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Important announcement, Nassar

There is a Nassar thread that is pinned to the top. All future Nassar posts should be added to this pinned thread. This allows for the very important updates, discussions and viewpoints to be expressed by anyone and everyone. It will be front and center of the pinned threads.

The Spartan Magazine staff want to encourage everyone to use this thread for all Nassar posts. Any posts made outside the locked thread will be removed and the poster will be informed to use the locked thread.

I will lock the current Nassar threads so we retain the history.

Thank you for your understanding

MEN'S BASKETBALL 68% shooting, inside the numbers

I went through the ESPN play-by-play box score of last night's game just to dig a little deeper into how MSU was able to put up such a gaudy number for FG%. If you break down all the MSU's shots by category, this is what you get:

Dunks: 10/10 (100%)
Lay-ups: 14/15 (93%)
3-point jumpers: 4/9 (44%)
2-point jumpers: 2/10 (20%)
Total: 30/44 (68%)

Going in, I knew that MSU scored a lot at the rim, but I had no idea it was this severe. MSU scored 48 points at point-blank range, 23 points from the FT line, and only 16 points on jumpers.

Honestly, I am not sure how I feel about these numbers. Certainly Illinois' style of play enabled the dunks and layups, but MSU only shot 6/19 (32%) when not right at the rim. Ironically, this seems a bit low, but it is hard to say as pretty much all shooting stats include some dunks and layups. At this point I will just declare this "interesting."

Also notable from the box score, it appears that 4 of Cash's 5 fouls were offensive fouls. I think both Langford and McQuad had one each as well. I personally hate the way that crew officiated this game. It reminded me of some of our traditional Duke games where the other team is allowed to clutch, grab, bump, reach in, etc.but as soon as the MSU dribbler make even minor contact, it's deemed a foul. I am not convinced many or maybe even any of those calls should have been made. Freedom of Movement my butt.

The Football 411: A rundown on today's news with commentary

The Football 411: On Haynes' hiring, Tressel's promotion and more

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LANSING - Michigan State head football coach Mark Dantonio announced the filling of one of the programs' three coaching vacancies, and the promotion of Mike Tressel to defensive coordiantor, after speaking at the annual Michigan High School Football Coaches Association Clinic, Friday.

Dantonio confirmed rumors that Paul Haynes is joining the staff as a defensive backs coach.Tressel's promotion to full defensive coordinator was expected.

Dantonio confirmed rumors that Paul Haynes is joining the staff as a defensive backs coach. Mike Tressel has been promoted to full defensive coordinator, as expected.

Tressel served as co-defensive coordinator with Harlon Barnett from 2015-17. Barnett left Michigan State to become defensive coordinator at Florida State earlier this month.

Barnett served as the defensive backs coach at Michigan State from 2007-17. His departure necessitated the need to hire a new DBs coach. Haynes proved to be an attractive fit.

Haynes served as defensive backs coach at Michigan State under John L. Smith from 2003-04. He left Michigan State to become defensive backs coach at Ohio State under Jim Tressel from 2005-10.

Dantonio never worked with Haynes at Michigan State or Ohio State. But Tressel’s recommendation, along with Dantonio’s observations of Haynes on the recruiting trail over the years, went a long way toward making Haynes the lead candidate to take over the primary role of defensive backs coach, once Haynes expressed interest.

“He’s coached here before so he’s got a Spartan background,” Dantonio said. “He’s been a secondary coach and co-defensive coordinator at Ohio State, coached on the highest level in the secondary.”

Haynes spent one year as co-defensive coordinator and safeties coach at Ohio State under interim head coach Luke Fickell in 2011.

He spent one year as defensive coordinator at Arkansas in 2012 under Smith.

Most recently, Haynes served as head coach at Kent State from 2013-17, compiling a record of 14-45.

“He’s been a head coach," Dantonio said. "I think that gives him a big-picture feel. I think he’s an excellent recruiter. He was a coordinator at Arkansas. I think that he’s a dynamic person.

“I’m very, very excited about Paul. He signed his contract. So, we’re very, very excited about that and he’ll start today.”

COMP’S TAKE: Haynes’ knowledge of the landscape at Michigan State drew him back to East Lansing, along with the strong reputation Dantonio has as a staff leader. Haynes has shared the building with Michigan State strength and conditioning coach Ken Mannie in the past, so the references didn’t end with Tressel.

When Haynes was at Michigan State in the early 2000s, Michigan State employed a cover-one/man-free system (single safety deep, man-to-man underneath). His Kent State team was predominantly a cover-one/man-free team last year.

Haynes won't have to change everything he does in order to fit MSU's scheme. Michigan State retained pressing quarters zone (cover four) as its base coverage in 2017, but the Spartans were much more varied with other coverages in 2017 than in any other season under Dantonio - including use of cover-one/man-free.

Under Barnett and Tressel, Michigan State played more cover-one/man-to-man in 2017 than in previous seasons, especially early in the year and in early downs. The Spartans also added cover-two (halves) in third-down passing situations as a surprise to opponents.

Last year, Michigan State became less predictable for opposing coaches and quarterbacks with its coverages behind blitzes. Prior to last year, MSU almost always played a three-deep (cover three) zone when blitzing. In 2017, Michigan State mixed in cover-one man-to-man behind blitzes, and occasionally played cover zero (no safety). Late in the year, MSU mixed in a 3-4 defense, with zone blitzes and defensive ends dropping into coverage.

Tressel and Dantonio will likely retain a pressing cover-four (quarters) as its primary base defense. Based on the success of 2017, the usage of more coverages will likely continue, with Haynes being a past practitioner of cover-one, man-to-man. In turn, Haynes will become briefed on the finer points of the Dantonio/Narduzzi/Barnett/Tressel quarters zone system that has served the program well.

As a recruiter, Haynes is well-known throughout Ohio from his days at Michigan State, then his days at Ohio State and as a head coach at Kent State.

He played high school football at Columbus St. Francis DeSales, a program Michigan State has recruited through the years.

Barnett was a strong recruiter in Cincinnati and southern Ohio for the Spartans. Haynes will likely work to fill that void.

When Haynes recruits in Ohio, he won’t have to introduce himself to any high school football coach in the state. They already know who he is.

TRESSEL 'HAS BEEN DEEPLY INVOLVED’

Tressel moves into the full coordinator position and will also remain the linebackers coach.

"We've had co-defensive coordinators before because I think that's what was warranted and I think they deserved that," Dantonio said. "Mike's done a tremendous job just as Harlon had. I think he'll do an outstanding job. He's been deeply, deeply involved in every aspect."

Tressel had relinquished the linebackers job in 2015 and ’16 in order to serve as a roving instructor while manning the co-coordinator position. However, Dantonio moved Tressel back to linebackers coach in 2017 and moved Snyder from linebackers coach to defensive ends coach. Those assignments worked well, as Michigan State had far fewer gap assignment errors in 2017.

"I think he's too good of a coach not to have him coaching our linebackers," Dantonio said.

**

Dantonio said he expects to have two more staff hires by next week. One hire will fill the new 10th assistant coaching slot. The other will fill the vacancy created when former defensive ends coach Mark Snyder left for Florida State to join Barnett’s staff.

"We're in the process on that and they're going to come one at a time,” Dantonio said. “I'm kind of hoping I get it done by mid-week. We're trying, but we want to make good decisions."

Dantonio wants to have his new staff out visiting recruits and schools for the final days of evaluation and visitation period prior to February’s late singing day.

“I’d like for them to be out on the recruiting trail for at least two weeks or one week to just sort of have a chance to introduce themselves to the high schools,” Dantonio said.

**

Dantonio indicated that the 10th assistant will share defensive back coaching duties with Haynes.

"I think that guy's going to be a special teams assistant, he's going to be a defensive back assistant," he said. "I want him to be the head coach of our freshmen and I want him to be a conduit to our offense in some regards."

Sources close to the situation told SpartanMag.com that Michigan State has spoken with Scott Booker and Amp Campbell about the vacancy.

Booker was safeties and special teams coach at Nebraska in 2017. From 2012-16, he was tight ends coach and special teams coordinator at Notre Dame. He was an offensive intern at Notre Dame from 2010-11.

With Dantonio seeking a defensive back assistant with special teams knowledge and also serve as “a conduit to our offense,” Booker would seem to fill each of those checkboxes.

Booker played defensive back for two years under Haynes in 1999-2000 when Haynes was DBs coach at Kent State.

PAULINO-BELL’S TRANSFER: ANOTHER HIT AT D-END

Dantonio confirmed rumors that redshirt freshman defensive end Lashawn Paulino-Bell is no longer with the team.

"Lashawn Paulino-Bell has decided to transfer,” Dantonio said. “So he'll be at a junior college this year. There's always going to be a little attrition."

Paulino-Bell and redshirt freshman Austin Andrews were suspended for separate incidents in December and didn’t travel with the team to the Holiday Bowl in San Diego.

Paulino-Bell was regarded as an important member of last year’s recruiting class as Michigan State sought to retool a thinned-out defensive end picture. Paulino-Bell, of Fort Lauderdale St. Thomas Aquinas, was a 5.6 three-star recruit, ranked the No. 45 weakside defensive end in the country by Rivals.com. Michigan State had to fight off increased recruiting pressure from SEC schools in order to preserve Paulino-Bell’s commitment at this time last year.

Paulino-Bell was injured in a watercraft accident last spring. The injuries carried over to the football field where he was not prepared to play as a true freshman in the fall.

Michigan State signed two defensive ends during the early signing period on Dec. 20 in Parks Gissinger of West Hills, Calif., and Zachary Slade of Lewis Center, Ohio.

Michigan State sought junior college d-end Jordan Allen, but he signed with Tennessee.

Michigan State signed three defensive ends last year in Paulino-Bell, Jacub Panasiuk and DeAri Todd. Panasiuk had a productive true freshman season but is more of a strong-side defensive end and possibly a part-time defensive tackle, and not a hoop-running edge threat.

Todd performed to positive reviews while redshirting but is also a boundary type of defensive end, if not a defensive tackle.

The program remains short on athletic rush end type defensive ends. Auston Robertson and Josh King were signed in 2016 to play the position. They were dismissed amid sexaul assualt allegations last year.

In 2015, Michigan State signed Justice Alexander and Mufi Hunt. Neither has contributed as a d-end. Hunt has changed positions more than once, moving to tight end in August, and then back to d-line during the season. Hunt went down with a knee injury at Ohio State in November.

Alexander made progress during bowl practice. He has good straight-line athleticism and is maturing as an athlete but needs to prove he can turn the corner as a true edge threat.

In 2014, Michigan State signed Robert Bowers and Montez Sweat. Sweat was dismissed from the team in the spring of 2016 and became All-SEC at Mississippi State in 2017. Bowers played sparingly in 2017 after ending the 2016 season as a starter. He left the team in November.

Michigan State received strong play from walk-on Kenny Willekes at defensive end in 2017. He ranked tied for fourth in the Big Ten in tackles for loss and earned third-team All-Big Ten honors. He was one of the key, major surprises of 2017, and the Spartans wouldn't have gone 10-3 if he hadn't made a storybook rise.

Michigan State will need to replace starting defensive end Demetrius Cooper, who graduated.

Brandon Randle served as a pass rushing specialist on third downs last season, but didn’t have much productivity. Coaches would like to move him full-time to his natural position of linebacker, if possible.

Walk-on Dillon Alexander has been functional at defensive end. He played through injuries last year. His role could expand, and he might have the ability to handle it.

MSU’s need for help at defensive end was made clear by their interest in Allen, out of junior college.

On the current recruiting trail, there have been no indications of further Michigan State involvement with a junior college defensive end candidate.

Michigan State would like to sign an additional defensive tackle in February as part of the 2018 class.


DeShaun Mallory
,
a 5.6 three-star recruit ranked No. 12 in Illinois, plans to commit to MSU within the next two weeks and sign with Michigan State in February. Michigan State is still conduting what Mallory called “final evaluation” of him, following his official visit to Michigan State last weekend. Those evaluations include check-ups on academic progress. Defensive tackles coach Ron Burton visited Mallory at his school this week. Dantonio is expected to make an in-home visit with him next week.


Michigan State also remains in contact with

Jackson Cravens
,
a 5.6 three-star defensive tackle from Provo, Utah. Burton visited him this week. Cravens visited Michigan State in September. He is scheduled to visit Oregon this weekend, and Utah the weekend of Jan. 26.


“I just wasn’t ready to sign in December yet because I knew I was going to be visiting some places in January,” Cravens told SpartanMag.com on Thursday. “I actually wanted to go out to these schools earlier but they wanted me to come in January.”

* Paulino-Bell is one of three players to announce plans to transfer this month, joining wide receivers Hunter Rison and Trishton Jackson. Rison has expressed interest in Kansas State. Jackson has indicated interest in Syracuse.

* Dantonio said MSU’s Green-White Game will likely be played on April 7. He said there are plans of possibly playing the game at night, with a 5 p.m. kickoff.

“Maybe at 5 o’clock or something like that,” Dantonio said. “That’s the plan, but I’ve got to talk to the administration about that. I don’t think that should be a problem at 5.”

Dantonio began spring practice early last season, and plans to do so again. He said Feb. 27 is the likely starting date for spring practice.

MEN'S BASKETBALL Tom Izzo, Master Psychologist

It has been discussed here before that Tom Izzo majored in psychology. In years past, he seems to always find the right buttons to push to get MSU ready to play near their potential come March. This year, I do expect that he will get them there in time to make a deep run. But, I must admit that I cannot figure out his angle this year. Following the UofM loss, I expected drill sergeant / tough love Izzo. But, the interviews and discussion this week suggest more shrugs than the fury I expected. If nothing else, that fact that his strategy seems different tells me that something else must be going on behind the scenes.

Is Izzo concerned about putting too much pressure on the young team right now?

Is he shielding them from public criticism, but hammering them behind closed doors?

Is he simply allowing them to fail a little right now to try to force a leader to emerge?

What is his play right now?

I am convinced that he is playing the long game here, but I am not exactly sure how he is playing it.

MEN'S BASKETBALL Dr. G&W Sports Study Hall: The Spread vs. Victory, Basketball Edition

In one of my previous posts over on the Bunker last month, I gave a lengthy explanation of the relationship between the Vegas spread in football and the probability that the favored team would ultimately win the game. Utilizing spread data that I collected over about an 8 year period, and assuming that the actual margin of victory would adopt a Normal / Gaussian distribution centered around the spread. I found that it was fairly simple to calculate the spread vs. victory curve once you know (based on a lot of data) that the standard deviation of the deviation of the actual result from the spread is around 14-15 points. If you are curious, my original post can be found here.

I was also curious about whether a similar analysis could be made based on college basketball data, but this was something that I never looked into previously. Fortunately, I realized a few days ago that my go-to web sight for spread data (a site called "Prediction Tracker") has a mostly complete archive of spread data for all sorts of sports, including college basketball. I quickly downloaded some CSV files and within a couple of hours, I set up a simple database of college basketball spread data fro 2004 to 2017 including over 47,000 games. As one would expect, you can perform the exact same analysis and learn that in basketball, the key standard deviation value is almost exactly 10 points and this value appears to hold steady (unlike football) as the spread gets bigger. As a result, I was once again able to plot the spread vs. victory curve, which is shown here, along with the raw data from the database:



As one would expect, due to the tighter standard deviation the probability of victory rises quicker than it does in football such that a 7-point spread means a 75% chance of victory, the odds go over 90% at 13 points, and cross 99% at a spread of 23.5. In tabular form, the data looks like this:


Anyway, I thought it was interesting (and I typed less this time). Enjoy!

Pre-Snap Read! (half of one, anyway)

I managed to throw this together on the flight. I had all the research done last night, but ran out of time.

This Pre-Snap Read focuses on the MSU offense vs the WSU defense - a portion of this game that few have investigated.

I took more of a macro approach to this Pre-Snap Read, and left out a lot of the individual player minutiae.

Some of this will be review (things I've mentioned before). Some of it will take that stuff a step further.

PRE-SNAP READ

By Jim Comparoni


Michigan State Rush Offense vs Washington State Rush Defense

What You Need To Know:

KEY STATS: Washington State ranks No. 4 in the Pac-12 in rush defense, allowing 146.2 yards per game, and No. 5 in yards allowed per run at 4.2.

Much of the pre-game chatter has been about MSU’s challenge in facing the WSU Air Raid offense. But WSU ranks better it total defense than in total offense in the Pac-12 standings.


THE REP: Washington State has self-dubbed their defense “The Speed D.” They want to play fast, and they do play fast, both in terms athleticism and all-out pursuit.


COMPARISON: Michigan State players said Washington State’s defense most closely resembles the Michigan Wolverine defense than any other opponent the Spartans have faced.

Like Michigan, the Cougars gain penetration up front with quickness and athleticism. WSU might not have the NFL Draft talent in the front seven that Michigan has, but they have plenty of ability - led by first-team All-America defensive lineman Hercules Mata’afa.


UNIQUE TRAIT: WSU enhances their quickness with excessive pre-snap stemming and movement, and then daredevil slants after the snap.

WSU uses the slim nature of some of their d-linemen as a weapon. Their d-linemen turn their shoulders sideways, enabling them to squeeze through gaps that broader d-linemen might not be able to penetrate.

In theory, blockers should be able to drive those d-linemen off the ball when they turn their shoulders perpendicular to the line of scrimmage. But that’s easier accomplished on a chalkboard than on the field, against these guys.

THE LOOK: Washington State plays a 3-3-5 against most teams, with three down linemen. One of the three down lineman is usually of conventional size, while the others are slim, but very quick and stronger than they look.


NAME TO KNOW: Their rush end, Frankie Luvu (No. 51, 6-2, 235, Sr.) is one of several guys who play bigger than their size. He essentially is a stand-up defensive end, a fourth down lineman. In theory, an offense should be able to isolate him and drive him off the ball. But Luvu can take on the point of attack and spill plays.

He is honorable mention All-Pac-12, but is probably more valuable than that award would suggest.

He had 2.5 sacks against Boise State and an INT on the final drive of the game to clinch victory against Stanford.


UNIQUE HEADACHE: With the stemming and slanting, WSU’s defensive front presents a confusing picture of moving targets for blockers. Somehow, through all of their movement, they don’t make any more gap assignment errors than conventional one-gapping defenses like Michigan State’s.

“It presents a challenge because it’s something different than what you see during the year,” said Michigan State co-offensive coordinator Dave Warner.

Warner said WSU’s defensive style has been difficult to replicate in practice with the Spartan scout team.

Center Brian Allen said the Spartans have used lighter, quicker linebacker types as defensive linemen on the scout team. That helps simulate some of the quickness of the WSU defensive front, but none of the power.

“They might be a little bit undersized, but with that speed they have power,” Warner said. “They are very strong. To get that combination of the speed and quickness, and the power, presents an issue.

“Their slants and angles are such, and so flat down the line of scrimmage, that it is sometimes difficult to present that to our offense in practice. It presents a little bit of an issue to really get that look. That’s been a little bit of a challenge.”

THE SIZE: Washington State’s starting d-linemen got 6-2, 252 (Mata’afa), 6-2 237 (Nnamdi Oguyao) and 6-3, 305 (Daniel Ekuale).

Ekuale is a legit nose guard. He can take on double-teams without budging.

WSU trots second-string d-linemen onto the field early and often.

THE REALITY PART ONE: Teams might think they can bash and bowl through WSU with power. But they are stronger than they look, based on the way they stacked up against the likes of Stanford and USC.

WSU held Stanford to just 93 yards rushing (52 of them came on one long TD run by Heisman finalist Bryce Love.) The Cardinal netted only 41 yards on their other 26 carries.

Washington had success running the ball inside, churning out 328 yards rushing against the Cougars. The Huskies have the nation’s No 38-ranked rushing attack but had way more success against WSU on the ground than any other rushing attack.

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Michigan State will try to replicate that. But the Huskies did it at the tail end of a 12-game season, with the lighter/quicker Cougars theoretically wearing the scars of a season. The layoff associated with a bowl game could help the lighter, quicker team rejuvenate for one last fling.

Washington had success with basic “power” gap plays and inside zone runs, the type of which Michigan State deploys on a regular basis.

But can Michigan State run those plays as well as Washington did, with RB Myles Gaskin (5-10, 191) using excellent cutting ability and vision to find daylight in rushing for 192 yards against the Cougars.

“I’m sure their motto is going to be, ‘We’re going to run around those big Midwesterners,’” said Michigan State offensive line coach Mark Staten. “And our guys’ idea is, ‘Hey, let’s go after these maybe lighter-than-normal linemen than Big Ten linemen face.’”


PRECEDENTS: When Michigan State played Baylor in the 2014 Cotton Bowl, the Spartans faced a quick, lean defensive front (at most positions) that hadn’t encountered the type of ground-and-pound football that Michigan State tries to establish

Michigan State rushed for 238 yards against Baylor in posting a memorable 42-41 comeback victory. The Spartans blew a hole in Baylor for a 65-yard run on the third snap of the game. But MSU’s run game went quiet through the next three quarters, but came on strong in the fourth quarter as the Spartans methodically, gradually took command of the line of scrimmage.

That Baylor team played a two-gapping 30 front, which is far different from WSU’s 30-front style. However, the question of MSU’s brawn being able to establish the line of scrimmage was a big x-factor against Baylor and will be again, against a WSU team that doesn’t see a Big Ten style attack often, if at all.

One big difference is that the Michigan State ground of attack of 2014 was far more explosive and consistent than the Spartans’ ground attack of 2017. Michigan State might WANT to establish its will on the ground against these lighter bodies, but it would likely take a better ground attack than MSU’s in order to put a consistent dent in this WSU defensive front. Michigan State is going to need to be balanced, and might need to resort to being a pass-happy style of attack, similar to the way the Spartans had to play against Northwestern. But WSU’s pass defense is better than Northwestern’s.

* As for other matchups, Michigan State’s style vs WSU’s quickness is somewhat similar to the Wisconsin vs TCU Rose Bowl in the 2011 season. TCU was quick and correct, and gang-tackled the vaunted Badger running attack for most of the game. But Wisconsin began taking control on the ground in the fourth quarter, forged a comeback, and scored in the late-going, but failed to win with a two-point conversion.


THE TAKEAWAY: Smaller, lighter, quicker defensive fronts aren’t as easy to blow off the ball in the postseason as we might think. And Michigan State hasn’t had nearly the ground success this year to think they can do it in this game unless the Spartans have hardness terrific improvement and maturation during bowl practice.

“Don’t let the weights or the sizes fool you,” Staten said. “They are a very good unit. The top unit in the Pac-12. We will have our hands full.”


HOLD YOUR WATER: Washington State’s pre-snap stemming not only presents difficult assignments and adjustments for the blockers, it also induces o-linemen into false start penalties. Oregon had six false start penalties against Washington State in the first half of a 33-10 Cougar victory.

In Michigan State’s most recent game, the Spartans were baited into several false start penalties due to Rutgers’ surprise pre-snap stemming.

Michigan State has had nearly five weeks to fix that problem.

A NEW REVOLUTION? About 20 years ago, spread-to-pass offenses were in their infancy. Mike Leach, as offensive coordinator at Kentucky and Oklahoma, took the spread concepts of Dennis Erickson and others new levels, leading to Leach’s head coaching success at Texas Tech and Washington State.

Leach and Rich Rodriguez, with the zone read option components at Tulane and then West Virginia, changed college football offense more than any coaches in the last 25 years, along with Chip Kelly, who took uptempo concepts to a new level at Oregon when rule changes altered the play clock and how quickly the referee can set the ball to be snapped.

When watching Washington State’s excessive slanting ON DEFENSE, it occurs to me that I’m watching a style of play that few, if any, others in the major conferences use. And I wonder if these unique defensive concepts will become conventional in the next 10 years, similar to the way Leach’s offense was borrowed and duplicated.


THE ARCHITECT: Washington State defensive coordinator Alex Grinch is one of the most important names of the 2017 Holiday Bowl, possibly a name you’ve never heard but likely a name you’ll want to remember. He doesn’t even have a Wikipedia page yet. But he’s one of the hottest young coaches in the game.

The native of Grove City, Ohio (why is it that so many transcendent football coaches come from Ohio?) is in his third year as defensive coordinator at Washington State. Leach hired him away from Missouri, where he served as secondary coach for 2012-14 (the Tigers were 23-5 over Grinch’s last two seasons at Mizzou).

