes that X is doing something like rolling a pair of dice and not shooting a basketball in front of hostile crowd. BUT, I think the general idea still holds. He had a highly anomalous shooting game yesterday. That is not likely to continue to be a problem.
My best guess: X has a touch of the flu / cold, just like Gabe and half of the other people that I know in Michigan right now.
MSU clearly needs to figure out the mental aspects of playing on the road. At some point, they need to get tired of losing and decide to do something about it. Focus still seems to be the #1 problem. But, we have all seen this exact same scenario play out almost every year for the past 25. More times than not, it works out OK. Enjoy the ride.
