I am just going to come out and say it directly. I don't expect that MSU is going to beat OSU this weekend, but I really think that this game is going to be A LOT closer than people think. I go through my thought process in a little more detail in the article, but my calculations tell me that this game should be much closer than the current spread of +25 or whatever it is now. That's a huge spread. That is like top five all time this century huge for MSU in Spartan Stadium. Yes, OSU should be favored, and yes, it is certainly possible that OSU wins by several touchdowns.
But in this case, I think that my math is telling me something that the "experts" are not seeing. MSU is a lot better than the Mel Tucker led teams of the last few years. I think that the line is heavily influenced by the teams MSU has fielded over the past few years and not the team or coaches there now. I could be wrong, but I have a strong feeling the MSU covers this weekend and that the game is within one possession going into the final quarter.
I guess we will see.
michiganstate.rivals.com
But in this case, I think that my math is telling me something that the "experts" are not seeing. MSU is a lot better than the Mel Tucker led teams of the last few years. I think that the line is heavily influenced by the teams MSU has fielded over the past few years and not the team or coaches there now. I could be wrong, but I have a strong feeling the MSU covers this weekend and that the game is within one possession going into the final quarter.
I guess we will see.
Dr. Green and White Bad Betting Advice, Week Five: Litmus Test
The results of this week's game vs. Ohio State could be an indicator of Michigan State's future under Jonathan Smith.