Prior to Missouri, he was defensive backs coach at Wyoming.

Grinch played at Mount Union College in Alliance, Ohio from 1998-2001, playing for a program that won three Division III National Championships while he was there. He was a third-team All-America safety as a senior.

Thursday, he will try to be the Grinch who stole the Holiday Bowl Trophy from Michigan State (sorry, couldn’t resist). And put his name on a list of those to watch for head coaching jobs in the next decade.

There are rumors that Ohio State and Texas A&M want to hire Grinch as their program’s 10th assistant in the coming weeks.

MORE STATS:

WSU ranks No. 3 in the nation in takeaways and No. 5 in the country in tackles for loss.


THE REALITY PART TWO: We’re not here to make Washington State sound like the ’85 Bears. We’re just outlining the unique challenges that Michigan State will have in this game, challenges that have stumped some pretty good opponents.

However, Washington State’s defense isn’t terrific against all opponents. It’s not like they dominate the line of scrimmage with superior human beings, the way Alabama has done in recent years. WSU isn’t in that stratosphere. But if your team’s ground attack has problems with their quickness early on, chances are the problems will remain intact for four quarters.

Two teams had great success on the ground against WSU, with different methods: Washington and Arizona.

Washington managed to bash WSU with conventional powers and zones - variations of which will find in MSU’s playbook every week. (But Stanford had no success with similar plays. It isn’t the x’s and o’s. It’s the Jimmies and Joes AND execution. Stanford’s h-back, for instance, didn’t execute on wham blocks. The Cal Bears, however, had a 5-foot-11, 280-pound mutant of an h-back who was a hammerhead on the plays that Stanford failed to execute. But that’s just one type of play. A victory will require several).

Arizona rushed for 310 yards (and passed for only 8 yards) in a 58-37 victory over the Cougars.

Arizona scored 58 points only only 13 first downs. That has to be the highest point-to-first down ratio in the history of tackle football.

RichRod’s offense used a zone read option QB, Khalil Tate, who rushed for 158 and completed 10 passes for 275 yards.

“There are some teams that have creased them,” Warner said.

Yet, WSU held USC to its lowest yardage output (327) since the Trojans’ 2016 opener against Alabama.

What can Michigan State learn from these games? A mobile QB can be a headache against aggressive, fast-flow teams that play a lot of man-to-man.

Lewerke got loose for some key runs against Michigan last year and this year. And Warner cooked up some throwback screens against the Wolverines this year and in 2015.

It takes great execution and timing to turn a defense’s aggressiveness against itself, but Michigan State has some history in doing that, and will try to pull those levers again.


MSU’S APPROACH: Michigan State isn’t likely to bash a hole in Washington State’s defensive front the way the Washington Huskies did. But the Spartans will try, while staying true to who they are.

The Spartans will probe the run, and see if they can find success with their usual assortment of gap plays and zone runs. (Gap plays, such as powers and counters, might be more likely to work, with down-blocking on the front side of plays, sealing angles from outside-in. In theory). Michigan State MIGHT find some pleasant surprises on the ground, but the Spartans will plan to be balanced, if not more pass-happy than usual.

Michigan State has gone pass-happy at other times this year, including Lewerke’s back-to-back 400-yard aerial games against Northwestern and Penn State. But throwing the ball against WSU won’t be easy, either.

MSU PASSING ATTACK vs WSU PASS DEFENSE

THE STATS: WSU ranks No. 8 in the country in pass defense (167.4) and No. 1 in the Pac-12 in third-down defense (24.8 percent).


THE STYLE: The Cougars love to play tight, press man-to-man. They aren’t a 100 percent man-to-man team. Like most teams, they will mix in zone and change some pictures. They don’t blitz much; they don’t have to, because their front four usually does a good job of penetrating the backfield and providing heat.

In the secondary, they will grasp and hold and push the envelope and dare the officials to throw flags - similar to the way Michigan plays. Stanford receivers became very frustrated by WSU’s holding.


MSU’s POTENTIAL ANSWER: Lewerke’s ability to tuck and run, turn a covered pass play into an impromptu scramble, could come in handy in this game.

Stanford’s QB, who is much less of a run threat than Lewerke, turned a red zone scramble into an untouched TD run of 14 yards when WSU’s aggressive pursuit (and man-to-man defense in the back) left a vacuum of daylight.

Lewerke has had some big rushing games this year, especially early in the season. Michigan State might NEED that style of chain-moving freelance spice in the offense from Lewerke in this game more so than at any time since the Michigan game.

From a conventional standpoint, Michigan State will likely want to move the pocket with Lewerke. Probe the run, get the defense to react to it and flow to it, then come with simple play-action passing. Roll out the QB in the process. Change his launch point against a WSU team that ranks No. 5 in the country in TFLs.

Michigan State can’t roll out every single play, but some well-timed dosage of counter-boot roll-out passing could open some windows.

Play action passing against WSU is a cute idea, but the Cougars keep charging and charging at you. Against the Cougars, QBs don’t have as much time to throw after a play-action roll as they do against most defenses. And WSU will play tight, handsy, graspy man-to-man in the back end (like Michigan).

They don’t give you many open windows to throw to, and don’t give you much time to find them.

Lewerke is one of the best combinations of pocket-passing, freelance running, and throwing on the run in the country. He’s not great at all of those elements all the time, but he has the potential to wheel and deal at a high level on any given play or any given Saturday (or Thursday). If he is at his best, and finds a rhythm, he could become the latest of a short list of offensive players to find creases against the Cougars.


IN SHORT: Basically, when Washington State’s defense is good, they’re great. They shut out Colorado and Montana State. We mentioned that they held USC to its worst offense day in more than a year.

Oregon entered its game against Washington State averaging 537 yards of total offense and a nation-leading 49.6 points per game, but the Cougars held the Ducks to 277 yards of total offense and 10 points (with three takeways, 11 TFLs, four sacks).

When they’re good, they’re great. If you don’t have them figured out early, chances are you won’t get them figured out on the fly, you haven’t practiced quite right and will have a long night.

POST SCRIPT:

Washington chewed up WSU on the ground and tamed WSU’s offense.

Arizona RichRodded the Cougars to death (although WSU had more than 600 yards of offense that day.

So what went wrong for WSU in its 37-3 loss at Cal on Oct. 14?

Basically this: WSU had seven turnovers, Cal had zero.

WSU was 6-0 and ranked No. 8 in the country at the time, fresh off a victory against USC. Washington State couldn’t handle their success.

Secondly, the game was played amid 20-plus wildfires in the state of California at the time. Air quality index was at 170 at kickoff (151 to 200 is considered “unhealthy” by important people who measure such things). The NCAA wanted the game canceled or postponed if the index rose above 200, to “very unhealthy.”)

So the air quality was a strange backdrop to the game, with many spectators watching while wearing filter masks.

WSU’s first Top 10 ranking since 2003 didn’t help, nor did the hangover from the USC victory.

* Cal played good defense, and sacked WSU quarterback Luke Falk four times in the first half (none on blitzes).

Falk threw an INT on his first pass of the game (giving Cal a free trip to the red zone and a 3-0 lead). And Falk threw an INT in the end zone later in the first half. Both INTs came when Falk didn’t read cover-two cloud coverage along the sideline.

Cal played a lot of press quarters, like Michigan State. The Bears mixed in the cover-two, creating the two pivotal interceptions (he threw five INTs on the night). Michigan State has played more cover-two this year than any time in the Dantonio era, and disguises it well.

* Three of Cal’s first four drives began in WSU territory, including the held of a 30-plus yard punt return.

* WSU fumbled on the second play of its third drive, near midfield.

* Basically, Cal played a sharp game and WSU wanted a do-over.

Total yardage: Cal 365, Washington State 337.

Cal rushed for 106 yards. Other than avoiding mistakes, Cal didn’t do anything all that heroic on offense in order to win the game - other than scoring a TD on the final play of the first half, eschewing a short field goal attempt in order to throw an all-or-nothing 2-yard TD pass at the buzzer (a play-action fake, under center, to the tight end - very Midwestern). That TD gave Cal a 17-3 halftime lead.

Holiday Bowl notebook from last night

Dantonio and Leach met with media in San Diego last evening.

My notebook:
Air Raid vs. No Fly Zone? Kind Of

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Jim Comparoni • SpartanMag.com
@JimComparoni

Do the Spartans care to be in the Holiday Bowl? Will Michigan State be charged up to play against Washington State in the Holiday Bowl on Dec. 28?

Those questions were part of the tenor when Mark Dantonio and Mike Leach met with west coast media in San Diego on Wednesday during the first joint press conference between the two schools during the run-up to the Dec. 28 Holiday Bowl.

“We’ve been focused on the Holiday Bowl since we’ve been invited,” Dantonio said. “Our guys are very, very excited to come out here.

“We’ve got a lot of guys that have never been to the West Coast. To come out here, see this part of the country, we have a large alumni base in Southern California, out in Arizona, as well. We’ll represent that in great fashion. I think our guys are going to be excited.”

Dantonio was asked if takes awhile to get started when a team has been off for a month.

“No, our guys will be ready to play,” Dantonio said. “I think we’re focused on that. We had a tough year last year. Our thought process was to make it back and change things back to the way they had been.

“We’ve always come ready to play. That’s the one thing that I think we pride ourselves in, that we will come ready to play.

“There’s preparation with that. There’s a mindset. We’ll get ourselves going.”

As for the locale and the event, Dantonio said: “I’ve heard nothing but outstanding things about the Holiday Bowl throughout my coaching career.

“I think they’re getting seven to ten inches of snow back home, 17 degrees. Out here on the sunny West Coast is great for us.”

Leach added weight to Dantonio’s pro-Holiday bowl sentiments.

“On behalf of Washington State, we’re thrilled to be in the Holiday Bowl, maybe the greatest bowl I’ve ever been to.”

Washington State lost to Minnesota in the Holiday Bowl, 17-12, last year.

As for the obligatory question to Dantonio about the Spartans being passed over by the Outback Bowl and how players deal with it, Dantonio said: "I think everybody goes through that. I think that’s part of it. That’s sort of old news to me."

AIR RAID vs NO FLY ZONE

Leach’s brand of offense has been dubbed the Air Raid, for its prolific passing figures - and also a play on words during his time as head coach of the Texas Tech Red Raiders.

Michigan State rose to power under Dantonio with a terrific secondary, known as The No-Fly Zone, during the 2013 run to the Rose Bowl. Michigan State secondaries have tried to live up to that monicker in subsequent years with varying degrees of success.

Texas Tech leads the nation in pass completions and is No. 2 in the country in passing offense (at 374 yards per game).

Michigan State ranks No. 31 in the nation in passing yards allowed (195 yards per game).

Penn State is the highest-ranked passing attack the Spartans have faced this year. The Nittany Lions rank No. 26 in the country in passing yards per game at 285 yards.

Leach was among the first coaches in college football to spread out five receivers and throw to various parts of the field on virtually every down, dating back to his time as offensive coordinator for Tim Couch at Kentucky in 1997-98 and then for one year at Oklahoma when Bob Stoops was getting his program going in 1999.

The following year, after Leach left Oklahoma to take the head coaching job at Texas Tech, the upstart Sooners made a surprise run to the National Championship in 2000 while using remnants of Leach’s offense.

Oklahoma’s success helped usher in an era of spread offenses at the major conference level. Zone read run action and uptempo tactics have been woven into various offshoots of some of the things Leach helped popularize.

“I think everybody takes something from somebody, so we’ve seen components of it,” Dantonio said of the Air Raid offense. “(We’ve) seen the mesh route. I think they’re the pioneers in that area, maybe the people that are the ones that do it the best certainly.”

Dealing with the Air Raid offense won’t be as stark a system shock to the Spartans in 2017 as it was when Michigan State lost to Texas Tech, 41-31, in the 2009 Alamo Bowl, a few days after Leach was fired for that job due in part to harsh treatment of a player.

“We’ve at least had some experience versus that offense,” Dantonio said. “It goes all the way back to 2002. I had my 2002 notes out the other day from when I was at Ohio State (and the Buckeyes played Texas Tech).

“It’s one of the things coaches do. You keep coaching. I think at the end of the day it’s about execution.

“Playing no-huddle offenses, passing game they’re going to spread you horizontally and vertically,” Dantonio added. “Very good players, players that play extremely well in space. We’re going to have to play well in space on defense. Always how you affect the quarterback usually affects the football game.”

Stanford is the team on Washington State’s schedule that plays the most like Michigan State. The Cougars beat Stanford 24-21 in the 10th game of the season on Nov. 4.

“They are a very good football team, very well-coached,” Dantonio said. “(Coach Leach) He’s turned programs around, has done this other times.

ONE OF NINE

The Holiday Bowl is one of nine bowl games pitting a pair of teams ranked in the College Football Playoff Top 20 against one another, with No. 16 Michigan State (9-3) and No. 18 Washington State (9-3).

“You got kind of contrasts styles,” Leach said. “They’re big and strong and physical. We’re trying to maneuver some stuff around. I think it’s a good matchup. I think it will be fun to watch.”

WSU’s WR SITUATION

Leach was asked for the second time this week about the departure and dismissal of his two leading wide receivers.

“Yeah, it’s kind of a next-man-up deal,” said Leach, unwilling to expand about it. “It’s a lot like practice or spring or camp: you just play the next guy. We’re confident in them.”

‘FANTASTIC’ SETTING

Leach was asked to expand on what made the Holiday Bowl possibly the best bowl he has ever been associated with.

“I think the setting’s fantastic,” he said. “I think where the hotels are situated with regard to things to do within walking distance is excellent. I think that’s one of the biggest keys to a bowl as far as the teams go.

“First of all, you got good hotels where everybody can have a lot of fun. You have plenty of space. Space is huge with regards to football teams.

“As a matter of fact, when we stay on the road, I don’t worry about the quality of the hotel as much as the space. So you got plenty of space. It’s a high-quality hotel.

“The other thing that I think is important is walking distance. You don’t have to mess with the logistics of cars or buses or all that. On their downtime, everything is right across the street or down the boardwalk.”

How much down time will the Washington State players have?

“Once we get here? We’ll let them go out, have kind of a later curfew early in the week, then tighten is up as we get through the week,” Leach said. “We enforce it, but from my experience in the past, generally, with a few rare exceptions, pretty good luck as far as guys getting themselves in.”

ROLLER COASTER SCORING

In jumping out to a 6-0 record and a No. 3 ranking, Washington State scored as least 30 points in each of those win. The Cougars won games by scores of 31-0 (vs. Montana State), 47-44 (vs. Boise State), 52-23 (vs. Oregon State), 45-7 (vs. Nevada) and 30-27 (vs. USC).

But then California stoned Washington state 37-3 in week seven.

And Washington held Washington State to two touchdowns in a 41-14 victory over the Cougars in the Apple Cup rivalry game on Nov. 25, WSU’s last game appearance.

“We sort of had the same types of scenarios,” Dantonio said of the Spartans. “We’ve outscored some people and had some other games that have been a little bit tight. We’ve gone back and forth as well.

“How do I see it playing out? Who knows. I don’t know. But we’re going to find out.”

“Hopefully higher scoring,” Leach said. “I think the best thing about our team this year is we’re a pretty complete team. We had contributions pretty consistently throughout the season on all three sides of the ball: special teams, offense and defense.

“Of the teams that I’ve coached, as far as all three sides of the ball contributing, not having a real weak spot, I felt like this was one of my more balanced teams.”

Dantonio on Washington State:

“When you look at them, you see a team that understands what they’re doing conceptually on both sides of the ball. They beat the two conference (division) champions in the Pac-12 (USC and Stanford).”

QUICK HITTERS

* The Holiday Bowl marks the eighth meeting between Michigan State and Washington State. MSU leads the all-time series, 5-2, with the last meeting arriving in 1977. It will be the first meeting between the two teams in a bowl game.

* The Spartans will be making their 27th all-time bowl appearance (11-15 record).

* The Spartans are in position to record their sixth double-digit win season in the last eight years with a victory in the Holiday Bowl. It marks the 10th bowl bid in 11 seasons under Dantonio.

* Dantonio owns a 99-45 record at the helm of the Spartans and will be looking for his 100th win as head coach at Michigan State.

* Dantonio owns school records for most bowl wins (four) and bowl appearances (10), including a school-record four-game bowl winning streak with victories in the 2011 Outback Bowl vs. No. 18 Georgia, 2012 Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl over TCU, 2014 Rose Bowl against No. 5 Stanford, and 2015 Cotton Bowl vs. No. 4 Baylor.

LEACH BEING LEACH:

Q. The Holiday Bowl has a reputation for shootouts, fantastic finishes. How do you see this matchup finishing out? LEACH: “I think it will be a shootout and a fantastic finish (laughter).”

Q. Your thoughts on San Diego? LEACH: “I like San Diego a lot. I’ve been to San Diego quite a bit. My wife is from San Diego, went to Patrick Henry High School. Yeah, so I’ve been to San Diego quite a bit.

“When we got married, I thought I was guaranteed a lot of trips to San Diego, then her parents moved to Utah. I got gypped out of that a little bit. But anyway, it’s good to be back.”

DANTONIO’s TURN

Q. Coach Leach mentioned his wife went to high school here. Do you have any San Diego ties we should know about?

DANTONIO: “Not that you should know about (laughter).”


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Senior Washington State QB Luke Falk led the Pac-12 with 30 TD passes and is sixth in the country with 3,593 passing yards.


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Story on Joe Bachie's reaction to winning team MVP award

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By Jim Comparoni • SpartanMag.com
@JimComparoni

Bachie named team MVP, gearing up for 'win 10' at bowl game


EAST LANSING - The annual Michigan State football banquet on Sunday served as a salute to the accomplishments of 2017 but also a reminder that the future looks pretty good too - with sophomore Joe Bachie winning the Governor’s Award, the team’s most valuable player, as voted on by teammates.

Bachie is the first sophomore to win the team MVP since Drew Stanton in 2004.

It sort of sets the tone for our entire football team,” said head coach Mark Dantonio. “We’ve got a young team, with 78 players being sophomores or younger the future is bright.”

Bachie, a 6-foot-2, 233-pound linebacker from Brook Park (Ohio) Berea-Midpark High School, led Michigan State with 84 tackles, including 8.5 tackles for loss and 3.5 sacks.

“I wasn’t expecting that,” Bachie said. “I kind of froze for a second. It means a lot to me.

“It’s a huge honor, looking in the past and the people who get that. I’m glad my parents were there to see that.

“Shout out to my team. We’re going to go try to win 10 now.”

A team awards banquet coming off a 9-3 season with a bowl game yet to be played felt completely different than last year’s postmortem following a 3-9 season.

“You come to last year’s banquet and we didn’t get no food like that,” Bachie said. “You walk up, go get your own, a couple of pieces of mac and cheese or whatever.

“But you go there and it’s special and everybody’s there. You see the people that truly care, your teammates, their families and the coaches. It feels a lot better being 9-3 than 3-9.”

Bowl practice will subside for a few days as the players focus on finals week. Full-fledged practice will resume on Friday as the No. 16-ranked Spartans start gearing up to face No. 18 Washington State in the 40th annual San Diego Credit Union Holiday Bowl (9 p.m. EST, Dec. 28 in San Diego).

“I don’t think of myself of whatever an MVP is,” Bachie said. “That doesn’t change how I’m going to go out there and practice on Friday or go lift on Tuesday and Thursday with the team. We’re going to continue moving forward and we’re just trying to prepare for Washington State now.”

Bachie earned third-team All-Big Ten honors this fall. Some believe Bachie should have received better recognition on the all-conference ballots.

“This is more important to me,” Bachie said. “It’s what my teammates think.

“Quite honestly I don’t really came about it. It’s a great accomplishment being third-team, so thank you them. But it’s what my teammates think that’s important and I’m just glad that I’m on this team with these guys.”

Below is the complete list of hardware presented at the 2017 Spartan Football Awards Banquet.

President's Award (senior back/lineman for perseverance): Gerald Holmes (offense), Demetrius Cooper (defense)

Cowing Award (senior manager): Austin Featherstone and Ryan Connelly

Con Demos Scholarship Award (manager): Matt DeWyse

Jim Adams Award (unsung hero): Darrell Stewart Jr. (offense), Khari Willis (defense)

Iron Man Award (strength and conditioning): Raequan Williams

Potsy Ross Award (scholar-athlete): Chase Gianacakos

George Scofes Outstanding Faculty Award: Nicolas Gisholt, College of Social Science

Tommy Love Award (most improved): Felton Davis III (offense), David Dowell(defense)

Clarence Underwood Sportsmanship Award: Matt Sokol

MSU Football Players Association Community Service Award: Gerald Holmes

Outstanding Underclass Lineman Award: Luke Campbell (offense), Kenny Willekes(defense)

Outstanding Underclass Back Award: Brian Lewerke (offense), Josiah Scott (defense)

Up Front Award (outstanding lineman): Brian Allen (offense), Joe Bachie (defense)

Downtown Coaches Club (outstanding defensive player): Chris Frey

Downtown Coaches Club (outstanding offensive player): Brian Allen

Downtown Coaches Club (outstanding special teams player): Jake Hartbarger

Danziger Award (outstanding Detroit-area player): David Beedle

Doug Weaver Oil Can Award (team humorist): Darrell Stewart Jr.

Biggie Munn Award (most inspirational): Brian Allen (offense), Joe Bachie (defense)

Governor's Award (most valuable player): Joe Bachie

Captains Award: Brian Allen, Chris Frey

Skull Session Podcast - Nov. 29, 2017

Here is the latest skull session podcast. With the off week for football, we went back to the format of talking hoops, football, and recruiting in both sports. I think it was a good discussion. Lot of variety, with some good information on the upcoming hoops match-up between MSU and Notre Dame.

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Pre-Snap Read: Taking a different approach, lots of MSU self-scout in this one

Pre Snap Read: MSU GAME 12

By Jim Comparoni
Publisher SpartanMag.com

A little different Pre-Snap Read this week. We’ll go with less info on the opponent, and more info on Michigan State and some recent Spartan trends of note.

There’s not a lot to talk about when it comes to Rutgers. By now, you’ve probably seen them play a couple of times, and you know their situation, at 4-7.

As for the Spartans, there are new developments, even at this stage of the season.

And Spartan fans have a lot to be thankful for this weekend, heading into game 12 with a chance to finish the regular season with a 9-3 record. Mark Dantonio has been preaching the mantra “Flip It” this week, motivating his players to finish a complete mirror flip of last year’s 3-9 season.

In speaking with players this week, I think there is momentum behind that movement. I think the players are eager to finish the “Flip.” There seems to be a sense of accomplishment in the making, and there should be. This has been a terrific bounce-back season for the Spartans, with a solid chance to secure a bid to the Outback Bowl with a victory.

THREE THINGS:

1. The Michigan State football community, fans included, are back to EXPECTING a win and a 9-3 season and a chance for a share of the Big Ten East Division championship (if Michigan beats Ohio State).

2. The Michigan State football community, fans included, are back to EXPECTING quality football to be played this weekend.

Despite going 8-3 to the point in the season, there haven’t been a lot of occasions this year when we (observers) have gone into a game EXPECTING a quality performance in all areas. I think fans were hopeful, but needed to see it to believe it.

Now, after the workmanlike victory over Maryland last week, and enough evidence throughout the year that this football team is pretty good, Spartan fans can expect a strong finish on Saturday in New Brunswick, N.J.

3. Now, it’s time for the build to continue, and that’s what’s so healthy about MSU’s situation. They can improve to 9-3, complete The Flip, AND improve as a team and program.

“I think we still have not peaked yet as a complete football team,” Dantonio said.

We would all agree with that.

“I think maybe we'll peak in our 12th game, maybe our 13th,” he said.

The build continues.

WHERE MSU IS IMPROVING:

1. Last week, Collin Lucas, Demetrius Cooper and Antjuan Simmons played, in my opinion, the best games of their Spartan careers to this point.

That’s a strange mix. That’s a fifth-year senior, a true freshman, and a junior walk-on in that group.

* Cooper, the senior, was a major disappointment last year. He has bounced back with a decent season this year, and last week played a good all-around game. More on that later.

* Lucas, the walk-on junior, has been a functional blocking back this year. Against Maryland, he went from functional to physical. He played with pop, a little more RPM. He was a factor. It’s the first time I would consider him a plus fullback.

* Simmons, the true freshman, is covering ground with more and more quickness, the more he learns the game and this system. He is improving more rapidly than the second-year starter, Andrew Dowell. And if the trends continue in this direction, Dowell had better be careful about being overtaken by the bowl game.

2. The run game. It’s been inconsistent, and often ineffective, this year.

Now, Michigan State is into the soft portion of the schedule. The Spartans rushed for 271 yards last week.

For example, Michigan’s run game took off in weeks eight to 10 when playing Rutgers, Minnesota and Maryland.

Now the Spartans get Maryland and Rutgers in back-to-back weeks, and MSU’s run game should end the season feeling good about itself.

Should it?

3. Yes. Every member of the offensive line and blocking unit had good moments in the run game last week. They weren’t play the ’85 Bears, but the Spartans did what they are supposed to do against a fading opponent, and that’s put a dent in them.

In the process, the Spartans even converted on two occasions on third-and-three with conventional run plays. Plant a flag.

The Spartans were close to going up 21-0, and more, but let the Terps off the ropes and the game remained a game for 60 minutes. But Michigan State won a high, high percentage of the snaps. If that game is a boxing match, Michigan State win a unanimous decision, 10 rounds to 2. That doesn’t do anything for their credibility as a team, but in terms of winning snaps, the trends are good for the Spartans.

4. Defensive ends. Michigan State is improving at defensive end. Cooper was good against the run, good in playing leverage, playing angles, taking on blocks. Kenny Willekes played the zone read option well.

5. Matt Morrissey had some good snaps in the nickel defense. He supported the run smart, quick and physical.

Morrissey, a junior, began the year as a starter. He had some struggles. He spent some weeks out of the playing group. Last week, he was back, and he was better. He’s more decisive. He has grown.

6. The package is expanding.

Michigan State played a 3-4 defense on second-down situations throughout most of the game.

The Spartans stood up Cooper as an OLB on the first second-down situation of the game.

The rest of the game, they stood up Willekes as an inside linebacker, in the middle with Bachie.

The look might have confused Maryland’s blockers a little bit, but probably not all that much once the game was underway.

I haven’t had a chance to ask Michigan State coaches what they wanted to accomplish with the 3-4. Sometimes, it’s a matter of getting one lineman out of the wash, and able to be up and pursuing sideline-to-sideline more freely. Willekes has the quickness to play inside linebacker to an extent. He’s a former walk-on linebacker, but at his current weight, you wouldn’t want him chasing JK Dobbins from sideline to sideline. But there was something about Maryland’s schemes that made Michigan State compelled to expand the package to include some legit 3-4 concepts.

And it wasn’t just a nickel 30 third-down type of look. It was a legit 3-4, although it remained a one-gapping 3-4. It wasn’t a two-gapping, Alabama style 30 with a middle guard.

The usage of the 3-4 goes along with a defensive package that has been updating and expanding all season. In pass defense, Michigan State has played more cover-two (halves) coverage than in the past, maybe the most ever under Dantonio. And they played more man-to-man in the first half of the season than in past years.

Michigan State is still a base quarters coverage team. But instead of playing base quarters on 90 pct of non-blitz downs (as has been the case in the past), I would estimate that Michigan State has been base quarters maybe 45 percent of the time in non-blitz situations. There have been some games when Michigan State has been back to its base quarters for 80 to 90 percent of its non-blitz downs, and other games (earlier in the year) when it has played base quarters less than 33 percent of the time.

Mike Tressel and Harlon Barnett have said they wanted to be less predictable on defense, and prevent opposing offensive coordinators and quarterbacks from anticipating with certainty where defenders are going to be. They’ve achieved that this year, and they’ll look to build on that as this defense continues to mature in the weeks and months ahead.

BACK TO LUCAS, SIMMONS, COOPER

* Cooper has taken a step of improvement late in his career - late this season, actually - in defeating blocks in the run game.

He has only 1.5 sacks on the year and just 23 tackles. But last weekend, he had a couple of physical plus plays.

+ On the second play of the game last week, Maryland left Cooper unblocked, and tried to draw him upfield for a trap block.

Cooper didn’t take the bait. He came upfield but remained tight to the formation and anticipated a trap block from the pull guard.

The guard charged at Cooper, full-blast. Cooper got low and blasted his right shoulder into the pull guard. The guard, running at full-speed into a stand-still Cooper, got zero movement on Cooper. Cooper kept the gap tight, zero daylight, and Khari Willis came in for a near-leg tackle. It was a gain of a yard, but a painful play for Maryland. The guard found, as we all did, that Cooper can be tougher and more firm than his slender (but muscular) frame would indicate. And the RB whom Willis tackle hobbled off the field.

+ On Maryland’s second drive, Cooper made the transition from pass rush to run defense on a draw play, making the tackle and holding it to a gain of one. Looked like a vet.

+ On second-and-10 in the second quarter, Michigan State went with the 3-4 defense. Maryland tried a WR screen. (Perhaps MSU’s reason for going with a 3-4 on second-and-long was a Maryland tendency to throw short to the perimeter in those situations.)

On this play, Cooper read the screen action quickly and pursued to the sideline like an athlete.

Willis bounced the play, and Cooper made the tackle for a loss of three.

A d-end making a TFL on a WR screen? That’s the kind of day Cooper had, again, as an all-around player.

+ On the first play of the second half, Cooper took on the right tackle on an outside zone run right at him. He put two hands on the right tackle, controlled him, disengaged and made FAST convergence for a TFL.

He showed knowledge, technique, strength, ability to disengage and short-area quickness on that play.

That was perhaps the best I’ve ever seen him play the run. It’s hard to play that play better than he did.

If you didn’t know better, you’d think he was an NFL prospect on that play.

+ In the third quarter, Maryland tried that trap play again. Again, he took on the pulling guard, who was running right at him at a good rate of speed. Cooper got low and once again blasted his inside shoulder into the guard. He hit the guard so hard that the guard bounced off of him like one of those inflatable sumo wrestler outfits that you see at halftime shows. The guard, at about 300 pounds, bounced off of Cooper and back into the running back with force that knocked the RB to the ground for no gain. Seriously. This was comical.

Cooper? Was that really Cooper.

**

So what does Cooper’s strong play mean for the team and the program? Maybe not much at this late stage. But he played plus football last week and seems to be improving rather than playing out the string.

He’s always been a lean, high-ceiling, slow-improvement guy. Maybe he’s a guy that keep maturing into his 20s, like Lemar Marshall. I’m not saying he’s an NFL guy, but any NFL scout who watched the Michigan State-Maryland game came out of it with Cooper as a name to keep an eye on at the combines.

And feel free to root for him. He had some off-field trouble last off-season, that’s not who he is.

It’ll be interesting to see if he continues this upward trend into bowl practice and the postseason. Michigan State could use that from him.

ANTJUAN SIMMONS PLUS PLAYS

* Simmons played a career-high 26 snaps against Ohio State. I don’t have his snap count against the Terps, but I charted him with more plus plays than ever before.

++ On a second-and-17 in the second quarter, Michigan State went with a two-DL look, a sub-nickel type of look. They had 4-3 personnel on the field, but only had two of the four defensive linemen down in a three-point stance. Michigan State had Willekes and Dillon Alexander standing up.

Maryland surprised Michigan State with a counter run. Michigan State needed its front seven to convert to run defense, and Simmons more than filled the bill.

Simmons came forward and took on the lead-blocking H-back. Simmons not only took on the H-back, he took him on low, in Pat Narduzzi fashion, and flat-out sawed off that guy at the knees.

Simmons’ play cleared the way for Morrissey to come forward and make a clean tackle and hold what looked like a promising play to a gain of 2.

+ Simmons had a TFL on a read option counter. Maryland optioned Willekes, leaving him unblocked. Simmons showed QUICK FEET, agile, in coming up to the edge, playing it outside-in, correctly, athletically, and strong tackling ability. Terrific play by a freshman. He looked mature, smart and showed short-area quickness.

(Gerald Owens also played it with quickness, too, converging from outside-in).

+ In the second quarter, Willekes was firm against a point-of-attack blocking. Simmons played behind him, shuffled with quickness and stopped the RB for no gain. Good quickness in playing square. He’s there on time, perhaps gaining more trust and consistency in doing that than Dowell has established.

+ Good tackle, reading and CLOSING QUICKLY to lay out to stop a ball carrier after a gain of 7. Joe Bachie had gotten out of his gap on a third-and-two play, and Simmons cleaned it up before it got out to the third level.

(Bachie had a good game. This was an isolated incident for him).

COLLIN LUCAS PLUS PLAYS

Lucas (6-1, 232, Jr., Avon Lake, Ohio) has been a functional FB most of the season. But he had never been what I would call a forceful fullback - until last Saturday.

Some notable ones:

+ On LJ Scott’s 14-yard run on the opening drive, Lucas put a physical block on the MLB. (David Beedle controlled the d-end and mvoed him two yards).

+ On Scott’s 2-yard TD run in the first quarter, Lucas put a lead block on the outside linebacker. Physical hit.

+ On MSU’s third drive of the game, Lucas hammered an inside linebacker and won the collision. Scott gained eight yards (Higby pulled and executed a physical kickout block).

Over the course of the game, this was the hardest I’ve ever seen Lucas hit people. He wasn’t a crusher. But he was forceful. It’s as if he has an improved mental grasp on where to be and how to do it, so now he’s loading up with more power. This is a great development for the run game.

ONE MORE THING …

Michigan State did a good job of establishing the inside zone run last week.

Off of that, they made the defense bite on the inside zone, and QB Brian Lewerke was able to fake the zone and keep it as part of the zone read option for a 25-yard TD (and a 12-yard keeper earlier in the drive).

After those plays, Lewerke said he noticed the d-end staying wider to honor the QB keeper, which kept things a little cleaner for the RB to run inside.

Example: On a third-and-four in the third quarter, Michigan State ran an inside zone out of the shot gun.

But it wasn’t just any zone read. It was a zone read option. But the DE stayed home to honor Lewerke. So he handed it to Holmes.

Holmes broke out for a gain of 15 on the play, getting a good double-team block from Kevin Jarvis and Luke Campbell on the right side. They destroyed a Maryland defensive tackle, moving him back three yards.

**

Michigan State wasn’t perfect last week, left some points on the field, and allowed Maryland to get back into the game in the last five minutes - similar to the Minnesota game in some respects.

The challenge this week is to gain control early - like the Spartans did against Minnesota and Maryland - and (this time) finish the job with a TKO before the fourth quarter.

KICK IT OFF

An abbreviated (compared to the usual Pre-Snap Read) look at the opponent:

RUTGERS THIS YEAR:

L Washington 30, Rutgers 14

L Eastern Michigan 16, Rutgers 13

W Rutgers 65, Morgan State 0

L Nebraska 27, Rutgers 17

L Ohio State 56, Rutgers 0

W Rutgers 35, Illinois 24

W Rutgers 14, Purdue 12

L Michigan 35, Rutgers 14

W Rutgers 31, Maryland 24

L Penn State 35, Rutgers 6

L Indiana 41, Rutgers 0

“Three Big Ten wins in your second year and a chance to get a fourth is a step in the right direction,” said Rutgers offensive coordinator Jerry Kill. “The one we really messed up was Eastern Michigan. You have to win that game. And I think Indiana is a lot better team than their record shows because of their schedule. They had some really good skill players.”

LAST WEEK: Indiana 41, Rutgers 0

That was Indiana’s first Big Ten shutout since 1993, and is the largest margin of victory in a Big Ten game since 1990.

* Indiana out-rushed Rutgers 267-87.

* Indiana had two running backs rush for more than 100 a yards - Morgan Ellison rushed for 148 yards and Cole Gest rushed for 104.

Rutgers coach Chris Ash was asked what message he would want to send to Rutgers fans after that game:

“That we’re better than this,” he said. “We’ve been better than this, we’ve played better than this. We’ve come too far to play a game like this. It’s on me. Gotta find a way to coach better. It’s a 41-0 ass kicking. We have improved, we’ve done a lot of good things this year, this wasn’t a good day.”

So that’s the challenge for Rutgers. Are they playing out the string? Do they have anything to pay for?

Rutgers is looking for a fourth Big Ten win, which would be the most the Scarlet Knights have had in a season since joining the conference. Ash is trying to use that, along with Senior Day, as motivation.

We’ll see if any of it works. If it doesn’t work, Rutgers is likely headed for another blowout, shutout loss, or something similar.

THE MACRO ON RUTGERS:

* They are a run-oriented team, without much run-game power.

They have a pair of pretty good running backs, and Rutgers does some good things with inside zone blocking. But they don’t have enough balance to spread a defense out.

They don’t have a pass game to back the defense off.

And their run game is not varied. I saw them pull a lineman only once in the first three quarters against Penn State.

They run the inside zone well. But if that’s ALL that you do, and you don’t have a pass game to balance it out, the end results aren’t going to be good. And that’s Rutgers’ offense.

* Rutgers is dead last in the Big Ten in total offense and 13th in scoring offense.

* Rutgers is No. 6 in the Big Ten in rushing offense at 159 yards per game (Michigan State is No. 7 at 158 per game).

* Rutgers averages 4.1 yards per carry, Michigan State averages 4.0 yards per carry.

* Rutgers has thrown only six TD passes all year, against nine INTs.

* Rutgers is averaging only 117 yards passing per game.

* Rutgers has allowed the fewest sacks in the Big Ten at 16, partly because they rarely throw the ball (Only Minnesota has attempted fewer passes this year in the Big Ten).

But their pass protection honestly looks pretty good when I watched them closely against PSU two weeks ago. Pretty good and QB Giovanni Rescigno is elusive in the pocket.

RUTGERS DEFENSE:

* Rutgers ranks No. 11 in the Big Ten in rushing defense at 179 yards per game, and is No. 13 in the Big Ten in yards allowed per carry (4.7), trailing only Nebraska’s 5.4.

* Pass defense isn’t any better. Rutgers is allowing 7.2 yards per pass attempt which is tied for worst in the Big Ten.

* Does Rutgers do anything well on defense? Not really, but they rank No. 4 in the Big Ten in interceptions with 12 (Michigan State is No. 5 with 11).

* Rutgers is tied for last in the Big Ten in sacks with just 14 on the year.

* They run a 3-4 defense, if you were wondering.

* 6 MLB DEONTE ROBERTS is a captain and shows up on film a little bit, including a big hit on PSU’s Barkley in the 3q vs a speed option pitch.

* Player of Note: No. 58 d-end KEMOKO TURAY (6-5, 247, Sr., Newark, NJ).

Turay has a team-high 2.5 sacks on the year.

Turay was honorable mention All-Big Ten by media as a freshman in 2014, with 7.5 sacks and no starts. Media voted him in despite not being a starter and being a passing down specialist.

He’s had a pretty good senior year with 53 tackles, ranking fourth on the team.

* DT 95 JON BATEKY (6-3, 300, Jr.)

+ Had a sack against PSU in the first quarter, grabbling the PSU left guard, pulling him forward off-balance, and going around him, running the hoop fairly decently.

They have some guys that are good once in awhile but, as a defense, they have trouble stringing plays and series together (like Maryland).

* S 2 KIY HESTER (6-0, 208, Jr., Plainfield, NJ), you may remember him. Michigan State recruited him, probably came in second.

* I watched him a little bit in a couple of games, arrived at no opinion.

OTHER STUFF:

* Rutgers went with Louisville grad transfer Kyle Bolin as the starting QB for the first half of the season.

Then Rutgers replaced him with Giovanni Rescigno, who had started a little bit last year.

Last week, Rescigno was replaced by freshman QB JOHNATHAN LEWIS (6-3, 240). Lewis had a team-high 36 yards rushing on six carries.

Rescigno took some hard shots last week, “I’m surprised he got up a couple of times,” said o-coordinator Jerry Kill. “It’s a unit thing. He needs guys to get open.”

So the QB controversy continues at Rutgers. Ash indicated that Rescigno is likely to remain the starter but said it would be evaluated this week in practice.

Evaluating practice in week 12 to make a QB decision is … not ideal.

TWO WEEKS AGO VS PENN STATE (a 35-6 loss):

* Rutgers had won three out of four games heading into this bout at Happy Valley. And Rutgers played real well for two quarters.

* Through the first 18 minutes of the game, Rutgers had out-rushed Penn State 90-11, thanks to two or three chunk plays. Rutgers kicked a pair of early field goals to go up 6-0 (thanks to a fumbled opening kickoff on one; but Rutgers drove and earned the second field goal).

* PSU had trailed for only 15 minutes all season in the first nine games of the year, prior to the Rutgers game. Then Rutgers went out and led against PSU for 20 minutes in the first half of that game.

Then PSU dominated the last few minutes of the first half and the entire second half.

RUTGERS PERSONNEL TO KNOW

* QB Giovanni Rescigno (6-3, 228, Jr.)

* Was 0-5 as a starter last year. Had a 3-1 streak as a starter this year prior to losing the last two games.

Is completing 48.5 pct of his passes. Has 2 TDs and 1 INT on the year. He has started six games and played in eight.

* Rescigno replaced Louisville transfer Kyle Bolin as the starting QB midway through the season.

* Bolin started five games. He completed 55 pct of his passes with 3 TDs and 6 INTs.

* Rescigno isn’t much of a passer but he provides more lively legs than Bolin.

* Rescigno runs with quick feet, almost as quick as Brian Lewerke. Kind of similar that way. But he is erratic as a passer.

* WR Janarion Grant (5-10, 178, Sr., Trilby, Fla.) was slowed by an ankle injury this year. He is listed as questionable this weekend. He didn’t crack the box score last week. He has seen action in only seven games and has just 16 catches this year after considering a jump to the NFL after last year.

+ Grant had a 65-yard TD run against Michigan off an direct snap.

* Their leading pass catcher is tight end Jerome Washington (No. 88, 6-4, 258, Elizabeth, NJ), who has 27 catches and 1 TD. He is averaging 24.8 yards receiving per game.

He was a four-star recruit. He signed with Miami but was given a release after Miami changed coaches.

IS RUTGERS A THREAT?

Probably not - unless you fumble kickoffs like Penn State once.

Rescigno is erratic, but - if healthy - Janarion Grant is a game-breaker. The combination of an erratic QB and a game-breaking WR is essentially what Minnesota had in successfully rolling the dice a few times late in its game against Michigan State.

Can Rutgers duplicate that? It’s doubtful.

* RUTGERS RUN GAME

* Very, very basic inside zone run game from the shot gun and some pistol. They didn’t run anything but zone vs PSU until they ran a power late in the 3q. Then it was back to zone.

Rescigno has good foot quickness, very good, but I didn’t see them run zone read option keepers for the QB at all vs PSU. Maybe they’re trying to keep him healthy.

But I don’t remember Jerry Kill running any zone read option while at Minnesota. They were primarily a designed-give team, although playing in shot gun with a zone read type of mesh. It wasn’t often an actual read, from what I could gather.

They are shot gun inside zone team. Over and over. It’s strange to do that as your primary look without incorporating the read/keeper.

Michigan State’s defense, if it does ONE thing especially well, it’s stopping the basic inside zone.

I would expect Michigan State to stifle the Rutgers run game, unless Rutgers has some broad new wrinkles, which I don’t expect.

THE RUTGERS RUN GAME

* RB Gus Edwards (6-1, 235, Sr., Staten Island, NY) has 703 yards on the year, averaging 63 per game and 4.4 per carry with six TDs. He broke the 100-yard mark once this year with 109 yards on 21 carries three weeks ago against Maryland.

* Good inside runner.

Last week, he had seven carries last week for 30 yards.

Two weeks ago against Penn State, he had 13 carries for 43 yards.

* 80 percent of their play calls in the red zone this year are run plays.

* RB Robert Martin (5-11, 212, Sr.)

* Led team with 625 yards last year.

* RB Raheem Blackshear (5-9, 185, Warminster, Pa.) rushed for 87 yards against Illinois.

* Good speed to the outside. Good future.

You may remember that he visited Michigan State last January and was a silent verbal at one time. It’s unclear whether he backed off on Michigan State, or the other way around. But an impending commitment was broken at some point.

Rutgers might not be the most motivated team in the world on Saturday, but Blackshear will be.

INTERESTING QUOTE

* O-Coordinator Jerry Kill on the state of the Rutgers program: “I was fortunate to have the same people, most of them for 16 to 20 years. Continuity, when you’re turning around a program is very, very important. I’ve done this five different times and this isn’t any different than the other five - we had the same questions about quarterback and this and that. In some ways, this is Coach Ash’s first year because when you take over the job late, it’s tough. But we’ve made some progress. I think that’s evident in some areas. We just haven’t got everything fixed yet and that only comes through recruiting and continuity.

“We have two or three guys playing both ways. We just don’t have the depth. That comes with recruiting.

“This job wouldn’t have been open if it was a great job at the time. Most of the time the job is open because there are issues, and a lot of them. You just can’t take care of all of them all at once.

“I think getting three Big Ten wins was important. We need to get a fourth one.

“Why we played the way we did against Indiana, I don’t know. I asked all five quarterbacks that, and we talked about it. We just didn’t play like we’ve been playing. Even in the loss to Penn State, I thought we played hard and did some good things.

“Against Indiana, I think they got up so fast and emotionally our kids didn’t respond. They got on us so quick and I think our kids were culture shocked. I think that’s a sign of a team that hasn’t been there. Maybe they were nervous because they were playing to have a chance to go to a bowl game and they haven’t been used to that for awhile. Those are the million-dollar questions. If you get ‘em answered, send them to me.”

SPECIAL TEAMS

* Their punter ranks No. 1 in the Big Ten at 44.6 per attempt, and No. 1 in the Big Ten in kickoff net average.

* Rutgers opened the Penn State game two weeks ago with a pooch kickoff (to avoid Barkley), and Rutgers recovered it. Michigan State doesn’t have a Barkley, but Rutgers is in need of some life, and has little to lose, so something tricky on the opening kick is possible.

* Trailing 21-6 late in the 3q, Rutgers faked a punt at PSU and failed. They snapped it to one of the punt protectors and tried to run straight into the line. Didn’t work. But this is a team with nothing to lose.

ADD IT ALL UP

If MSU has a motivational edge over Rutgers in this game, the Spartan run game SHOULD put a hole in these guys, any way they choose. With good weather, facing a team that doesn’t specialize in stopping the run, or the pass or rushing the passer, Michigan State SHOULD finally (for the first time in the conference season) establish some offensive balance - perhaps in impressive form.

Michigan State has as much offensive balance POTENTIAL as any team in the Big Ten (with the possible exception of Ohio State and maybe Penn State). That potential hasn’t been met this year, but it could come to fruition in this game, with Lewerke, his receivers, and MSU’s running backs sharing the ball with good productivity.

On defense, Rutgers isn’t difficult to solve, and Michigan State specializes in stopping what Rutgers tries to do well.

I wouldn’t expect Rutgers to pull a page out of the Pitt Panthers playbook and play inspired, physical football in this game.

Read & React: A Six Pack of Dantonio Quotes (and reaction)

Read & React: A six-pack of Dantonio quotes (and reaction)

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Jim Comparoni • SpartanMag.com

@JimComparoni

EAST LANSING - A “Six Pack” of interesting Mark Dantonio quotes from his weekly press conference, and publisher Jim Comparoni’s reaction:

1. Dantonio on Brian Lewerke’s 2-for-14 performance against Maryland:

“Probably what I should have said last Saturday night was that we got great game management from our quarterback. Great scramble on the third down play, the first drive. Another quarterback run for a 25-yard touchdown. No turnovers. Got out of trouble another time on a scramble. Just couldn't throw the ball very effectively because of the weather.

“We only attempted four passes in the second half. That was by design. Again, we had a three-possession lead. It was bad out there. The footing was poor. So we just didn't go in that direction.

“But I have complete confidence in him. Think he can make plays. We've seen him make enough plays in 11 games that would indicate to me that he has a big, big future here, not just at this school but in this conference. I'm excited about that.”

COMP’S TAKE: I assumed it was self-evident on Saturday as to why Lewerke’s offensive numbers were off. It was the weather, obviously.

But I was surprised to hear a smattering of complaints around the internet about Lewerke’s play. I asked one guy, “Did you think the game was played in a dome?”

Anyone who attended the game knows how challenging it was to throw the ball that day. Anyone criticizing Lewerke’s play that day must not have been at the stadium.

The response to that from critics is that Maryland’s quarterback wasn’t bothered by the elements at the end of the game.

Well, the wind and snow died down quite a bit in the last five minutes.

And Maryland did work the sidelines for a handful of passes and hit Michigan State with a 20-yarder over the middle on a nice slant-and-go.

So they completed a handful of passes at a time when Lewerke was instructed to hand it off.

Considering the elements, did Michigan State attempt a few too many high-difficulty passes? Probably so. Maryland did a better job on its last two possessions of working the sidelines and flats.

As for Lewerke, he threw 12 incompletions.

In going back over those 12, I found three inaccurate passes that were on him (all to the short sidelines, early in the game, missing high).

The other nine:

* Two were thrown away due to no one being open in the final seconds of the first half (hence Dantonio’s “game management” compliment).

* Three were dropped (by Trishton Jackson, Gerald Holmes and LJ Scott).

The drops by the running backs probably could have been delivered a little more delicately. Those weren’t easy short catches to make. But still, they were drops.

As for Jackson, this is the second straight game he looked a little awkward turning back for the ball along the sideline. And he looked frustrated with himself after that drop. He needs to make some plays and get some confidence back heading into bowl practice.

* Three were affective by foot slippage due to the field conditions (two with Lewerke falling while throwing, and one with TE Matt Sokol having to tip-toe on an out cut, then diving for an incompletion. Sokol got a hand on the ball. Some would put this one in the “drop” category.

As for one of those QB-slip incompletions, it came on third-and-nine in the fourth quarter. This one was instance in which Lewerke did not exhibit good game management skills. The pass play had little chance to pick up first-down yardage. He threw it dangerously, and would have been a 50-50 type of ball if he had gotten it near the target. Maryland had just cut the lead to 17-7. A pick-six there was as likely as a completion for a first down. That was probably the only poor decision he made all day.

* One incompletion was a deep fade for Cody White on a second-and-10 in the second half. Seemed like a high-difficulty choice considering the elements. But Lewerke is ambitious and you have to like that about him.

* Add it all up and I have three inaccurate passes, and a fourth ill-advised pass.

And Lewerke was asked several times after the game about his 2-for-14 performance, as if it’s a free throw percentage or something. People, there were other variables involved.
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2. Dantonio: “It’s been 10 weeks since our bye week, so we've been going at it for 10 straight weeks. Sort of grinding, everything. But I think our football team is ready to play its final game. We're looking forward to it.”

COMP’S TAKE: I’m usually the guy pointing out the lack of a bye week for reasons why teams can lose their fizz at this time of year.

I’m impressed that this team hasn’t shown many effects of a difficult scheduling run. Well, maybe it hit in the Ohio State game a little bit. Maybe some mental and physical fatigue set in as part of the problems coaches and players talked about in terms of being ill-prepared for Ohio State’s unbalanced lines and subtle formation changes. A little more energy, a little more recall in the film room, a little more fizz, and maybe a few of those out-flank situations wouldn’t have happened.

Michigan State still would have lost, but perhaps the Spartans would have shown up a bit better were it not for this string of eight, nine, 10 games without a bye.

So we’ll see how it works for them this weekend at Rutgers. One major difference between the two teams is that Michigan State seems genuinely amped up about getting to nine wins, whereas Rutgers is now out of contention for a bowl bid.

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3. Dantonio:
“We flipped 3-8 (from last year) to 8-3. It's rewarding to flip it. It's rewarding to see that, to see there's something that all your hard work comes to fruition and all the things you talk about and go through as a group, you see that sort of move forward. You don't want to take any shine off of this season.”

COMP’S TAKE: I like Dantonio’s use of a mantra for game week, this week. He’s a man of many mantras in the preseason. This “Flip It” battle cry is a good one. They’re into it. It’s important that they stay focused and finish this.

Hence “You don’t want to take any shine off of this season.” Another mantra.

I think that stuff works. And I expect it to help them get rally for a ninth win this weekend.
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4. Dantonio: “I think one of the main things we keep talking about is momentum, continuing to keep momentum as we go into the bowl game. Relative to how the season has gone this year, to finish going like (upward) is very, very important. Our players believe that they can flip this back.”

COMP’S TAKE: There’s that mantra again.

Secondly, there’s a lot of merit to those comments. Michigan State has momentum this week as a team. And if the Spartans get to nine wins, there will be true momentum for the program.

Michigan State isn’t going to win the Big Ten this year. But I think fans have regained an appreciation for a nine-win season, and the quest for a 10-win season. Dantonio can talk in terms of accomplishments and momentum with an 8-3 record and it’s completely justified. That’s the sign of a healthy, grounded team, program and community. There is a feeling of security about the progress and the future, and having a realistic outlook on the chance to go 10-3, and what it means with so many young players.

That’s a much healthier state of being than the insecurity we’ve seen stall SEC programs. You lose one game in that conference and distractions make it almost impossible for a coach to keep a football army marching properly. I think the rabid nature of fan support at many of those schools has moved their needle past the point of diminishing returns. I’ll be interested to see just how attractive the job openings are in the SEC in the coming weeks.

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5. Dantonio: “I don't think growth ever stops. We're finishing our 11th season, but there's still growth in this program. That's the impressive thing. Point of emphasis is what our seniors have been able to accomplish. Hopefully we have awesome momentum and it will carry us forward.

“That's something that we can point to, like I said before, a little bit of a life moment, a challenge for all of us as we move forward. Any time you go through something like that (last year’s 3-9 record) where there's a lot of frustration, you bounce back a little stronger.

“I think sometimes you have to go to those depths to find yourself a little bit, to reach down. I think people sort of find themselves. They really look at themselves a lot harder sometimes when they're not successful. Once they have some quiet time, some time to recollect themselves, critique themselves, we've done that as an entire program, you work at it.

“Football is a grind. You start working back in winter workouts, summer, spring ball, all these different phases you go through. Throughout every phase there's days, there's meetings, there's different people getting to you as a person. Our strength coach, position coaches, the different people in the program, the head coach, all these different people are touching our players. They got some time to sort of reflect. I think reflection probably is as much as anything in terms of what allows us to take that next step.”

COMP’S TAKE: The coaches gained reaffirmation that what they do … works.

In the process, they gained further confirmation that they had simply allowed some of the elements that built the program into a power become stale.

Dantonio tightened the screws in every aspect of the program, and we’ve seen improved quality control across the board.

What they do works. Now they will have better reason to keep doing what they do in off-seasons to come, and doing it with tight screws.
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6. “Lewerke has guys that he can throw the football to. Then you compound that with the ability to run the football last week, which was needed. We needed to take a step in that direction, and we did. I think maybe we'll peak in our 12th game, maybe our 13th. I think we still have not peaked yet as a complete football team. Maybe you never do, I don't know.”

COMP’S TAKE: I think something close to a peak might be witnessed this week. Rutgers has been a run-oriented offense this year. Michigan State has stuffed most run-oriented offenses its faced this year, especially inside-zone teams like the ones Rutgers o-coordinator Jerry Kill usually fields.

It’s supposed to be sunny at 56 on Saturday at Rutgers. Lewerke should have good throwing conditions, good pass protection. The run game gained some traction last week and is ending the season in the soft spot of the Big Ten East schedule.

Conditions are in place for the Spartans to achieve a measure of offensive balance for the first time in a long while. The Spartans should be able to mix the run and pass and finish the regular season with everyone feeling good about the week’s accomplishment and the season’s accomplishments.

Then they can try to gear toward peaking against a quality opponent at bowl time. These are healthy, positive days … provided that they close this thing out properly on Saturday.


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Mark Dantonio hugs his game manager after Saturday's victory over Maryland.




MEN'S BASKETBALL Early Look at Tournament Sites

We have a long way to go until March, but I am always interested in the geography of the tournament. In the past decade or so, the committee has prioritized the idea of keeping teams close to home. As we look at the possible locations where MSU could be playing, we can already start to make some predictions

First, to me it looks quite likely that MSU will get to play in Detroit in the first two rounds. Even if the team stumbles a little, as long as they stay in the Top 10 or so, Detroit is very likely. The reason is that if you look at the other possible sites, Detroit won't be the closest pod to very many other teams. Those sites are:

Pittsburgh, PA
Wichita, KS
Dallas, TX
Boise, ID
Charlotte, NC
Detroit, MI
Nashville, TN
San Diego, CA

If we look at the current Top 25, only Purdue and Notre Dame would likely prefer Detroit. Cincinnati and Xavier are also possibilities, but they might prefer Pittsburgh. Of course, the worst case is the dreaded 4-seed that gets shipped out West. That certainly could happen, but it does not seem likely at this point.

If MSU is fortunate enough to be a Top 3ish seed, we will also get preferentially placed in region. But, the Regional sites are:

Atlanta, GA => 774 miles from East Lansing by Google Maps
Los Angeles, CA => a long way from East Lansing
Boston, MA => 711 miles (if you drive through Canada)
Omaha, NE => 676 miles

So, MSU would seem to prefer the "Midwest" Region in Omaha, but it is not that much closer than either Boston or Atlanta. If MSU does get the Midwest, then we are likely going to see teams such as Kansas, Wichita State, Notre Dame, Baylor, and Texas A&M who would also prefer this Region.

If MSU slips up a bit, or if the committee is trying to "optimize" things, I think the East Region in Boston is also fairly likely. The reason is that there are not that many ranked "east coast" teams this year. Villanova is the only one, really. In contrast, lots of teams will want the South Region, including Duke, Florida, UNC, Kentucky, Miami, Cincinnati and Xavier. It just seems very unlikely for MSU to be placed there.

If MSU does wind up in the East, the 2nd place ACC team will likely wind up there as well, if I had to guess. So, if you don't want a possible Duke rematch until the Final Four, it is best if the Blue Devils win the ACC. If MSU is a low 2-seed or a 3-seed, the West Region is also in play, where teams like Arizona, Gonzaga, and whoever finishes 2nd in the Big 12 (Baylor?) are likely to wind up.

Again, it's early, but this is how I see things in late November.

Story on front: Check it out

Spartans Proving To Be Tough Mudders:

https://michiganstate.rivals.com/news/spartans-proving-to-be-tough-mudders

(if you get a chance, make sure to like it on facebook and said it to MSU friends. We could use some new subscribers this week for the gift-giving season).

By the way, what do you think is the best way for us to pitch SpartanMag as a gift, trying to get new members? It's kind of a hard thing for people to give as a gift, unless they have a card or something to go with it. Any ideas? Email me at jimcomp@sbcglobal.net

Maybe gifting isn't the best way to go, and instead promote the idea of joining the community here so that we can yell at each other, and sometimes UM fans like that jimjim guy this morning. (We blacklisted him, by the way)

Thoughts?
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Pre-Snap Read: MSU vs Maryland

Pre-Snap Read: MSU vs Maryland

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By Jim Comparoni
Publisher, SpartanMag.com

EAST LANSING - The consolation after last week’s loss at Ohio State was the idea that Michigan State can and should win the last two games and get to 9-3.

A lot of people, including myself, are talking about 9-3 like it’s almost a done deal.

Well, it’s not.

Maryland isn’t as bad as they played last week against Michigan. They had a fifth-string QB last week, and he wasn’t capable of throwing.

They should have Max Bortenschlager back at QB this week. He began the year as a fourth-string QB but he is decently functional. He has started five games. He is 2-3 as a starter with wins over Indiana and Minnesota.

I suspect if you polled Indiana players as to which team is better, Maryland or Michigan State, you might get a 50-50 split.

I think Indiana d-linemen would tell you that Maryland’s run game is better than Michigan State’s.

As good as MSU’s WRs are, I think Indiana CB Rashard Fant would tell you that no one for Michigan State is as good as Maryland WR D.J. Moore.

Maryland’s defensive front is active and sturdy. I have questions about the way they fill their linebackers. And they are bad on third down because their pass rush is not good and you can plan for man-to-man coverage.

But your QB needs to be accurate.

The weather man says (in my George Kell voice) it’s going to be about 39 degrees and raining throughout the game.

I hate that for the fans. Snowfall would be better. There’s not much worse than 30s and rain. But Mark Dantonio said on his radio show last night that he wants Michigan State fans to “gear up” and show up. They need it, for senior day.

This is not a lead-pipe cinch victory.

FINAL ANALYSIS FIRST

Michigan State was terrible against the run last week against Ohio State. Like I said in the Skull Session, when going back over the film, I didn’t think Michigan State was physically manhandled or athletically blown out.

I thought Michigan State had problems with misalignment way too often. Too often with five guys in three gaps on one side of the line, and two guys in four gaps on the other side.

Dantonio said there were problems getting calls in, getting calls relayed, problems with the tempo that they didn’t expect.

It led to “being out-flanked” as Dantonio said.

That’s a good term. It’s a macro term. On more of a mico level, the simplest way I can say it is five guys in three gaps over here and three guys trying to cover four or five gaps over there.

Sometimes Ohio State scooped or reached Michigan State d-linemen and carved them out of a gap (which was the case on the first long TD run of 47 yards).

Dantonio felt OSU moved the line of scrimmage vs Michigan State defensive tackles. He felt Michigan State didn’t play double-teams on the inside zone “as well as they had (in other games).” I would agree with that but when I watched it again, Michigan State wasn’t as weak in that area as I expected. And like I said in the V-Cast, Mike Panasiuk was solid all game long.

Raequan Williams gave up a foot or two a few more times than usual. And Kyonta Stallworth was not good enough. So the film work and realization will be good for those guys. And this weeks marks the next challenge, because Maryland will challenge you with a good inside zone run game.

Michigan State needs to stop the inside zone, like they did against Western Michigan, Northwestern and several teams since then. Last week’s game should help Michigan State focus on the task of stopping the run this week. Michigan State is having its manhood challenged this week and I expect the run defense to respond.

Maryland ran the ball better against Indiana than Michigan State did. And they ran it a little better against Michigan than Michigan State did (although Michigan called off the dogs).

Maryland’s Rushing Offense:

180 vs Michigan

167 vs Rutgers

174 vs Indiana

143 vs Wisconsin

85 vs Northwestern

50 vs Ohio State

262 vs Minnesota

* The trend: Maryland has settled in as a rushing offense that gets somewhere between 150 and 175 against solid Big Ten teams.

* Their run game is heavy on inside zone, with little RBs squirting around with toughness, kind of like Western Michigan or Minnesota. Michigan State has matched up well against these type of run games.

After last week’s OSU film, Maryland will have some belief that they can do the same vs Michigan State. Meanwhile, Michigan State will be out to re-prove their manhood.

The good news for Michigan State: Maryland isn’t as varied as Ohio State (and of course not as talented).

Maryland doesn’t feature the QB run in the offense when Bortenschlager is the QB (but they do feature it when Brand is the QB because that’s about all he can do).

But they vary it a little bit with quick-action pull guards on counters.

* Maryland CAN go uptempo. From what I’ve seen, they prefer to do it in the red zone. But they can go to it at anytime, and they do it pretty well.

After seeing MSU’s struggles with it last week, Maryland will certainly test Michigan State with it this week.

Overall, Maryland’s run game is pretty good. Their QB, if it’s Bortenschlager, is functional, probably a little better right now than Iowa’s QB was in early October, a little better than Michigan’s O’Korn. He’s not bad, and his WRs run better routes than what O’Korn had to work with. Maryland’s WRs are better-coached than Michigan’s; they run tricky routes with slippery moves at the top of their routes.

Maryland can contain a one-dimensional run game. If Michigan State runs 70 pct of the time like they did against Indiana, they could get into a struggle in this game.

Maryland doesn’t have a good pass rush. Brian Lewerke will have time to throw and avenues to throw. If he’s good-to-solid, Michigan State should be okay.

But don’t miss field goals, like you did against Northwestern. Don’t give Maryland a blocked punt and a blocked PAT like they had against Indiana. Don’t allow strange, game-changing plays on special teams, and you should be okay.

But it’s going to take 60 minutes of football to win. Michigan State struggled with Indiana, ended up struggling with Minnesota. Maryland is in a similar category. Michigan State was capable of losing to Indiana and, as it turned out, Michigan State had some scares with Minnesota. If Michigan State doesn’t improve and build upon what they established and learned in the last three weeks against Northwestern, Penn State and Ohio State, then they could find themselves in another struggle.

But I think Michigan State will be recollected and aimed for a strong senior day showing.

REASONS FOR MSU TO BE CONCERNED:

* Wide receiver DJ Moore is truly outstanding. Michigan State had trouble late in the game with Minnesota’s top WR, couldn’t get a handle on him. Moore is better.

* Maryland’s run game is good. Not great. But good.

Probably better than Northwestern’s because I think their inside zone blocking is better than Northwestern’s, although Maryland’s RBs aren’t as good as NU’s Justin Jackson.

* Maryland ranks No. 2 in the Big Ten in turnover margin at +4.

* Maryland ranks No. 5 in the Big Ten in rushing offense at 173.3 yards per game and No. 4 in the Big Ten in yards per carry average at 4.6.

* Maryland is ranked No. 4 in the Big Ten in scoring offense (however just No. 11 in total offense.)

This quote from Indiana coach Tom Allen after the Hoosiers’ 42-39 loss to Maryland three weeks ago:

“I will say this, I will be very transparent: What they do, and what they did last year, it stresses our athleticism in spots. It does. And they have a lot of speed. You try your best to protect that without exposing guys. Sometimes that holds up and sometimes it doesn’t.

“But they run the ball so well that you have to make sure you get enough hats on the run.

“To me it’s a matter of them isolating some guys and the other guys won those one-on-ones. I just know that their speed makes it hard us and that’s just being honest.”

* Maryland has a penchant for making big plays on special teams.

* The Terps rank No. 3 in the Big Ten in kickoff return average and No. 3 in the Big Ten in punt return average.

WHERE MARYLAND IS WEAK:

* Third-down defense and third-down offense. Dead last in the Big Ten in both categories.

* Their injuries at QB obviously hurts them on third down.

* On defense, they are allowing teams to convert 49 pct on third down. (By familiar comparison Michigan State is No. 7 at 33 pct. And MSU’s offense is No. 3 in the Big Ten on third down at 41 pct, and had been No. 1 in the nation in third-and-eight or more prior to last week).

On defense, they are hurt by a lack of pass rush. They have only six sacks in Big Ten games, dead last in the conference (Michigan State has 16, tied for seventh).

[Maryland has 15 sacks on the year overall, ranked No. 12 in the Big Ten.]

* Pass defense: No. 13 in the Big Ten at 247 yards per game, having allowed a conference-high 20 TD passes.

* No. 14 in the Big Ten in pass efficiency defense.

* Maryland dead last in scoring defense in the Big Ten at 36.2 points per game.

WHERE MSU CAN HAVE SUCCESS:

* Offensive balance. Need to probe the run, as much as that irks people, to get the attention of linebackers and safeties for your pass game. But don’t spend all day trying to establish the run. There’s a delicate balance there.

Michigan spent a drive or two with mediocre results in the interior run game but eventually got it on track, and set up play-action passing with it.

Michigan State is not run blocking as well as Michigan right now. Michigan went with heavy formations and was dedicated to making it work.

Michigan State will do some of that, but I doubt Michigan State will want to try to make an afternoon out of it. Need balance.

* Michigan State should have time to throw. MSU’s pass protection failed last week against a good, charged-up OSU pass rush. Maryland’s pass rush is not good. Michigan State has been working all week with last week’s humbling experience in mind. That means they will be working to try to get up to the OSU level. That should yield quality pass pro this week. That’s the way this stuff usually works in college football.

* Maryland plays a lot of man-to-man, probably too much.

They blitz a lot on third down but still have trouble getting home. That leaves their man-to-man out to dry.

The combination of play-action passing on first or second down, and picking up blitzes on third down SHOULD give QB Brian Lewerke open avenues with which to work.

Lewerke’s ability to flush out and elongate plays and continue to read downfield also matches up well with this team that has a substandard pass rush, merely average pass defense and then ocasionally-shaky tackling in the secondary.

MARYLAND THUS FAR:

* Maryland is 4-6 overall and 2-5 in the Big Ten.

* After getting off to a 3-1 start, including a win over Texas, injuries at the QB position and a leaky defense has sunk the Terps’ season onto the bowl game ropes.

The results:

Maryland 51, Texas 41

Maryland 63, Towson 17

Central Florida 38, Maryland 10

Maryland 31, Minnesota 24

Ohio State 62, Maryland 14

Northwestern 37, Maryland 21

* The Wildcats rushed for 238 and passed for 293. That’s the type of balance Michigan State can and should aim for in this game.

Wisconsin 38, Maryland 13

Maryland 42, Indiana 39

Rutgers 31, Maryland 24

Michigan 35, Maryland 10.

LAST WEEK: Lost to Michigan, 35-10

* Trailed 28-0 at halftime.

* Maryland outscored Michigan 10-7 in the second half. Some think Harbaugh throttled back against his former defensive coordinator, DJ Durkin, who is now in his second year as head coach of the Terps.

* Maryland ended up out-gaining Michigan 340-305.

* Maryland averaged 5.6 yards per rush, Michigan averaged 4.2.

Durkin on Michigan game:

“You saw us in the second half finally take a deep breath and play good football,” Durkin said. “We’re a team still trying to find ourself. Last week, we started a fifth-string quarterback against one of the best teams in the country and there was some tentativeness, like, ‘Can we do this? Is this actually going to work?’ We finally gained some (belief) and just played, but you can’t do it that way. So we’re a team in the process of learning and growing.

“I love our team. I love where we’re at. There’s a lot of talent and a lot of guys that will continue to be part of this program moving forward that I think we can win a lot of games with.

“There was no yelling and screaming in the locker room at halftime. It was just, ‘Okay, are you ready to stop shooting ourselves in the foot and just play our game?’ And a credit to our guys, they went out and did that in the second half.”

VS INDIANA, three weeks ago:

* Indiana out-gained Maryland 483-345, and had a 35-18 edge in first downs.

* “We made too many mistakes to beat Big Ten team on the road,” said Indiana coach Tom Allen. “You lose by three and you get a punt blocked and give up a 70-yard kickoff return that ends up in points.”

* OUT OF WHACK STAT: Early in the fourth quarter, Indiana was 10-of-18 on third down; Maryland was 2-of-6.

Maryland was living on big plays and leading 35-33 at the time. Indiana was controlling the ball and scoring, but not enough.

OTHER STUFF

The game will be televised by Fox at 4 pm. Former Spartan golfer Holly Sonders is the sideline correspondent.

* Maryland beat Michigan State 28-17 last year. Michigan State led 17-14 before former Maryland QB Perry Hills led TD drives of eight and 10 plays to rally the Terps to victory.

Maryland rushed for 247 yards.

* Maryland has started four different QBs this season, with Ryan Brand getting his first start last week against Michigan.

* Maryland has won games with three different QBs this year: Pigrome, Hill and Bortenschlager.

INDIANA PERSONNEL

QUARTERBACK

* Sophomore Kasim Hill and freshman Tyrrell Pigrome each went down with knee injuries early in the year.

QB 18 MAX BORTENSCHLAGER (6-3, 211, Soph.)

* Inconsistent. Not bad at times, but sprays it inaccurately at times, like a third-and-seven open hitch vs Indiana in the 2Q on third down. After that one, he came to the sideline and threw some practice passes.

* Got caught starting down a receiver and not going through route progression to an open sit-down route during a sack late in the Indiana game when Maryland could have iced the game with a first down.

* Five starts this year. Is 2-3 as a starter.

* Began the year as third-string QB.

* Was a two-star recruit, unranked out of Indianapolis Cathedral.

* Had two MAC offers. Committed a few days before signing day.

* Sat out the Michigan game with an undisclosed injury.

* Maryland coach DJ Durkin said Bortenschlager will start against Michigan State “if he’s healthy.”

“I anticipate he’ll be ready to go,” Durkin said.

* Went down with an undisclosed injury during a 31-24 loss to Rutgers on Nov. 4.

* 88 of 172 passes for 1,007 yards with 10 TDs and 5 INTs this year.

* Maryland has won two of his three starts this year: at Minnesota on Sept. 30 and at home against Indiana on Oct. 28.

* Was 10 of 16 for 171 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT passes in win over Indiana.

* Passed for 255 yards and 3 TD passes against Northwestern.

* Made first start of season at Minnesota, going 18 of 28 with three TDs.

“Max is calm and tough and executes well for us and communicates well,” Durkin said. “He improves each game. He has really taken ownership of the job.”

* INT on deep pass, first pass attempt of game vs Indiana, left a deep fade short.

QB RYAN BRAND (S5-11, 182, Soph., Detroit Jesuit)

* Began the season as the No. 5 QB.

* Went 16 of 35 for 136 yards and 1 TD against Michigan.

* Walk-on.

* Began his career as a scholarship player at Air Force.

* Was 8 of 12 for 68 yards against Rutgers in relief.

* Threw a game-tying TD pass late in the Rutgers game but it was called back for holding.

QB CALEB HENDERSON (6-3, 225, Jr., Burke, Va.)

* Transfer from North Carolina.

* Played a little bit against Ohio State.

* Is listed No. 2 this week, behind Bortenschlager.

* Has had lingering ankle injuries.

WIDE RECEIVERS

* 104 of Indiana’s 141 receptions are funneled to only two guys No. 1 (Moore) and No. 12 (Jacobs)

++ 15-yard TD pass to Jacobs vs Indiana was a quality pass play. Jacobs was in the slot, ran a slant-and-go with a wiggle to the post at the top of the route. Off of play action, sucked the safety in. Good route. Good zip on the ball, good pass, accurate. Good football.

* Maryland WRs get you with slippery, subtle little double-moves. They just kind of bend and twist them upfield while getting depth and speed.

WR 1 DJ MOORE (5-11, 215, Jr., Philadelphia)

* Was a four-star recruit, ranked No. 6 in Pennsylvania.

* Was a July commitment. Michigan State took a long look at him. He aimed to impress Michigan State coaches at Detroit Sound Mind Sound Body Camp but did not get offered.

* Had offers from BC, Illinois, Indiana, Northwestern, Pitt, Virginia, but not a great list for a four-star guy who has become one of the best in the Big Ten. He was available. But Michigan State has done pretty well with its WR recruiting in the meantime.

* Leads the Big Ten with 64 catches.

* Leads the Big Ten in TD catches with 8 and receiving yards with 857.

* Had five receptions against Michigan.

* Has receptions in 31 straight games.

* Great hands, runs great routes. That’ll do it.

“He made a phenomenal catch on Rashard (Fant) in the first half that set up one of their touchdowns,” said Indiana coach Tom Allen.

That was a deep go route for about 35 yards on a deep go route. Good ball from Bortenschlager from the right hash to the left corner, good air - not too much - good zip, not too much. Good football.

++ Crazy good timing to high point the ball and snatch it for corner fade 5-yard TD vs Indiana’s ant to put Maryland up 28-23.

* As a receiver, Moore is like Darrell Stewart, but more slippery and crazy-good hands, plus timing to high-point and snatch it.

Said BTN’s Glen Mason: “They have good players, they just don’t have an abundance of them. Teams know that the ball is going to DJ Moore and they still don’t stop him.”

What’s he’s good at:

* Terrific tight square-in route at about 7 yards, going HIGH for the catch over the middle and going the distance for a 20-yard TD.

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TAIVON JACOBS (5-11, 170, Sr.)

* Has scored a TD in four of his last five games.

* Has 15 catches for 189 yards in the last two weeks.

* Has 40 catches on the year for 482 yards and 5 TDs.

RUNNING BACKS

6 TY JOHNSON (5-10, 208, Jr.)

* Rushed for 67 yards against Michigan.

* Became the 13th player in Maryland history to surpass the 2,000-yard career mark last week.

*

RB 2 LORENZO HARRISON (5-8, 195, Soph.)

* Has rushed for at least 60 yards in four straight weeks.

* Had 81 yards rushing against Michigan.

* Is averaging 5.3 yards per carry over the last four games.

* Quick little squatty guy with acceleration.

RB 34 Jake Funk (5-11, 202)

* A pretty good short-yardage, downhill slant guy. Has four TDs.

TE 48 DERRICK HAYWARD (6-5, 240, Sr.)

- Didn’t give good effort vs Indiana DE inside their own 5-yard line, resulting in RB Ty Johnson getting tackled in end zone for safety. Indiana led 16-7.

OFFENSIVE LINE

* I think pass pro looks pretty good on the left side.

* Zone blocking inside in the ground game is good, above average. Little RBs hide and squirt around pretty well on the inside zone.

* Maryland has allowed 26 sacks, tied for 12th worst in the Big Ten.

++ The LT/LG combination of 55 Gray and 70 Christie got great movement on Indiana DT on an inside zone to cave the line of scrimmage for RB Lorenzo Harrison’s 14-yard TD run in the 1Q. (Jacob Robinson was the DT for Indiana on that play, 6-4, 285. Robinson isn’t bad).

++ And 70 and center 64 did it to Robinson during a crucial TD drive early in the QB in the red zone.

LT 55 DERWIN GRAY (6-5, 330, Jr.)

+ Moves his feet well, good size, but was beaten on a fast bull rush by Rashan Gary on third down in the first quarter last week.

LG SEAN CHRISTIE (6-4, 305, Jr.)

* Solid, not great. Got buckled a couple of times by Indiana’a Nate Hoff, but Hoff is pretty good.

C 64 BRENDAN MOORE (6-3, 302, Jr.)

* Lively.

* Solid player. Was solid against Hoff, too.

RG:

No opinion.

RT 58 DAMIAN PRINCE (6-3, 315, Jr.)

* Lacks range, and looked that way when giving up an edge rush sack in 1Q vs Indiana.

MARYLAND DEFENSE

* They have pretty good athletes in the front seven and they give effort. They have a high-energy second-year head coach who is a d-coordinator by trade and he has the front seven playing hard.

* Their weakness is in the pass rush and third down defense (which go together).

* Maryland rush defense is a strange study. They rank No. 12 in the Big Ten in rushing defense, allowing 173 yards per game.

* Maryland is 4-0 when holding teams under 100 yards rushing (beating Texas, Towson, Minnesota and Indiana).

* They held Indiana to 2.1 yards per rush.

Yards Allowed By Maryland:


Michigan rushed for 160

Rutgers … 239

Indiana … 73

Wisconsin … 215

Northwestern … 238

Ohio State … 281

Minnesota … 80

* The trend: Maryland gives up 215-plus against good-to-fair rushing attacks (Rutgers, Northwestern). But Maryland stopped Indiana and Minnesota cold. (Note, Indiana was without its two two RBs).

* My observation: The Terps aren’t consistently bad in run defense. It’s not like every play, every team carves them up. They are just badly inconsistent.

I’m not surprised they were able to stack up Indiana and Minnesota for little rushing yardage. Their d-linemen aren’t bad against the run. Their DTs are somewhat firm.

Their d-line personnel is full of guys like Demetrius Cooper and Kevin Williams (the Nebraska grad transfer who played for Michigan State last year). Not bad players, but not play-making plus players.

They don’t get owned at the line of scrimmage.

From what I can see, their problem in run defense is at linebacker. Their linebackers aren’t bad players, but the scheme calls for them to read and jump gaps and try to figure out where the play is going rather than playing one-gap and attacking upfield accordingly.

It’s okay to ask LBs to read and react in a two-gap scheme if the d-line is dominating. Maryland’s d-line is respectable, but not dominant.

Maryland does a lot of two-gapping up front. Their d-linemen aren’t bad, but they aren’t the type to dominate and move the line of scrimmage backward and command double-teams like needed from a two-gap scheme. When two-gapping, those guys are supposed to be knocking their man backward and giving the LBs a chance to pick and choose wisely.

* You Would Hope … that Michigan State is in the good-to-fair category and can rush for 200-plus. But there isn’t much in recent weeks to suggest that Michigan State is in that category.

Perhaps Michigan State can pass to set up the run and find success that way.

I will be interested to see if the toss sweep or jet shovel works against Maryland. It didn’t work against the speed of Ohio State and Penn State. And it didn’t work against Northwestern with their strong d-ends setting the edge. Michigan State figured that would be the case and didn’t try it very much. There’s a chance it could work better in this game, although not as good as it did against Minnesota.

* Maryland allowed 410 yards passing to Indiana. (Starter Peyton Ramsey was knocked out of the game and Richard Lagow replaced him and threw for 131 of the 410).

WHAT MICHIGAN DID:

* Michigan came out and tried to hammer the run on the opening drive. Michigan had a little bit of early success, but not much, with net gains on the ground of 4, 6, 2, 3 and 3 yards before an incompletion caused a punt.

The Takeaway: Maryland is supposed to have a bad rushing defense, and Michigan tried to test it. But Maryland passed the opening drive test.

In Michigan’s second drive, they hit inside ground attempts for gains of 3, 13, 9, 13, 3 and 2 (TD).

* Rutgers caught Maryland in a blitz and hit them with a flare route to the RB for a 23-yard TD pass to break a 24-24 tie with 7:30 left.

DEFENSIVE LINE:

* They lost standout d-end Jesse Aniebonam for the year to an ankle injury in the season opener against Maryland. He had 11 sacks last year.

They don’t have much depth at d-end and have had to shuffle guys around to try to make up for his loss.

* Their d-linemen didn’t get crushed by Michigan’s onslaught of interior runs in the first quarter, but they didn’t win, either. They barely held somewhat firm, but they certainly didn’t penetrate or push back any o-linemen.

* Sometimes they are a 30 front, sometimes a 4-3.

* Sometimes one-gapping, sometimes two-gapping.

* Sometimes two-gapping as part of four down linemen, which is rare these days (Iowa does it all the time, Miami does it some, so does Michigan).

* In order to two-gap, you need hosses. Their two-gapping d-linemen are functional but they aren’t the kind of hosses needed to enable a two-gapping scheme to work often enough. That’s probably why they don’t two-gap all the time, just some of the time at defensive tackle.

* They have solid, relatively quick, squatty tree stump type guys at d-tackle. Some teams can have trouble uprooting them.

From what we’ve seen in the last month or so from Michigan State on interior runs, there isn’t a lot of evidence that would suggest that Michigan State should have great success running inside against Maryland. If Michigan State does have success, that would be progress. It doesn’t take a great team to be able to run against Maryland. But the poor ones can’t. Where does Michigan State fit in that category? We’ll find out.

* Maryland d-tackles are solidly-built guys, playing the kind of football we expected to see from Enoch Smith.

DT 8 KINGSLEY OPARA (6-3, 300, Sr.)

* Good comb of strength and quickness. Upper body and lower body quickness.

+ Nice tackle for no gain vs Indiana in the first half. Blasted into the right guard like he was going to two-gap him, then he shucked him, got rid of him, threw him to the side and penetrated the backfield to make the wrap.

DT 5 CAVON WALKER (6-2, 278, Sr.)

* Quick with two-handed shuck when OG is expecting two-gap force.

DT 52 OLU OLUWATIMI (6-1, 198, Soph.)

* Not bad with the two-gap technique, coming off the bench.

DT 50 MBI TANYI (6-1, 296, Jr.)

* Allowed too much movement on a 9-yard TD run against Rutgers.

BUCK DE 92 CHANDLER BURKETT (6-3 ,254, Sr.)

* Will stand up in a 3-4 or play down in a 4-3.

* Runs pretty well for his size. Good job spying Indiana QB on the flush for a sack.

DE 59 Keiron Howard (6-3, 293, Soph.)

* Not bad, coming off the bench.

DE 96 Brett Kulka (6-4, 260, Jr.)

* Looks like a Brett Kulka. Ham and egger, not bad. Just kind of survives at d-end, but helps, plays a role.

LINEBACKERS

* They run and hurry around pretty well. Quickness isn’t a weakness with these guys.

MLB 1 JERMAINE CARTER (6-0, 228, Sr.)

* 6 TFLs this season.

* Plays with pop. Active, quick.

* Had 2 TFLS in victory over Indiana, and caused a fumble.

* Has 29 career TFLS, ranking No. 13 in program history.

* 8 Tackles against Michigan.

* 300 career tackles.

* Is on pace to lead Maryland in tackling for a third straight season.

* Accelerates downhill will good will, plays more firm than his size.

* Their best pass rusher. Learns the snap count, gets off the ball fast, accelerates off the edge, can chop, dip and during the corner. Had a sack vs Indiana but flagged for being off-side.

WLB 22 ISAIAH DAVIS (6-1, 238, Soph.)

* Active feet.

- Was misaligned for deep wheel route to RB by Indiana but Indiana QB missed the open receiver.

Nickel Back 25 ANTOINE BROOKS (5-11, 210, Soph.)

* He’s a “nickel back” but plays every down

* Leads team in TFLs with 8.5.

* 64 tackles on the year.

* Has two INTs.

PASS DEFENSE

* On third-and-medium, they like to blitz five, sometimes six. And it’s almost always man-to-man behind it.

Pick up that blitz and go to the shallow crossing route, or pick on a favorable matchup, or throw where the safety ain’t. Sounds simple, and it might be, if Indiana continues to be predictably man-to-man without a pass rush on third down.

SOMETHING TO WATCH FOR:

* What Michigan did: On third-and-medium, they went with shallow crossing routes. Harbaugh knows Durkin’s defense. Following his lead isn’t a bad idea.

* Durkin has been a proponent in recent years of playing cover-three in two-thirds of the field, and playing press-man in the other third. It’s a rare combination coverage.

This coverage is called “two-thirds” or “cover three lock.”

The Seattle Seahawks have done this in the past with Richard Sherman as the single man-to-man guy. NY Giants did it in 2016.

Harbaugh ran a crossing route to the man-to-man side, throwing to the TE late after he crossed to the flat, knowing there would be no one in the flat. Threw to TE Gentry for a gain of 20 to the 5-yard line to set up UM’s first TD.

The coaching manual says a three-level floor combination can beat it too, sending a receiver to the flat, a second receiver on an intermediate out, and a third receiver on a deeper out. Sounds simple, if you hae time to throw. Maryland usually gives you time to throw, that’s why they have to blitz on third downs.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

S 4 DARNELL SAVAGE (5-10, 191, Jr.)

*Quality play-maker.

+ Covers ground QUICKLY when covering the slot out.

* Blocked a punt and had an INT in the first half against Indiana that kept the Terps in the game when things didn’t start well.

* His punt block, which he scooped and scored, cut lead to 16-14.

+ Pass break up on third-and-8 on a shallow crosser for Grant Perry on the opening drive last week. Lots of early contact. Closed quickly. Could have been called pass interference.

* Can change direction, accelerate and tackle.

+ His INT vs Indiana came on a shallow crossing route in man-to-man. Returned it about 20 yards to the Indiana 14-yard line. Maryland scored on the next play to come back from a 14-0 deficit.

+ Had a pick six against Towson.

CB 17 TINO ELLIS 6-1, 193, Soph.

- Beaten deep for 34-yard TD by Simmie Cobbs of Indiana.

CB 7 JC JACKSON (6-1, 193, JR.)

* Supposed to be their best cover corner.

- Got away with pass interference in 1Q last week against Don Peoples Jones on a 15-yard curl. Jackson trying to play press, not very confident.

- Missed a tackle on Indiana RB on a swing pass, got bowled over, for a 25-yard TD pass play, giving Indiana a 14-0 lead.

(21 21 Ravon Davis, 5-10, 177, Jr.)

- Allowed 10-yard TD fade to Indiana’s Simmie Cobbs to cut Maryland’s lead to 42-39 with 8:00 to go.

S 10 JOSH WOODS (6-1, 204, Sr.)

No opinion.

But Maryland beat writer Scott Greene says he's solid.

(S 24 Quantrezz Knight 6-0, 197, Soph.)

- Beaten for 35-yard TD pass on No. 3 post bener to WR Juke Timian of Indiana, as Maryland fell behind 23-14. Not bad feet by Knight. Good pass and catch.

SPECIAL TEAMS

* Maryland has four blocked kicks this year, the most of any team in the Big Ten and No. 6 in the nation.

* Rank in top three in Big Ten in punt return average and kick return average.

* Attempted a fake punt last week against Michigan, failed, and helped cause the game to get away from the Terps.

* Allowed a blocked punt last week against Michigan.

* Blocked a punt and had a kickoff return for 70 yards against Indiana, and blocked an extra point.

* Maryland’s kickers are 7 of 12 for the year, No. 13 in the Big Ten in FG accuracy. A grad transfer from Georgetown has taken the job and is 6 of 9.

* Kickoffs reach the 5-yard line.

ADD IT ALL UP

* It’s kind of late in the season for us to waiting and wondering to see what Michigan State is made of. Some of us have already concluded that Michigan State is a good, over-achieving, 9-3 team.

Not so fast my friends. Need to get this work done. Need to avoid getting bogged down in the run, as was the case against Indiana. But need to find balance that they didn’t have against Northwestern. That’s a delicate situation for MSU’s offense.

Wide receiver DJ Moore is tough to cover, and even if you cover him, he can go up and snatch it. He can carry an offense the way the WR did for Minnesota for 8 minutes late in that game, whatever his name was. Michigan State has good, solid coverage DBs, but Moore is at another level. So you have to be concerned about his potential to catch fire if Bortenschlager is on, especially if MSU’s pass rush fails.

Overall, Michigan State has too many edges in this game, and should be fine. In the process, if Michigan State can re-establish the run game, which has been missing since October, that would not only almost ensure victory but it would be a good late-season building block, building toward a challenging road game next week and bowl season.

As for MSU’s run defense, it’s a challenge-your-manhood game. Maryland has a good inside zone scheme. Michigan State was devoured by a better one last week, and didn’t show up (in their gaps) in many respects last week. Whatever it was that caused the tardy, distracted nature of last week’s defensive debacle obviously needs to be eradicated for this game.

It’s a game. Just like I told you the Indiana game would be. Just like I told you the Northwestern game would be. Maryland is better than Indiana, not as good as Northwestern. I realize that the transitive property doesn’t pertain to college football, but Maryland has some excited kids playing for an energetic second-year coach. No one for their team is quitting. They’ll bring some effort, enthusiasm and a smattering of talent. Just ask Indiana.

Monday Morning Football: Dantonio with the latest


Monday Morning Football


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Jim Comparoni • SpartanMag.com
@JimComparoni

EAST LANSING - Michigan State’s surprisingly strong first three quarters of the season won’t do the program much good if the Spartans don’t capitalize with two more wins and a shiny 9-3 regular season record.

Moving on from a 48-3 loss in Saturday's a de facto Big Ten semifinal game at Ohio State is the first and last order of business at the Skandalaris Center today, with a game against Maryland (4-6) looming in the final home game of the year.

“We’ve got to get ourselves ready to play our next game and get win No. 8,” Mark Dantonio said during Sunday’s weekly teleconference.

In the weekly teleconference, which usually lasts about 15 minutes, Dantonio rarely talks about the upcoming game, and saves those comments for the weekly Tuesday press conference.

But he briefly broke from his usual protocol in mentioning in his opening statement about the need to point all focus toward getting the team’s eighth win this weekend.

“That’s the thing we can control,” he said. “Focus on the things we control and get ready to go.”

FILM DOESN’T LIE

Dantonio found nothing in the game film that he didn’t already know the last time he spoke with us, on Saturday evening.

“We obviously did not play well enough in any area to win and that is supported by the film,” Dantonio said. “I think also momentum sort of took over. Momentum swung in their favor and it was like a wave. So (we’ve) got to be able to respond better and the other thing we have to be able to do is move forward.”

VALUE IN FILM

Some might believe that the coaches would want to smash the game tape, move on and pretend it never happened - like Tom Izzo has famously done in past seasons.

But Izzo usually has 30 other game tapes to learn from during his teaching process.

Football coaches have fewer games to view, and more players to evaluate. Every snap of Saturday’s blowout loss can be used as teaching material, and Dantonio is deep into that process right now.

“There are things to learn from, especially schematically whether you were outflanked or you were out of position,” Dantonio said. “So I think it needs to be corrected more from a standpoint of what plays or defense was run. You need to just look at it and say, ‘Here’s all these formations, how did you adjust?’ Look at those things and draw from it and try and make it a learning experience.”

But he admitted there will be a time to dispose of it.

“This is one you want to burn and you don’t want it to be indicative of how you play all the time,” he said.

THE TEMPO QUESTION

I was surprised by the problems Michigan State had with Ohio State’s tempo. Dantonio and Joe Bachie commented after the game about the difficulty the defense had in getting the calls in on time, and getting set for pre-snap against Ohio State’s tempo.

Bachie said they worked on it in practice and thought they were ready for it, but it turned out that they were not.

Without getting a chance to clock it myself on film, I theorized that Ohio State perhaps had played faster than the Buckeyes had shown on film, and caught Michigan State a bit off-guard. I asked Dantonio on Sunday night if this had been the case, if OSU’s tempo was different from what they had shown up to that point in the season, and whether they snapped the ball even faster than the :12-second clip that Indiana used at times against Michigan State, three weeks ago.

“No, I think it was about the same,” Dantonio said. “I don’t think it was any faster. And they looked to the sideline and would change the play on us.

“I think they did a very good job of formationing us, formations that were a lot like what we’ve seen before, but (with) little a little bit of tweaks, whether it was an alignment here or an alignment there.”

Defenses expect to get new wrinkles each week, and prepare for the possibility of drastic changes. But Ohio State apparently disrupted Michigan State with some of the slight changes in formations that they showed, which caused some pause.

“They changed up some things there,” Dantonio said. “The (Michigan State defensive) calls were coming in, but for whatever reason, it just didn’t feel like we were lined up and ready to play. Now, on the film, it would appear you’re lined up, but I know in the game, I felt like it was a scramble.”

**

COMP’S TAKE: The margin of victory in this game, and the quick TKO, surprised everybody, from Dantonio, to fans, to myself, and most media. Vegas had Ohio State as a 17-point favorite, and that line seemed astronomical. But even Vegas sold it short by a couple of touchdowns.

Michigan State had played so soundly a week before, against Penn State. And Ohio State had looked awful a week earlier against Iowa.

Michigan State had matched up well against Ohio State over the years, with Dantonio having more success against Meyer than any coach in the Big Ten. Yet Michigan State was blown out of this game inside of 12 minutes.

In processing this surprising 45-point margin of victory, I wonder if part of MSU’s poor performance was due to the stunned surprise the Spartans may have felt, on both sides of the ball, when realizing early-on that Ohio State was just plain more talented than any team the Spartans had faced this year. Not only were the Buckeyes more talented, but they were more mature, and they had a leg-up in some schematic areas, AND they were just as motivated as the Spartans, if not more. These had to be stark discoveries for the young Spartans.

When Dantonio mentioned that the game in some respects “seemed like a scramble,” I think this gets back to the point of Michigan State realizing that Ohio State was a different animal than the one that showed up on the game tape from Iowa City. This was the first time many youthful players in the Spartan playing group had dealt with taking that type of a blow.

“I think sometimes when things are going against you, everything seems like a scramble,” Dantonio said. “Everything. And that’s the nature of this one. Everything – whether it was tackling or playing the ball in the deep part of the field or pressuring the quarterback or getting lined up, everything seemed to be a scramble. And we’ve got to negate that.”

D-TACKLES FAIL FOR A CHANGE

Ohio State’s 335 yards on the ground was the biggest surprise of the game. Firm play from defensive tackles Raequan Williams and Mike Panasiuk, along with reserve Naquan Jones, has been a team strength the Spartans all season. But OSU defeated MSU's strength in this game.

Williams and Panasiuk have been strong against double-teams on interior run plays since last November. They’ve been strong all year against the run, inside, against Michigan, Penn State, and even Notre Dame’s prodigious ground attack. When ND gained yards on the ground, they didn’t send the ball through MSU’s defensive tackles.

Last year, when Michigan State battled Ohio State to a tight 17-16 loss, Williams and Panasiuk were firm against OSU’s inside zone runs, and that set the foundation for the near-upset.

Now, Panasiuk and Williams are a year better, and have better back-ups. That’s why it was such a surprise that MSU’s defensive tackles struggled in this game.

“I don’t think we quit, I just think we didn’t play effectively,” Dantonio said. “Inside, our defensive tackles were getting reached.


“Out of our gaps, gap integrity, leverage issues on defense, tackling issues,” he added. “On offense, (we had) protection issues. They were getting pressure. They were doing the things they needed to do to beat you. Things that you can control to some degree. But, hey, Ohio State has got good players. They played well, and they were prepared to play.

“It’s very difficult when things are going in this direction to continue to play hard. And I thought we did play hard, we just didn’t play well enough.”

**

My Follow-Up: In writing about the on Saturday night, I analyzed Mike Weber’s TD runs of 47 and 82 yards. On neither occasion did I see MSU’s defensive tackles bashed vertically downfield. I saw defensive players influenced out of the area. And I saw Williams fail to secure his gap on the 47-yarder, due to a slant and a unique zone counter step by OSU’s offensive line. I thought it was a good finesse move by OSU, but not necessarily a display of physical dominance.

I still haven’t had a chance to go over the rest of the film, so I was intrigued by Dantonio’s statement about defensive tackle play early on in this teleconference.

When Dantonio said the defensive tackles “were getting reached,” that means offensive linemen were crossing the faces of the Michigan State d-tackles and controlling their far shoulder, and scooping them out of gaps. That can be done with quickness, or combinations sometimes referred to as “pyramid” techniques, or the counter zone step that I mentioned earlier.

I would consider those moves to be quick, technical, almost finesse moves, not necessarily power moves. That’s why I asked Dantonio if he could elaborate about the process of being reached, and if OSU was having success with more of a horizontal approach to beating the d-tackles, rather than vertically bashing them downfield.

He said it was more than just horizontal schematics.

“They moved the line of scrimmage,” Dantonio said. “They got movement on the three technique and on the nose by doubling them and then coming off the double and getting up to the ‘backers.”

That’s something that Panasiuk and Williams haven’t allowed anyone to do to them on a consistent basis in their young careers at Michigan State.

(So why didn’t I recognize this while it was taking place? Well, when watching the game live, I focus on the defensive back seven, and especially the secondary, trying to identify the coverages, and coaching calls on the back end. I watch d-line play when I go back over the TV replay, which I haven't yet done. So I was reduced to asking Dantonio about d-line play rather blindy.)

“At times where they scooped us — in other words zone blocked us — we’re supposed to be in this gap and we end up in a different gap,” Dantonio said. “Combination of both.”

Meaning, a combination of being scheme-scooped, and also moved off the line by brute strength double-teams.

“We played the zone play much more effectively in the past,” Dantonio said. “A lot of it depends on if they’re able to move our defensive tackles. They were able to move them. So that creates different gaps and issues that go along with that.

“But they got movement and they changed the line of scrimmage,” Dantonio said. “Both sides of the ball.”

On offense, Michigan State tries several times a game to get movement with double-team blocking. This game was no different. But, as has been the case in many games recently, the Spartans haven’t gotten much movement up front - despite a great start on Saturday with a 20-yard run by LJ Scott.

“They won up front,” Dantonio said. “(They) changed the line of scrimmage. Usually what we’ve always said here is you’ve got to win up front first. It makes the quarterback’s job easier. It makes the linebackers’ job easier, and you can play around that. We just didn’t win up front.

“Now, we’re young. We’re young up front on both sides of the ball. But you still have to win. You have to win your share.

“We’re a better football team than that, but it’s in the books. We’ve got to be able to also take responsibly for coaching, take responsibly for how we played. But we also have to just focus on the future of this next week, and that’s what we’ll do.”

HOW THE TEAM IS TAKING IT

Dantonio said his team’s initial response to this loss has been what he would expect and want.

“It was tough,” he said of their response after returning home to East Lansing. “It was tough because we’ve been very competitive with Ohio State.

“It was tough, very quiet, very somber. And usually when you have that, people are reflecting on it themselves, I think, which is a good thing.

“We’ve always responded. We’ve always looked at things: How do you play after a tough game? How do you play after a great game in a big environment, a game that had this kind of magnitud? So we look for reaction.

“We’ll take the next step, but we’ll look for reaction, see how we play this week. But I anticipate our guys will come to play.”

MIXED BAG IN THE SECONDARY

I asked Dantonio about the play of the Spartan defensive backs. Justin Layne gave up a deep ball for a touchdown, was flagged for a pass interference, but bounced back with good pass defense on a deep ball and a one-armed interception in the end zone.

For Dantonio, defensive back play went beyond pass defense. He wanted DBs to rally in run support better than they did.

“Ball got out on us,” Dantonio said. “We have to be able to track it down. Leverage issues. A lot of it stems from a couple of different formations that sort of put us in difficult situations. But over and above everything, we’ve got to be able to tackle more effectively on the perimeter.

“Can’t give up a deep ball - not when you’re supposed to be bailing. Justin is supposed to be bailing (on the deep TD), can’t give it up. But we’ll continue to compete back there. We’ll be fine.

“I thought that we need to play better technique on the edges,” Dantonio said. “By edges, we need to tackle more effectively in the back end. David Dowell had a big interception. Justin Layne has a great interception in the end zone. But (we need) consistency, consistency in performance.”

THE SACK PROBLEMS

Michigan State had ranked in the top three in the Big Ten in sack prevention. But Ohio State rang up six sacks against the Spartans, although half of those sacks came on the last four snaps of the game.

Still, Michigan State had problems in pass protection against some of the same players who didn’t bother the Spartan backfield much at all, last year.

“Obviously we gave up too much pressure,” Dantonio said. “Ohio State did a nice job. (Nick) Bosa and some of the other guys, (Jalyn) Holmes and other guys are very good in pass rushing. They got us in long-yardage situations. We talked about that; the inability to run the football puts you in long-yardage situations at times, and then they can tee off on you. And then if you over-set or if you don’t do it exactly right, then there’s a power issue, you’re not in a position of power to protect the quarterback. And then everything else just starts to fall downhill - pressure on the quarterback, makes you nervous, try to get the quarterback out on the edge, not as accurate as he has been, can’t separate downfield with the receivers. So there was a little bit of everything. We’ve talked about the storms that we’ve been in or played through. This one was a storm as well and we couldn’t play through it.”

ANYTHING POSITIVE?

True freshman Antjuan Simmons ranked third on the team in tackles on Saturday, with seven stops (three solos, four assists).

He saw extended playing time in place of junior starter Andrew Dowell at ‘slot’ linebacker.

Simmons (6-0, 217, Ann Arbor) has seen spot duty at other times this year. But this marked the most snaps he has seen in a game.

“Antjuan played 26 snaps,” Dantonio said. “I thought that for a freshman in that environment, he played very well. He was under control. He tackled well, he hustled. He made some plays down the field, tackling relative to pursuit. Couple of mistakes in terms of his assignments, but I thought he played -- for a freshman, I thought he played OK. You can see there is a bright future there.

“You could say that about a lot of our guys, but collectively as a group, we got to get them off the field defensively.”

Pre-Snap Read: MSU vs Penn State Game Breakdown

Pre-Snap Read: MSU vs Penn State

By Jim Comparoni
SpartanMag.com

EAST LANSING - This is Penn State’s game to win or lose.

What I mean by that is Penn State has the personnel and material to take care of business on the road and put this game in the win column, possibly by a tight margin, if they have prepared hard all week, play hard on Saturday and capitalize on opportunities.

But, like I’ve been saying all week, they had better pack a lunch, because Michigan State stark-raving hates them, from the coaches on down, and there’s a chance Michigan State might shake off last week’s loss, learn from it, build on it and play a sharp, balanced 60 minutes of football. Real good chance Michigan State answers the bell in good fashion in this game. So it’s up to Penn State to have no hangover from last week’s loss at Ohio State, and it’s up to Penn State to improve upon last week’s game, because Penn State really struggled in a lot of ways against Ohio State.

These are the things I’m wondering heading into this game:

FINAL ANALYSIS FIRST:

* Is Penn State’s offensive line as bad as it looked last week against OSU? Penn State’s o-line was a weakness for the first half of the season. Then they had a bye week and duct-taped things together against Michigan, thanks to some good game-planning to take advantage of Michigan’s man-to-man and over-pursuit.

But then the o-line was back to being bad last week, and they lost a starting offensive tackle in the process. His status is unknown for this week’s game. His replacement, No. 77 at right tackle, would be the No. 4 o-tackle, at best, if he played for Michigan State. He is not good. He’s a weakness.

How much of that was OSU’s defensive front? Some of it. But Michigan State is pretty good on the defensive front too, and Michigan State is fully capable of winning in the trenches when on defense.

* PSU has had trouble establishing the run vs Ohio State and Northwestern. If I’m Michigan State, I’m disappointed if I let PSU rush for more than 90 yards. It’s well within MSU’s capacity to shut down the run like they did last week, and the task is somewhat similar. RB Barkley is better than Justin Jackson, but Jackson had better blocking.

* From there, PSU has terrific skill at QB, WRs and TE. They ripped Michigan with fades and jumpballs vs press man-to-man, throwing to RB Barkley, mismatch TE Gesicki, and terrific slot WR Hamilton (at 6-1, 206 he is Penn State’s all-time leading pass catcher with 189 receptions). PSU receivers made some difficult catches in traffic against pretty good coverage, although UM LB McCray wasn’t fast enough to cover Barkley.

Michigan State will get tested with corner fades to Hamilton and jumpball corner routes to big 6-foot-6, high-jumping Gesicki, and wheel routes to Barkley.

OSU had speed at LB to cover Barkley. Does Michigan State have that kind of speed? Well, Michigan State won’t be in man-to-man 90 pct of the time like UM was, so PSU won’t be able to cherry pick the matchups as definitively.

OSU played zone, I would estimate, about 85 pct of the time. PSU had limited time to throw, no run game. Because OSU was playing zone, there weren’t quite as many opportunities for 50-50 balls and fades and jump balls.

They didn’t go deep for Gesicki or Hamilton more than two or three times total. That’s strange because PSU went deep like crazy against everybody last year, including vs. MSU’s zone last year (admittedly, MSU’s zone wasn’t skitzo last year).

But still, PSU looked strange from a play-choice standpoint against OSU, not willing to go deep as much. (OSU intercepted two passes in the end zone, but one was overturned due to pass interference, and the other was overturned and ruled a TD by replay officials).

* Okay, I probably need to stop and explain some things. The PSU you’ve seen play is probably the one that demolished Michigan, and you were probably watching the Michigan State game last week when you were seeing scores of 21-3, 28-10 in favor of PSU against OSU last week.

So you’re wondering which PSU team I’ve been watching.

Well, PSU was dynamite in a lot of ways against Michigan. But that was a different type of matchup, a different situation, a home game, a whiteout and the biggest PSU home game in more than 10 years, after a bye week. And PSU schemed up some cartoons to take advantage of Michigan’s fast-flow, over-aggressive man-to-man.

Most important, PSU was fresh. The QB was fresh and quite different from the QB McSorley we saw in the second half last week vs UM.

PSU’s o-line had been a weakness all year, but the o-line benefitted greatly from the bye week and shockingly played decent football vs Michigan. Then the o-line went in the tank again last week. They need to get out of the tank against this Michigan State team or they’re going to find themselves in a 10-7 type of halftime score.

* As for last week’s game against Ohio State, the Buckeyes won the vast majority of the snaps in that game. OSU out-gained PSU 529-283 last week, and those stats are not misleading.

PSU benefitted from a kickoff return for a TD and two short-field TD drives. PSU had only two bona fide scoring drives, and managed to finish both with TDs. But PSU couldn’t run the ball, couldn’t pass protect, coudn’t rush the passer. They had problems.

On defense, PSU’s zone coverages were picked apart by JT Barrett, who had time to throw. The zone coverages didn’t look all that good from about the second quarter on.

PSU has terrific talent in the back seven, but OSU tamed them. OSU was good, JT Barrett was good, but not as great as they were saying on the national Sunday talkshows when I was listening to them when driving home from Evanston last week.

PSU tried to go man-to-man on OSU’s last drive, and mixed in a couple of blitzes, but OSU had momentum by that time and PSU was on the run.

More on that game later.

The point is that PSU was terrific in a specific matchup in a specific situation against Michigan. Then they did well to build a big lead vs OSU but wasn’t good enough to protect it.

* So now here’s the big question: Does PSU rebound from that loss and arrive at Spartan Stadium all mad at the world, ready to play a perfect game? Or are they beaten up, and will they have trouble getting up for a back-to-back road trip, and a three-game slam against UM, OSU and Michigan State on back-to-back-to-back weeks? Do they have enough respect for an opponent that they beat 45-12 last year, running up the score with deep shot passes in the final minutes? Do they realize how hell-bent for blood Michigan State is going to be?

They’d better pack a lunch.

Maybe PSU will answer that bell. Maybe they will match MSU’s intensity. Maybe they will shrug off the bumps and bruises from the last two weeks and bring it a third down (although they didn’t REALLY bring it all that well last week, regardless of what the scoreboard said). Maybe PSU will learn from last week’s issues in the run game (not the first time they have had trouble running the ball), maybe they will fix their pass protection the way they did during the bye week prior to the UM game, maybe QB McSorley will eat another can of spinach or whatever it is or was that made him a dynamic playmaker last year and not look like the reluctant, worn-down sparring partner that he looked like in the last 20 minutes of last week’s game. Maybe he’ll bounce back strong. Maybe they’ll show championship mettle.

Or maybe they’ll have time punching back, now that they have sustained a blackened eye for the first time in more than 13 months. Do they have the gut and grit to punch back? They have the talent. But they have weaknesses. Now do they have a good, championship road chin in 2017? Michigan State is going to test it. You’ll begin to find those answers the same time I do. I don’t know. And this is a game. And Penn State had better pack a lunch.

There are scenarios by which Michigan State could win this game. I doubt the chances of Michigan State winning are above 50 pct. I’d put them right around 45 pct, which I think is the same number I had for MSU’s chances of winning at Michigan. I thought Michigan State was dangerous for the game in Ann Arbor, with realistic scenarios and paths to victory, and I feel the same way about this game. A lot of it is up to PSU. They have excellent talent at the skill positions and a fierce, hard-hitting back seven. But they need to make sure they get their engine restarted.

* Other questions: They had injuries at left tackle and d-end last week. Will those guys be back? The players they lost aren’t great, but their replacements are suspect or limited.

* Are PSU’s zone coverages in pass as soft as OSU made them look last week?

* Is PSU’s pass rush (and lack thereof) as tame as OSU made it look?

* Is PSU’s pass protection bad, again, like it was a few weeks ago?

* Can Michigan State recapture a level of competence in run blocking that it had against Minnesota and Michigan but lost against Indiana and Northwestern? MSU’s run blockers are not being asked to do something they have never done before. They’ve done it. This year. They need to recapture it and perhaps even improve upon what we’ve seen from them in the past - and don’t be shocked if PSU’s defensive front seven has a slightly weakened chin after the last two highly-emotional and physical games against Michigan and Ohio State.

* PSU is not great on run defense. They are good, not great. Their reserve defensive tackles are not good against the run. Their inside LBs are good, but no better than Northwestern’s. Their d-line isn’t great, not as good as Northwestern’s.

Then I looked up the stats, just now, for the first time, and the numbers agree. PSU ranks No. 6 in the Big Ten in rushing defense at 126 yards per game. Statistically, they are not better in run defense than Michigan or Northwestern. And I agree that PSU will be the fourth-best run defense Michigan State has faced this year.

* From there, can Michigan State cover Hamilton and Gesicki. Can Michigan State contain Barkley as a pass receiver and kick returner? Can Michigan State take care of the football against a PSU defense that ranks No. 1 in the Big Ten in takeaways in conference games with 11.

Answer those questions and you will probably answer whether Michigan State will win this game. If the answer is yes to four of those five questions, then the Spartans’ chances of winning climb above 54 percent.

KICK IT OFF

This week, we won’t have as much detail about the individual players in terms of home towns and recruiting backgrounds. I’m not sure if readers find that info worthwhile or not. It takes an extra 40 minutes or more to put that in, and I blew too much time last night on the second Film Room video.

Penn State results:

Penn State 52, Akron 0

Penn State 33, Pittsburgh 14

Penn State 56, Georgia State 0

Penn State 21, Iowa 19

Penn State 45, Indiana 14

Penn State 31, Northwestern 7

Penn State 42, Michigan 13

Ohio State 39, Penn State 38

Obviously this is a huge game for PSU this weekend and a huge one for Michigan State. Michigan State is the team that controls its own destiny from this point forward, not PSU. Of course Michigan State needs to win this game to retain that status.

I think there is a chance that Penn State has already peaked this year.

Their win against Iowa was unsightly, with a last-second TD pass of about 10 yards on the game’s final play. Penn State dominated that game statistically but failed to capitalize with TDs in the red zone too often, left Iowa in it, and Iowa turned in one or two big plays to fake their wait to a late lead.

Against Indiana, Penn State scored 14 points on special teams in the first quarter and created an early ambush. They ran it up late with a halfback option pass.

The Michigan game was their high point, a revenge game for PSU, their chance to show Michigan that they were much better than they were in September of 2016 when the Wolverines beat the eventual Big Ten Champions.

As mentioned, the bye week was key to PSU playing as well as they did against the Wolverines.

PSU had similar quickness and collision horsepower in the first quarter and a half last week, but then it started to dissipate.

PSU VS NORTHWESTERN

PSU led just 10-0 at halftime and never got their ground game going (sound familiar).

So how did PSU break away and win handily? What was the difference for PSU in their experience with NU, compared to MSU’s problems on defense vs NU?

It looked simple to me: Penn State was able to put consistent heat on the QB. End of story. They sacked Northwestern four times, and smacked the QB pretty good in the first quarter. They knocked him down a few times aside from those sacks.

QB Thorson ended up 19 of 36 for 142 yards with 2 INTs (one on a third-and-goal).

* PSU led just 10-0 with 9:00 left in the third quarter but NU eventually gave in.

* Barkley had netted 0 yards rushing until midway through the third quarter, but then he broke loose for a 53-yard TD with a Barry Sanders type of jitterbug slalom into the open (right tackle pull on an interior gap play), making it 24-0 late in the 3q. Ballgame.

PENN STATE VS OSU

You probably didn’t watch the game. If so, and you’re interested how it unfolded, here’s what you missed:

* In scoring 35 points, PSU had one kickoff return for a TD, and two short-field drives (one set up by a turnover, the other set up by a 60-yard kickoff return to the red zone). They basically drove twice the entire game, and punched it in with 14 points on those drives.

And one of those TDs came on a call reversal in the end zone. OSU was initially awarded an INT in the end zone. Officials looked at it again and reversed it to a touchdown. I didn’t spend much time studying the replays of that play, but that short-field TD drive almost was blown by PSU.

Aside from the 14 points on the two field-length TD drives, PSU was shut down.

The 35 points is impressive, but they were out-gained 529-283. That figure is more telling of how this game went than the final score.

* Barkley returned the opening kickoff for a TD. Then OSU fumbled at their own 30 (on a good hit by PSU). PSU scored on a slot fade to Hamilton and it’s 14-0 in an instant.

* PSU had one decent drive in the first half, capped by a 36-yard TD run by Barkley, thanks to an OSU linebacker gap error. Barkley is so dangerous that he can turn a defensive mistake into an 80-yard memory-maker. But he can’t do much without blocking, and PSU’s run game structure isn’t diversified. Stop the zone read and you stop most of what they do in their run game. Stopping the zone read, these days vs PSU, means rushing Barkley with the unblocked man who is being optioned, and MAKE McSorley keep it.

McSorley kept it a few times against Michigan and did damage, but that was against man-to-man with one safety. His keepers are less effective against zone.

* OSU cut it to 21-10 but then OSU tried to kick off AWAY from Barkley, kicked it to No. 7 Koa Farmer a LINEBACKER. He returned it about 60 yards to the OSU 24-yard line.

* PSU then drew pass interference with a corner fade (their favorite red zone route) to slot WR Brandon Polk (OSU safety Damon Webb intercepted the pass, but OSU’s slot corner defender was called for pass interference). QB McSorley scored on the next play, a 6-yard QB sweep to the short side and PSU was up 28-10 without having to drive much at all, and 8:06 left in the half.

(McSorley is a quick, tricky, effective runner. But they have used him on the ground so much this year (96 rushes, 303 net yards, 122 yards in losses). PSU QBs have been sacked 20 times this year. I’m not sure how many of those were with McSorley, but almost all of them were. And he’s been nailed in the pocket many other times.

He’s barely 6-feet tall and built like a boy scout. And I swear he was reluctant to carry the ball in the fourth quarter last week. When PSU coaches called for a QB draw in the fourth quarter, he wasn’t as beaten as Michigan’s Devin Gardner was against Michigan State back in 2013 or whenever that was when Michigan State plastered him, but McSorley wasn’t loving life.

* Penn State, to its credit, FINISHED in the red zone against OSU, something they didn’t do at Iowa a few weeks ago.

* OSU marched right back and cut it to 28-17 late in the second quarter. At halftime, OSU had more yards, 244-130. But the one turnover and the special teams TD accounted for 14 points.

* OSU drove for a field goal on the opening possession of the 2H to cut it to 28-20. At that point, total yards were about 300-130 in favor of OSU.

* PSU then drove for a TD on a controversial 36-yard TD pass. PSU led 35-20 at that point, with about 5 minutes left in the third quarter.

* OSU was regaining momentum but lost the ball on a QB/RB exchange fumble.

* Then OSU forced a punt, which OSU blocked at midfield, still trailing by 15 with 11:40 to go.

* OSU then attacked an increasingly soft PSU zone and scored on a 30-plus yard post TD, making it look easy. Time to throw, picking apart the zone.

* PSU didn’t go deep to TE Gesicki much last week, or even intermediate, but did hook up with him on a jump ball to convert what looked like a huge third-and-13 with PSU leading by 8 with 8:45 to play. OSU DB Jordan Fuller (6-2, 207) covered him and harassed him all the way but Gesicki made the play. He’s so tough to cover. If Michigan State plays well and gets in position to win this game, they’ll have to survive some jumpballs to Gesicki.

That play to Gesicki and a 20-plus yard gain on a McSorley QB draw, and a 20-yard hitch (caught at 5 yards, then eluding a tackle) by PSU WR Saed Blacknall, gave PSU first and goal. A TD would have iced the game, but they settled for a field goal. PSU ran two QB zone read keepers for a total of 4 yards. On third down, they handed to Barkley on an inside zone for a loss of 2 as RG Mahon was beaten off the snap, maybe with crowd noise being a factor. Terrible three plays for PSU inside the 10. OSU dominated the trenches, McSorley didn’t want to keep the ball on those plays. Far different than his red zone TD runs vs Michigan.

* OSU answered with Barrett again attacking PSU’s zone. One of his completions was into a tight cover-two window. Other than that, he had all day to throw and didn’t have much trouble finding open WRs, including a pass interference in the end zone. Scored on a back-shoulder fade, extremely well-thrown, vs CB Amani Oruwariye. Good coverage on that one. That cut it to 38-33 with 4:20 left.

These throws JT Barrett was making? Brian Lewerke and MSU’s receivers can replicate them, if Lewerke has time to throw - which I think he will, most of the time.

* PSU was then feeble it its attempt to run clock with the run game. Zone reads, no chance. OSU’s optioned end lineman rushed Barkley, dared McSorley to keep it. Neither option was working. They went backward. Punt. PSU fully in tail-between-legs mode.

* OSU drove for the game-winning TD, this time with PSU playing man-to-man. Connected on a crossing route and an out route. Then a TD on a post, aided by a coverage bust.

If this had been a boxing match, OSU would have won with a 14th round KO while being ahead on the scorecards, 10 rounds to 4.

OBSERVATIONS:

* I don’t mean to disrespect their team. They have lots and lots of talented, athletic frames on this team at all positions except o-line.

* Penn State is the hardest-hitting defense I’ve seen in the Big Ten this year. But they weren’t hitting quite as hard in the last 20 minutes of the game, last week. Again, the back-to-back might have been a factor.

* They attack matchups more than any team on MSU’s schedule and perhaps as much as any team in the country. If you go man-to-man, you have to deal with Gesicki, Barkley or Hamilton in the slot - any of the three can be a mismatch.

And, most of the year, the zone read option is no pic-nic to deal with. But we’ll see if McSorley still has his wheels and a full gas tank.

THE MUST LIST

* The usual things: Stop the run, get heat on the QB. But really, we mean it this week.

Worse defenses than Michigan State have been able to stop the PSU run game and pressure McSorley. It’s a must that Michigan State do it too. If you don’t do it, you’ll lose by three TDs. If you do stop the run and pressure the QB, you might still lose by two TDs but more likely, you’re two big steps toward remaining competitive.

* Michigan State is capable of playing man or zone. Being able to do both, and building on MSU’s ability to disguise its coverages, will be key vs PSU.

Last year when Michigan State blitzed, PSU knew Michigan State would be in cover-three, and dialed up an out-and-up to beat it for a TD. That’s still the first time I’ve seen a team scheme to beat a blitz with an out and up. Who thinks they’re going to have TIME vs a blitz to beat you with an out and up? Well, PSU (with its deep ball success) and Michigan State with it’s problems, made that ugly marriage happen last year.

* PSU has not been throwing deep as much as last year. In fact there were many times last year when they would would send all receivers deep. That’s odd for a college team. Opponents often had underneath defenders waiting for digs and crossers that never game.

PSU would have time to throw and found repeated success hanging jumpballs in the air for Gesicki and the others.

PSU still has the potential to do that type of thing, but they haven’t had as much time to throw.

PSU has thrown underneath more this year, because that’s what opponents have been giving them.

So what will Michigan State do?

I didn’t think Michigan State could go zone against Penn State an leave Hamilton in the area of a LB/safety.

I thought Michigan State would have to go man-to-man, bring Josiah Scott over in “corners over” and match him up with No. 5 Hamilton most of the day, and sink or swim with it.

Then I saw the success OSU had with two-deep, quarters zone defense. Now I think that can work. But a pass rush is needed in order to make it work. MSU’s pass rush has been hot and cold this year. PSU’s pass protection has been cool and cold. Michigan State has a chance there.

And there will be times when Michigan State shows zone but then goes man-to-man. Will PSU read and attack accordingly? They’ve seen teams try it before. Michigan State will try it, and perhaps Scott can withstand some of the slot corner fades he will see from Hamilton.

* Ohio State played quarters coverage most of the game.

* On its first trip to the red zone, PSU attacked it on second-and-goal at the 12 by throwing to No. 5 Hamilton in the slot vs the field safety on a fake to the post and double move to the back corner (AKA a post-corner). OSU safety Damon Webb. INC.

Next play: TD pass to Hamilton vs man-to-man on a slot fade to the corner. Against press coverage vs CB Arnett, Hamilton just accelerated, had a quarter step on Arnett and somehow won the jumpball.

PSU went to Hamilton in the slot two straight times. One vs zone, one vs man.

PSU RUN GAME

* PSU runs a lot of zone read. Increasingly, teams are overplaying Barkley, making QB McSorley keep it. He is pretty nifty on keepers, but you’d rather pick his poison than Barkley’s.

So McSorley has been carrying the ball frequently, and he has been sacked a lot this year. He’s coming off two physical games vs OSU and Michigan. Is he still chucking and ducking at last year’s championship clip or will he start to look human and show some scratches and dents at some point?

* In fact, I would say TOO much for their offense is zone read. They should run power, traps and toss sweeps for Barkley. But they don’t. Not that I’ve seen.

* Their first run play of the game last week was a first-and-goal draw play. O-line in two-point stances, showed pass pro, then the the left tackle attempted to pull and isolate an inside linebacker with a lead block. Not the most confident, smashmouth style of play. Gisicki failed to seal DE Bosa on the back side, Barkley was corralled for a loss of 4.

PSU tries to finesse you with the run game. I don’t think they needed to build things that way. But they did, and now I think it hurts them.

* The misdirection PSU used vs Michigan won’t work as well against Michigan State. Michigan over-pursues and PSU used their speed against them a few costly times.

* PSU outscoring opponents 104-3 in the first quarter

Last year they had an amazing penchant of outscoring opponents in the third quarter. When it’s that regular, you have to tip your hat to PSU’s coaching.

PSU led OSU 14-3 in the first quarter last week (but OSU had a 106-33 edge in yardage with PSU at -10 rushing yards in the 1Q).

* Prior to last week, PSU led the nation in scoring defense at 9.6 per game. Now, PSU ranks no. 7 in the country in scoring defense.

That’s obviously pretty good, but Michigan State - believe it or not - will probably be the second-best offense they have seen this year.

Lewerke: “They’ve got a lot of exotic blitzes. The safeties are hard hitters. No. 2 (safety Marcus Allen) is not afraid of trying to make plays in the box instead of covering the pass.”

OFFENSE

* Like Northwestern, they love to leak the RB out as a receiver on any down - especially watch out on third-and-long vs man-to-man.

* Third-and-14 threw to Barkley on a short crossing route for 10 yards last week (had him as a wide out in empty. Had Barkley and TE Gisicki to one side, and WRs to the other. Sent everyone deep, tried to take the lid off the defense and hit Barkley underneath. Zone defense was the right call for OSU on this play.

* PSU loves, loves, loves to try to spring slot WRs deep vs safeties or linebackers.

* PSU had only one real scoring drive in the first half last week, aided by a defensive pass interference and a couple of run-around possession-route passes from McSorley, then a 36-yard TD run by Barkley on a gap error by OSU LB.

* Their run-blocking is mediocre. When they try to lean on you with double-teams and run inside with inside zones, they don’t get a lot of movement. They don’t knock down the door with that stuff. The McSorley option read layer of it makes it harder to stop, but they need it to be a complement to some power stuff. They’re lacking in that area.

Quarterback 9 Trace McSorley (6-0, 195, Sr./Jr.)

* Averaging 258 yards per game, 65 pct completions, 16 TDs, 5 INTs. Those stats look pretty good.

In conference games, he is averaging 263 yards passing per game (No. 3 in the Big Ten), No. 3 in pass efficiency.

* Last year he displayed an uncanny ability to hit deep passes, often in creative scramble mode.

* Has the extra element to keep on the zone read AND scramble to throw like a modern day Flutie. He was great against Michigan.

* Last week vs OSU was 17 of 29 for 192 with 2 TDs and 0 INTs, sacked twice.

* Rushed 13 times for 49 yards, with a long of 23, and one TD last week.

* He’s not perfect. Scrambled to the outside and missed TE Gisicki open on third-and-12 in the first quarter last week.

- Missed WR 84 Johnson on a crossing route in the first quarter last week, after McSorley took a pretty good ding on an option keeper one play earlier.

- Missed WR Hamilton on a slant on a first-and-10 RPO with 10:15 left in the third quarter and OSU riding momentum.

- Threw an INT, in the third quarter, underthrew WR DeAndre Thompins in the end zone on a deep, 36-yard post. OSU DB wrestled it away from him as they both fell to the ground jostling for the ball. But officials reviewed it and ruled it a TD. Probably a good call, but strange to see that one reversed. That gave PSU a 34-20 lead.

- With PSU losing momentum, but still up 35-20 with 12:30 left, he missed Hamilton vs press man-to-man on an out route at 15 yards. Threw behind him.

* Against Michigan, he had much more lively legs and willingness to run, coming off the bye week and capitalizing on cutbacks vs UM’s fast, aggressive, man-to-man defense, TD runs of 3 and 13 yards on zone read keepers. And a 9-yard TD keeper on a power read option against a white-flag waiving UM defense.

* On that same power look, McSorley pulled it out for an RPO pass to back-up QB Tommy Stevens for an 11-yard TD.

* Against UM threw an INT in the red zone in the 2q which temporarily changed the game for the negative. Threw an out route to TE Gesicki when Gesicki was turning for an out and up.

[QB 2 Tommy Stevens (6-5, 228, Jr./So.)]

* He is 9 of 17 on the year for 126 ayrds with 1 TD. He caught a TD pass against Northwestern.

I haven’t seen him play but if he had to play I suspect he would be functional.

Running Back 26 Saquon Barkley (5-11, 230, Jr./Jr.)

* Is PSU’s leading RECEIVER with 36 catches (13.1 per catch). (58 yards receiving per game).

* Leads the nation in total offense per game.

* Averaging 100 yards per game, 5.8 per carry (801 net yards rushing on the year).

+ Had 36 yards in losses last week vs OSU, netting 44 yards on the day on 21 carries (2.1 per).

+ 36-yard TD run last week on a zone read option handoff, with an OSU LB getting caught out of his gap.

* For non-math majors, that means Barkley netted only 8 yards on his 20 other carries aside from the 36-yard TD.

* Stopped after a gain of 2 on a third-and-6 late in the 2Q on a zone read option, a surprising call.

* He was held to 56 yards on 20 carries against Indiana.

* 75 yards on 16 carries against Northwestern, with 53 of those coming on one carry.

* 108 yards on 15 carries against Michigan, with 69 coming on one carry.

* 15 straight games with at least one TD (longest active FBS streatk)

+ 11-yard reception on a screen on third-and-10 last week in the first quarter.

* Four catches for 23 yards last week.

* They will use him at least once or twice on shovel passes.

* Barkley has three receiving TDs this season.

* Michigan had a miserable time trying to cover him with slowish MLB McCray. PSU tried to get Barkley open last week on a wheel route with 9:30 left in the game, but OSU LB Malik Harrison sprinted well with him down the sideline.

+ He beat UM’s McCray as a slot WR in man to man for a 42-yard TD on a simple release move to the inside, skinnier than a skinny post. QB with time to throw and vast green space to throw it into.

* Who covers him for Michigan State? Well, who covers Gesicki? Michigan State has problems here, whether in man to man or zone.

Chris Frey has had trouble in pass defense this year and in other years. PSU will be able to scheme and formation and know when they can put Barkley in a pass route against the strongside LB.

Michigan State CAN play man to man to the point of traveling Andrew Dowell everywhere with Barkley, but Dowell isn’t the type of pass defender that would lead you to do that. Plus, Michigan State (and most opponents) don’t want to purely play man-to-man against PSU - because then the zone read becomes more effective ,and the slot fades to Hamilton become more isolated, as do the jumpballs to Gesicki.

Is Antjuan Simmons ready to take on more of a role, and perhaps provide some matchup help on defense? Well, he was involved in an expensive bust on a pass to the TE last week.

Overall this isn’t a situation like when Michigan State put Justin Layne on Simmie Cobbs everywhere he went. With a mismatch TE and a good pass-catching RB, Michigan State doesn’t have the type of pass defense safety or linebacker who could attempt to lock either of them down.

So Michigan State will play its base zone and try to pay it well. Iowa had some success that way. Northwestern played decent defense too, stopping the run and holding PSU to 381 yards of total offense.

NU and Iowa had better slot-area LB cover men than Michigan State. But Michigan State has better corners than NU.

Frankly, I’m not sure what approach Michigan State will have in trying to cover Barkley and Gesicki. There will be times when a Khari Willis, or David Dowell or a Matt Morrissey get stuck vs Gesicki one-on-one, whether in zone or man, and you just have to backyard survive it. Again, a pass rush would help.

Stop the run, put them in third-and-long as many times as possible, then hope the pass rush can serve you in the bomb raid.

* PSU has talent at WR, and lots of it.

Wide Receiver (X)

84 Juwan Johnson (6-4, 226, Jr./So.)

* Dropped a shallow crosser in the fourth quarter last week.

* 30 catches, ranks second on the team.

* 1 TD. 45 yards receiving per game.

Wide Receiver (H) 5 DaeSean Hamilton (6-1, 206, Gr./Sr.)

* PSu’s all-time leading receiver.

* But he ranks only fourth this year in catches with 29, averaging 17 yards per catch and 61 yards per game (which is No. 1 on the team).

* 5 TD catches.

* They love him in the red zone on the slot corner fade. Heck they like to use him with that, anywhere on the field.

* Had only one catch last week but it was a 13-yard TD on a corner fade on third-and-goal vs man-to-man pressing CB Arnett of OSU. (One snap earlier, they went to him on a post corner, second and goal, INC on first possession vs OSU.)

* Had a momentum-building 30-yarder vs UM after UM had cut lead to 14-6, on third-and-seven, jump ball go route for about 30 yards to midfield vs good coverage.

* A few plays later went to him against on same play on fourth and 7 but UM good coverage by Lavert Hill in the slot knocked it away.

* After UM cut it to 14-13, first play of next drive, they went deep to him again for 30 yards, slot deep fade, changed momentum again, Simple outside release 50-50 ball this time against DB Mettelus of UM.

Wide Receiver (Z) 3 DeAndre Thompkins (5-11, 187, Sr./Jr.)

* 18 catches on the year.

* Probably their fastest receiver.

* 1 TD on the year.

13 Saeed Blacknall (6-3, 217, Sr./Sr.)

* 11 catches.

Tight End 88 Mike Gesicki (6-6, 250, Sr./Sr.)

* 30 catches, 4 TDs, 35 yards per game.

+ Can go deep, or work the drags and in routes as a possession chain-mover.

+ 9-yard catch on third-and-four in the first half last week, McSorley stepped up, feeling the rush and found No. 88 to move the chains.

* Had four catches for 28 yards last week midway through the first half. FInished with a team-high six catches for 57 yards.

* PSU didn’t go deep to him much last week, or even intermediate, but did hook up with him on a jump ball to convert what looked like a huge third-and-13 with PSU leading by 8 with 8:45 to play. OSU DB Jordan Fuller (6-2, 207) covered him and harassed him all the way.

That play and a 20-plus yard gain on a QB draw, and a 20-yard hitch (caught at 5 yards, then eluding a tackle) by WR Saed Blacknall, gave PSU first and goal. A TD would have iced the game, but they settled for a field goal. PSU ran two QB zone read keepers for a total of 4 yards. On third down, they hadned to Barkley on an inside zone for a loss of 2 as RG Mahon was beaten off the snap, maybe with crowd noise eing a factor.

* Vs Michigan, from the slot, jumpball fade on third-and-three to the 4-yard line for 20 yards with less than a minute left in the half, helping PSU regain control at 21-13 at the break.

18 Jonathan Holland (6-4, 248, Jr./So.)

* 2 catches on the year.

* Subbed in for Gesicki and PSU moved him out to the slot and he went deep on a nice release move, drew defensive holding. This is a back-up TE? Lots of talented, athletic frames on this team.

* This dude is going to be good. Big dude, runs well, runs a curl route with good feet. NFL potential, yet he’s a redshirt junior who doesn’t play much.

OFFENSIVE LINE:

* Very questionable at right tackle if Ryan Bates doesn’t play.

Left Tackle 52 Ryan Bates (6-4, 312, Jr./So.): questionable due to injury

71 Will Fries (6-6, 305, So./Fr.)

+ Not bad last week with a combo block out to the LB on a first-and-10 right tackle trap , but it only gained 1 yard. OSU CB flowed fast and chased it down from the back side.

Left Guard 74 Steven Gonzalez (6-4, 341, Jr./So.)

* Pulled him on a nice power read option 9 yard TD keeper (McSorley) against Michigan. Didn’t see that play last week.

Center 66 Connor McGovern (6-5, 312, So./So.)

* No opinion.

Right Guard 70 Brendan Mahon (6-4, 318, 5th/Sr.)

- Allowed a sack last week to DT Draymont Jones last week on a violent shoulder club & arm-over. Does Michigan State have anyone to attack him with anything similar? Well, Naquan Jones is getting there. Raequan Williams might be able to test No. 70 as well, in the pass rush.

Right Tackle 71 Will Fries (6-6, 305, So./Fr.) OR 77 Chasz Wright (6-7, 358, Sr./Jr.)

* 77 is not good.

* Second string prior to the OSU game.

* Started five games last season and the first three games of this year.

* He went into the game against OSU after Bates went down. He struggled.

* Beaten for sack in third quarter at NW.

DEFENSE


* All the d-linemen love to use the right handed shoulder club, to set up the arm-over (AKA short swim move).

* D-line went eight deep in the first quarter last week.

* Was surprised and impressed by how many reserves they used last week, and how early they used them. I counted eight second strings in the defensive backfield and d-line alone. They might not go that deep against an Michigan State team that doesn’t run tempo. But using that many players SHOULD help prevent November wear.

In the fourth quarter, they didn’t look so good.

* They bring some exotic blitzes, with various players from various angles. And they close quickly. MSU’s experience in playing vs Michigan will help in this task.

* When it’s time to finish a team tackle, the second and third men in hit hard, no matter who it is.

* On the d-line, PSU lost d-end Torrence Brown for the season to a knee injury at Iowa. He started four games as a sophomore last year. Pretty good player, they miss him, not great.

* They played a ton of zone last week. Cover-two, cover-four, some cover-three. Not the greatest zone defense you’ll find. Very tough, athletic individuals in the back, but OSU didn’t have much trouble finding open receivers in PSU’s zones. And this was an OSU WR crew that was criticized for getting no separation vs Oklahoma a few weeks ago.

Defensive End

48/19 Shareef Miller (6-5, 257, Jr./So.)

* Good player, not great.

* Tied for second on the team in sacks with 3.5.

* Quick, violent shoulder club with the right hand, setting up the left shoulder dip.

* Can transition and close like a linebacker.

- Got knocked off-balance vs a double-team on an inside zone on second-and-three in the first quarter last week but the OSU RB didn’t carry it to the hole.

+ Excellent one-step quickness when it’s green-light time to chase.

+ Had a coverage sack last week in the red zone in the first quarter.

34 Shane Simmons (6-3, 250, So./Fr.)

* Saw action last week in the first quarter.

* Quick lateral movement and can lay out with speed. This guy is second string? Athlete.

Defensive Tackle 52 Curtis Cothran (6-5, 301, Gr./Sr.)

* Good pass rusher, suspect vs double teams in the run game.

* Tied for second on the team in sacks with 3.5

* His pass rushing ability will be a challenge for MSU’s young offensive guards, who struggled last week.

+ Stunt, sack in the red zone last week to force a field goal attempt on third down. Received a pick from blitzing LB Cabinda, and looped around him, closed quickly for a defensive tackle.

- Allowed too much movement to a double team on a third-and-four zone read. RB Dobbins benefitted from the daylight for 20 yards.

- Allowed too much movement on a double team vs power, early in the 2H last week

- Consistently substandard vs double teams.

+ Beat UM center for a sack on opening drive.

+ Sack in red zone helped thwart a first-and-goal situation for Northwestern. NU had a penalty and threw INT on deep fade on third down (yes a deep fade on third and goal).

30 Kevin Givens (6-1, 287, Jr./So.)

* Plays with good, low center of gravity.

Defensive Tackle 41 Parker Cothren (6-4, 304, Gr./Sr.)

+ Quick with the shoulder club, or the blow to the back of the elbow to open the door and squeeze past an o-lineman.

[54 Robert Windsor (6-4, 303, Jr./So.)]

+ Good vs double team on inside zone on second down inside the 10-yard line last week in the second quarter, not giving an inch, keeping his feet pumping and made the tackle. Excellent play, with 5:29 left in the half and I think that was his first snap of the game. They have a lot of guys.

- Got moved by a double team on the next play, though.

* Not bad on the pass rush, works. Drew a holding call on OSU right guard, negating a 25-yard completion in the third quarter.

[56 Tyrell Chavis (6-3, 312, Sr.)]

* Saw action in the first quarter last week and played quite a bit through the middle portions of the game, although he’s not so great.

- Not so great. Was moved by an OSU double team on third-and-one in the first quarter.

- Not so great, moved out by the OSU center on a QB counter keeper for 21 yards in the second quarter. Safety Apke over-pursued on the play and left a gap unmanned; rare for PSU to make that error.

- Consistently bad against double-teams last week.

* Was getting blown off the ball by a double-team on a third-and-1 at midfield last week with 12 minutes left when OSU fumbled a handoff and PSU regained possession.

* Gerald Owens is better than 56, and 56 played a lot of plays last week.

Defensive End

97 Ryan Buckholz (6-6, 275, Jr.)

Stand up DE, short side, Hurt on first play vs OSU.

* Questionable for this game due to a lower body injury from last week.

* He’s not great, but they miss him.

* Has 17 tackes, 2 sacks, 2.5 TFLs

* His absence for most of the game last week hurt Penn State’s pass rush.


* Not as good as last week’s No. 97 of Northwestern, but they miss him.

* On UM’s 6-yard TD run late in the 1H, Buchholz got down-blocked inside, and UM ran power, pulling the RG, for a seemingly easy TD. But the lead to 14-13. UM TE down-blocked and found 40 MLB Cabinda to prevent him from pursuing.

18 Shaka Toney (6-3, 233, So./Fr.)

* Leads team with four sacks. Pass rush specialist.

* Played the entire drive on OSU’s first scoring drive. Was not spectacular.

+ Sack and fumble vs Northwestern at midfield midway through 1H when it was 0-0. Impressive play, long-arming the NU left tackle, blind-siding QB Thorson.

[99 Yetur Gross-Matos (6-5, 248, Fr./Fr.)]

* Played first-string DE last week after Buchholz went down with the injury.

* Long arms and long legs and can accelerate real well, but looks like he’s a year or so away from being an impact player. More of a Robert Bowers type, now. He has trouble winning the hands battles.

LINEBACKERS

Excellent trio. Good pair of inside linebackers, and the slot man can run, hit and cover.

Will Linebacker 43 Manny Bowen (6-1, 226, Jr./Jr.)

+ Stiff, focused hit on OSU WR Paris Campbell resulted in a fumble, returned to the OSU 23-yard line, set up a 14-0 lead just four minutes into the game.

[6 Cam Brown (6-5, 227, So./So.)]

* Saw action in the second quarter last week.

Middle Linebacker 40 Jason Cabinda (6-1, 234, Sr./Sr.)

* Third-team All-Big Ten by coaches last year.

* Runs and pursues the alley exceptionally well.

* Last week’s MLB, Paddy Fisher of NU, was/is excellent. Cabinda is a little better right now. But Fisher played behind better d-tackles, and a better strong-side DE.

[47 Brandon Smith (6-0, 231, Gr./Sr.)]

* Started a possession in the second quarter after PSU went up 21-3 last week.

Sam Linebacker 7 Koa Farmer (6-1, 237, Sr./Jr.)

+ Moves like a safety when playing in the slot, in space, but angular and strong. Displayed both in eluding a block and tackling RB Mike Weber on a bubble for a loss of 5 in the first quarter last week.

PASS DEFENSE TRENDS & SCHEMES

* Showed cover-three (three deep) but rolled into cover-two (cloud/halves) at the snap on second-and-long last week, leaving the TE open in the first quarter, but he dropped it. QB needs time to read the changing coverages.

* In the nickel, in long-yardage, they went cover-six vs OSU in the first quarter (cover-two on the short side, cover-four on the field side with third-string CB Haley (15) sinking deep.

* OSU cut it to 21-9 with a pass-oriented drive midway through the first half. They hit a deep crosser for about 36, then scored on a 14-yard skinny post. PSU had a two-deep zone but there was too much space between the safeties. Looked like a bust.

* On the 36-yarder earlier in the drive, it looked like OSU ran a “dagger concept.” That means they used two receivers to “take the top off the secondary” with deep routes, occupying deep defenders; then they brought a crosser from the other side of the field at about 20 yards underneath the blown-off top of the secondary.

* OSU cut it to 35-27 with a 38-yard TD vs soft cover-four, lots of room between the safeties, not much obstruction in getting into the route, with 11:00 to play.

* PSU’s run game then failed miserably. QB McSorley unwilling to pull the ball and keep on zone read. RT 77 Chasz Wright getting beat on second down.

* Then OSU regained possession with about 3 minutes to play. PSU opted for man-to-man and blitzes but OSU carved it up with an out route, a shallow crosser. And then scored the game-winner on a seam route in cover-three. He had all day to throw.

* OSU made PSU’s zone defense look a little soft.

JT Barrett passed for 328 yards on 33 of 39 passing with 4 TDs and 0 INTs. Those numbers are sparkling. But he had time to throw, and OSU’s often-maligned WRs were able to find green space.

Free Safety 2 Marcus Allen (6-2, 207, Sr./Sr.)

* Quality player, gets low and hits better than most linebackers. Short-area burst to physicality is impressive with so many of these guys. In a short amount of space, they break down and hammer you with a text-book, angular hit and wrap.

* Third-team All-Big Ten last year.

[4 Nick Scott (5-11, 199, Sr./Jr.)]

* Saw action in the first quarter last week.

* Versatile enough to be trusted with press coverage in the slot on fourth-and-eight in the first quarter last week.

Strong Safety 28 Troy Apke (6-1, 198, Sr./Sr.)

+ Sticky player, closely with quickness and made tackle with grappling-hook arms and hands on OSU WR K.J. Hill on a crossing route. Good tackle in space.

* Sharp player, not the thickest, most physical guy, but he will go full-tilt and get to you.

Field Cornerback 15 Grant Haley (5-9, 190, Sr./Sr.)

* Moves to slot CB in the nickel defense in passing situations.

- Called for pass interference on a fade in the end zone last week in the second quarter.

[21 Amani Oruwariye (6-1, 209, Sr./Jr.)]

* Plays field CB in the nickel defense. * Saw action with the regulars late in the first quarter. Reacted well to a pump-and-go, got depth, smooth coverage. This guy is second-string? He would start for a lot of teams in the Big Ten.

* INT on third and goal jump ball vs Northwestern in the first half.

Boundary Cornerback 1 Christian Campbell (6-1, 194, Sr./Sr.)

* Menacing hitter from the CB position.

+ Got home an blitz for sack and strip vs UM in the fourth quarter.

[5 Tariq Castro-Fields (6-0, 185, Fr./Fr.)]

* Saw action in the first quarter last week.

= With him at boundary CB in cover-two, OSU ran a hitchpump-and-go deep. Castro-Fields bit hard on the pump and safety Apke had the cover-two hole deep down the sideline. Apke broke it up, and JT Barrett didn’t lead him enough to the sideline. WR owned the “red line” cushion to the sideline but Barrett missed him.

38 Lamont Wade (5-9, 196, Fr./Fr.)

* Was beaten on a deep fade to the 5-yard line in the 2q vs Michigan. Didn’t see No. 38 Wade last week vs OSU)

SPECIAL TEAMS

* Place kicker Tyler Davis has struggled. 7 of 14 on field goals. 0 for 4 from 30 to 39 yards. 2 of 4 from 40 to 49 yards.

* PSU is dangerous on kick return, and they need to be.

* When cutting the lead to 35-27, OSU opted to go with a squib kick and covered PSU at the 29-yard line, rather than kicking to Barkley. Will Michigan State do the same? Might not be a bad idea.

OSU squibbed it to Barkley after cutting the lead to 38-33 with 4:14 left, tackling him at the 15.

ADD IT ALL UP

Is PSU mature and focused and healed enough to band together, go on the road, take care of business against a defense that will probably stop their running attack? Is PSU ready to provide good pass protection for McSorley so he can probe some mismatches in the pass game?

Is MSU’s pass rush ready to stand in the face of all that talent?

Is McSorley starting to show some dents and scratches? Will the zone read keeper aspect of their offense continue to stall?

Penn State leads the Big Ten in conference games and is third in the Big Ten in sacks in conference games. They rush the passer well on third down, so it’s key to stay on schedule and stay out of third and long.

I’m not big on predicting heroic A-plus outings. One of those is possible for Michigan State, but a solid B to B-plus outing is more likely.

That would mean providing good pass protection most of the game, but it’s not likely to expect perfect pass protection like OSU had most of the night.

That would mean a big day from the Michigan State pass rush, like four or five sacks. That’s not likely, but three sacks and good heat is possible.

Can Michigan State hang with Gesicki and Hamilton and Barkley in pass defense individually? I’m not sure what those matchups will end up looking like. Again, a pass rush would be an immense help. Expecting Michigan State to go unscathed in these matchups is foolhardy. PSU is going to score some blows here. Michigan State needs to be ready to answer with strong offense of its own.

MSU’s run game needs to prove its manhood. PSU will be putting the crown of their helmets on LJ Scott’s hands. They hit hard. They’ll test him. I’m not confident he will pass. Michigan State may have to try to win with Holmes and London getting more than half of the carries.

MSU’s blockers were getting full heat this week to step it up. Michigan State coaches usually do a good job of getting progress from areas of emphasis. I am expecting Michigan State to rush for at least 135 yards, and should have a goal to exceed the 158 they had against Michigan.

Penn State’s run defense has been pretty good, but their DTs aren’t great against the run. Their run defense isn’t as good as Northwestern’s, and we can expect MSU’s run blocking to be sharper, more determined than it was against Northwestern.

As it’s been for the past few weeks, that means a lot of it falls back into the hands of Lewerke. If he has time, which I think he will have for most pass attempts, I like his ability to find receivers in PSU’s zone coverages, and I like MSU’s receivers’ chances of getting there and finishing, and I like MSU’s chances of scheming some good route combinations for those zone defenses, and I think the Michigan State run game will do a decent job of setting up Lewerke with manageable chains.

I think Michigan State can get into position to score in the high 20s against these guys. Keeping Penn State below 30 means taking care of the ball, giving up nothing goofy on special teams, containing Barkley’s ground game and surviving the Hamilton/Barkley/Gisecki pass game jump balls fades and isolations. Michigan State can contain Barkley for most of the game but Michigan State can’t allow the single long run, which seems to be a specialty of Barkley’s. From there, the x-factor is MSU’s pass defense against that PSU talent in the pass game. The x-factor to that x-factor is how much time McSorley gets to throw, or how much magic he can create on the run, and whether he might be starting to feel the effects of a long, physical season and a gruesome three weeks.

Digging deep into play selection in the 2q and 3q

There's this talk about MSU getting conservative in the second quarter and third quarter.

It didn't strike me that way, as I watched it, but I wasn't 100 pct sure of how I felt about it. So I wanted to go back through it again, for a more measured look at how things transpired.

**

Here's what I found:

The way I saw it, four of Lewerke's last five pass attempts of the first half were disasters or near-disasters. Near-INTs and a sack. That's what I saw at the end of the first half.

He flirted with disaster all day and it would have been unwise to go large portions of the game without trying to probe the run. MSU barely probed the run, but probed it enough, in my opinion.

**

Here's something you probably didn't realize: The FG drive in the 2q that put MSU up 10-0 was all run plays.

Let's go back. MSU's previous drive (MSU's third drive of the game, after the TD and the fumble), advanced to the NU 39-yard line on a pass to Felton Davis for 30 yards.

Next play, MSU ran an RPO with Lewerke throwing a deep laser at Cody White, but White didn't know the ball was coming, didn't turn around, and it was nearly intercepted. Probably should have been intercepted. Near-disaster.

Next play, was the pop-shovel sweep to Stewart, gain of 1.

Next play, third and nine, Davis was open vs a blitz. QB didn't see him. Sack. Punt.

Where's the conservatism in that series?

On the sideline after that series, I would be asking, "On that near INT when White didn't look back for the ball on first-and-10, why didn't you try running the ball?"

The unknown is undefeated, you know

So the next time MSU got the ball, I'm running it, trying the run, probing the run.

And that's what MSU did, for gains of 2, 8 (QB draw).

So now it's first-and-10 at the NU 37 (thanks to good field position from the defense).

You've just had a near-disaster and a sack in the pass game. And you just picked up a first down on the ground. What do you do next? They chose to run the ball and I have no issue with it.

In fact, if you go to the air right there, you're going with too much risk.

First and 10: London gains 3 on an inside zone.
Second and 7: You want to throw? You would be wrong. MSU ran a left-tackle pull gap play, London gained 5.
Third and 2: This is where the arch conservatism comes out, right?

You've just run the ball well. If you throw it here and get sacked or have another near-INT, people will ask why you stopped running the ball.

So MSU ran a designed QB keep, after faking the reverse to White. Gained 1.

The QB run has been a good play for MSU all year, a good chain-mover. I don't hate the call. It didn't work. You can say they should have passed it there, but you can't guarantee that a pass would have work. The unknown is undefeated.

If you throw an INC there ,or on these other third-down stoppages in the game, people would have asked why MSU hasn't used the designed QB keeper more often.

So MSU got stopped a QB keeper on third-and-two. Burn them at the stake.

MSU kicked a field goal and went up 10-0.

I don't really have a problem with those play calls that led to the field goal drive, especially considering that MSU's previous drive ended in near disaster with a near-INT and a sack.

**

MSU's next drive, its last drive of the first half, again ended in near-disaster for the passing game.

first play of the drive: Pass to Stewart for 8 yards on an RPO. Nice.

second-and-two at the MSU 28-yard line. What do you do?

Pass the ball, right? It's second-and-two? Who in their right mind wouldn't pass the ball here? MSU is going to run the ball and get stuffed like a bunch of idiots because they're so predictable and everyone knows they're going to run it.

So MSU ran it. And Scott picked up 3 for a first down.

Drink.

So now it's first-and-10: MSU ran in inside zone. Luke Campbell was beaten up front, Scott was stopped for no gain.

So now it's second-and-10: Lewerke roleld out and threw a dangerous pass intended for White. It fell INC, but it shouldn't have been thrown.

Third-and-10: Deep pass for Stewart, nearly intercepted, broken up by Godwin Igwebuike.

Punt. Where's the conservatism in that series?

**

Then in the second half, on MSU's first drive of the third quarter, MSU sprang open two wide-open WRs for what probably should have gone for TDs of 90 yards and 74 yards, but the QB missed them.

So where was the poor play calling on those plays? Pretty good play calling, actually. Just look how open those WRs were. But the QB didn't execute.

As that drive progressed, Lewerke completed a dangerous pass to G Holmes between two defenders on third-and-7 from the 10-yard line. Again, near-disaster. Shouldn't have thrown that ball. But he got away with it.

After a play like that, you CAN'T abandon the run. You have to keep probing it.

So MSU ran a toss sweep for 3 on first and 10, and then on second down came the play when Felton Davis was wide open for a TD but Lewerke missed him.

Then on third-and-seven, Lewerke hooked up with Stewart on a fade for 24 yards. Very good coverage, very good ball, very good catch.

On the next play, first and 10, a pass to Stewart for 11 yards on an RPO.

This is midway through the third quarter? Where is this consevatism I keep hearing about?

Then on the next play, INC on a deep pass for Felton Davis. The Northwestern CB tipped the pass away. Good ball, good defense.

Went deep. Real conservative.

Then on second-and-10, it's a good time to probe the run. You can't become Sandy Schwab. MSU ran a power and gained 1 yard. And people want coaches burned at the stake, I guess, for running the ball once on second-and-10.

Then on third-and-nine, Northwestern played a coverage I'm not sure I've ever seen in a non-prevent situation. They played a three-deep with two CBs and a LB. And then they had two safeties deeper than those guys. It was a pure five-deep. There was NO ONE open beyond 12 yards, and Lewerke wisely threw short of the chains for a gain of 6.

I know some people hate it when the QB throws short of the chains on third down, but that was the wise thing to do there - just like it was wise to throw short of the chains to Rison and Cody White on key plays at the end of the Indiana games, with both guys getting the first down with after-catch yardage.

This time, throwing short of the chains set up fourth-and-three. MSU went for it, and Lewerke completed a pass to Stewart on double-slants to move the chains.

Barry Goldwater ball.

So now it's first-and-10 at the 27.

You can't abandon the run. You're Michigan State and you train all year to be able to get things going on the ground. You have to probe it. There have been times in other games when the run game suddenly starts to hum. It's not like they were getting Alabama-stuffed on run plays.

So on first-and-10, MSU probed a left guard power and only gained 2 yards. I have no problem with that play call beforehand or afterward. MSU tailbacks had 18 carries in this game. Do you really want to come out of this game having attempted only 10 or 12 tailback carries? And if you do attempt only 10 or 12 tailback carries in a game, guess what, those passing lanes aren't as open for Lewerke.

So it's second-and-8. MSU ran a screen pass for Holmes and it lost three yards. A well-drilled defense sniffed that one out.

So it's third-and-11 and Lewerke threw a pass too low for Sokol. He trapped it. INC.

MSU settled for a field goal, and missed.

So the next time MSU regained possession, there was only 4:34 left in the third quarter.

Absolutely none of the above can be considered conservative, predictable or some of the other words I've heard on the Bunker tonight.

**

MSU ran only five more plays in the third quarter.

On first-and-10 at the MSU 20, LJ Scott gained 2 yards on a power to the strong side. Probed the run. No problem, especially since MSU gained the first down on the next play.

Second-and-8: Pass to LJ Scott for 9 on a hitch. MSU went empty for that play.

Then on first and 10, fly sweep, gain of 8.

Now what do you do? And here's the rub, but I see no rub.

It's second-and-2 at the MSU 39-yard line. We're nearly three quarters into this game. Sure, MSU only has 10 points, but I can't argue with MSU's approach to any of it.

You can say MSU should throw the ball here on second-and-two. But remember all the near disasters I outlined.

I'm not sure I've ever heard a time in my life when anyone ever said that a run play on second-and-two was a bad play call.

Until today.

It's second-and-two, and that's actually an ideal time to probe the run in a game like this. There's a chance you get a 5-yard chunk, which just helps establish balance and helps your pass game in the long run. It's an easy choice in my book. It's safe, smart and a good chance of positive returns to run the ball here on second-and-two.

I wish I had been watching this game with you guys in your living rooms on TV. At this point, I would have paused the DVR and asked you for your play choice.

If you said throw the ball, I would have given you a lot of reasons why that wasn't a good idea, and why the run game needed to be fed, and explored.

Even if the play gets stopped, you can expect to at least gain 1 yard, right? And you can come back on third-and-one and pick it up right? Well, that's what MSU thought and that's where the game was lost, in some respects. But I think MSU played the wise percentages.

So MSU ran it, and Scott was stopped for no gain on a power to the weak side.

So it's third-and-2. MSU went back to the QB designed keeper. Again, the QB keeper has been a good play for MSU all year. You have a QB with live legs. You can't run zone read QB keepers 20 times a game. That would put him in harm's way. So you have to be judicious on when you use him in run plays. This was one of those times, and I think percentages were good that he would be able to move the chains.

So they ran a QB power, a type of QB designed run with a pulling guard from the back side that I don't think MSU has run all year. But it got stopped for a gain of 1 and MSU had to punt.

**

So you can claim that you were calling for pass plays on those plays mentioned above, but you know what? I don't believe you. Pass plays didn't make any more sense than run plays in those situations. There was no right or wrong in those situations. MSU chose one way to go with some of those plays. You can argue that other plays might have worked. But you cannot convince me that, prior to the snaps of any of those plays, there would have been a better chance for success with option B as opposed to the choices MSU made on those plays.

**

So I just went through the entire second and third quarter play calls. I've seen people post that MSU got too conservative in the second and third quarter after a fast start.

I don't think the actual minutiae of the situation supports that claim.

Lewerke's growth evident despite loss (link)

Its pretty obvious that Lewerke took a big step forward tonight despite several near picks, and missed deep balls. He stepped up, and his receivers did too. Felton Davis is becoming a big-time mismatch, but Kudos to Cody White and Darrell Stewart as well.

Here's my article.

https://michiganstate.rivals.com/news/lewerke-s-growth-as-evident-despite-loss

Pre-Snap Read: MSU vs Northwestern

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Pre-Snap Read: MSU vs Northwestern


By Jim Comparoni
SparanMag.com Publisher

EVANSTON, Ill. - Last week, my opening sentence was that Indiana was better than Minnesota.

I think that deducton is obvious now, despite Indiana’s 0-4 record in the Big Ten - and that’s not something one would have expected to be the case in August.

This week, it’s clear that Northwestern - with a healthy Justin Jackson starting to get rolling and a terrific run defense - is better than Indiana, Minnesota and Iowa.

Michigan State narrowly beat Indiana, Iowa and Minnesota (on the scoreboard). So the calculous is simple for the Spartans this week: Michigan State needs to find that next level of improvement that has evaded them in recent games, if Michigan State is going to beat Northwestern, advance to 7-1 and creep into the national Top 15.

The Spartans have the capacity to do it. And Northwestern has the capacity to stop them cold.

Both teams are seeking the next level of improvement, and that’s the one of the more fascinating things about college football. Teams can make major improvements, or go on steep nosedives. A lot of it depends on health, player leadership, coaching. Michigan State has good amounts of each this year. There is potential to build toward an unknown ceiling of potential.

Compare that to the NBA. Ninety percent of the teams in that league are what they are, right now, and they aren’t going to change - for better or worse - between now and April. So it’s just a traveling individual show with coast-level effort, for 80 games.

College football? Michigan State could hit a wall in this game, lose, and head straight toward 8-4 or worse. Or they could achieve that next level of improvement, and do outlandish things like run for 160 yards against a team that has stuffed the run, and/or get 285 yards passing out Brian Lewerke. Those things are possible, and if they happen against THIS Northwestern defense, a good defense, then Michigan State will deserve every inch of its 7-1 start.

FINAL ANALYSIS FIRST

Northwestern is excellent at stopping the run, smart in pass defense. They are suspect in one-on-one matchups in the defensive backfield and when opportunities present themselves Michigan State MUST capitalize. There won’t be a ton of opportunities.

Michigan State QB Brian Lewerke has played winning football. Playing winning football COULD be more difficult this week, if Michigan State is unable to get the ground game going, is faced with tough third-down situations AND is giving up points on defense. A lot could end up in Lewerke’s lap, and although we’ve seen him as a starter for a good solid year now, we still learn more about him as we go.

I THOUGHT Michigan State was ready to break into a new level of pass game proficiency in each of the last two weeks, but it hasn’t quite happened (partly due to the weather at Minnesota, and also the fact that Michigan State ran the ball so well two weeks ago they didn’t need to probe the passing attack).

Last week, the Michigan State passing attack took a long time to get off the ground, but the best news is that Lewerke and his receivers - including the young ones - came through with excellence in the last nine minutes of the game against a quality Indiana defense. The level of confidence, and knowledge, is escalating - although slowly. It needs to continue to escalate for this game.

Northwestern has rebounded from a bad start, and is now playing quality football - having beaten Minnesota and Iowa in the past two weeks. RB Justin Jackson was injured early in the year, but is rolling now. The o-line was substandard early in the year, and has straightened things out to the point of being somewhat functional (but still suspect).

Jackson is one of the most prolific RBs in Big Ten history. He’s very good, although their running attack is not all that varied. I expect Michigan State to keep a handle on him, although he might be most dangerous in this game as a ball carrier on third and long.

NU has a deep cast of possession WRs. They execute an uptempo, ball-control passing attack, with a lot of sit-down routes, and snag combinations, mesh concepts, and flat/slant combos to the two-WR side. They repeat a lot of those patterns. They rank among the nation’s leaders in pass completions, but they aren’t an explosive offense.

NU quarterback Clayton Thorson runs warm-to-hot. That leads to this week’s arms race:

By far, Thorson will be the best passing QB Michigan State has faced this year. He looks very good at times against poor defenses - such as Maryland two weeks ago or at Michigan State last year. He isn’t so good against quality defenses. You might think that’s a no-brainer, but the high-end QBs can elevate and play lights-out against the best defenses. He hasn’t shown he can do that - yet.

Well, now he gets a chance to play against - statistically - one of the best pass defenses in the country. Can Thorson elevate against a top defense?

Michigan State ranks No. 4 in the country in pass defense efficiency, and No. 4 in total defense.

But is Michigan State truly a top defense, or are its lofty numbers aided by the fact that they’ve played mediocre passing attacks?

That’s this week’s arms race. Who is going to elevate? Thorson against a quality pass defense? Can Michigan State’s pass offense from from a B-minus outfit to a B-plus/A-minus attack? Can MSU’s run game do something Wisconsin and Penn State couldn’t do - and rush for more than 110 yards against this stingy Northwestern defensive front?

Turnovers and specials teams errors aside, the above macro events will decide this game. If we’re sticking with the body of work, the modes of operation, I would expect Thorson to be pretty good, not great. I would expect Lewerke to remain pretty good, not great. I would expect both teams to have trouble running the ball. I don’t see a big edge either way in the punt game, whereas NU has more proven ability in place kicking.

The most likely scenario is another one of these 17-14 type of games we’ve seen with Michigan State vs Michigan, Michigan State vs Indiana, Michigan State vs Iowa, Northwestern vs Iowa.

With that being the case, Northwestern has the edge of playing at home. Michigan State has been more hungry than its opponents, most of the year. Will that remain the case in this game? It needs to be. Michigan State can’t afford to be deficient in the effort & will category.

Michigan State has an edge in skill at the WR positions, just like it did against Iowa - and that proved to be a major tipping point in that game. It could be a tipping point in this game, and it needs to be. I would expect Michigan State to be willing to take more vertical shots. Play-action deep, play-action skinny post, play-action vertical to the cover-three seam - Michigan State has the athletes to stretch the top of the NU defense, if not take the top off of it. Iowa jumped to an early lead last week due to a couple of deep shots, but Iowa didn’t continue to press things in that area and quite frankly didn’t have the athletes to do it. Michigan State has them.

Michigan State can make best use of its WR talent if the Spartans can get the run game going. But I wouldn’t expect Michigan State to be as committed to trying to establish the run last week as they were last week. Last week, Michigan State invested a lot of snaps and drives in trying to get that done, and might have succeeded if it wasn’t for a couple of mishandled shot gun snaps, a dropped pass, a fumble, and a couple of ground throws by Lewerke, and a couple of play calls that the Michigan State coaching staff would obviously like to have back. It wasn’t one main area that caused MSU’s offense to run dry last week; it was a vast array of small issues. Those are issues that can be corrected by a team that, through it all, still possesses the POTENTIAL to be a dangerous, balanced offensive attack.

Michigan State looked potent on the ground in rushed for 260-plus against Minnesota.

Lewerke looked swift in throwing for 340 yards against Notre Dame. But he’s still seeking that next level of proficiency. Those numbers against the Irish were compiled in a comeback situation against a defense that played soft in the fourth quarter. Nevertheless, he has a potent, 300-yard passing game in him - and this might be the week it needs to come out.

MSU’s receivers have all had their moments of stardom.

So when is Michigan State going to put it all together? It’s still a young team. Now might be the time. Now needs to be the time. But I’m not big on trying to market-time these type of jumps. But I do think MSU’s edge at WR, as was the case against Iowa, could and should be the difference, as long as turnovers don’t creep too much into the equation.

The good news for Michigan State in the turnover department is that NU has thad more problems in that area than Michigan State. But NU had no turnovers against Iowa. Similarly, Michigan State had no turnovers against Iowa. Trying to forcecast turnovers is kind of impossible, although Michigan State has the type of athleticism, solid communication and multiple coverages (and run defense) that can put Thorson in a bind and lead to poor throws from him. Yet Northwestern has the type of heady, hearty, physical defenders that can pop the ball loose from Lewerke, LJ Scott and Madre London. So good luck trying to figure that one out.

And good luck trying to figure this game out.

But here is a stat to remember: As a ranked team, Michigan State has only lost to an unranked opponent three times under Dantonio (37-3; at Notre Dame, 2011; at Nebraska, 2015; at Indiana, 2016). The Indiana game hardly counts because Michigan State wasn’t deserving of a ranking when the Spartans lost that game last year.

Take that one out of the equation and Michigan State is 37-2 under Dantonio when Michigan State is ranked and the opponent is not.

What does that mean for this game: It means Dantonio and his staff have done a great job of getting good Spartan teams to handle their business. That type of ethic, that type of quality control, carries over from the Kirk Cousins days, to the Connor Cook era, and most likely into 2017.

Michigan State hasn’t lost at Northwestern since 2001. Dantonio has had problems at home against Northwestern, but not on the road. Dantonio has a way of handling his business. Give him an edge at WR and Michigan State might have the edge in eking out another one of these tight, low-scoring Big Ten games.

THE LATEST ON Michigan State:

* Michigan State held Indiana to its lowest offensive output of the season (253 yards).

* Michigan State has held four opponents under 100 yards rushing this year. Michigan State is 59-8 under Dantonio when holding teams under 100 yards rushing.

* Three times, Michigan State has not allowed an offensive touchdown (vs. Indiana, Western Michigan, Bowling Green).

* Although MSU’s scoring defense is officially 16.9 points per game, the defense itself is only allowing 12.9 points per game.

* Michigan State’s defense has only allowed nine touchdowns this season, with four of those coming against Notre Dame and three in the final 10 minutes at Minnesota.

• MSU has held opponents to just 15 trips inside the red zone, second fewest in the Big Ten and 10th fewest in the FBS.

* Michigan State 24 pct effective (gained four yards or more) on first down against Indiana, according to Gerry DiNardo.

We talked about this in the Skull Session (without citing those numbers) but cited that Michigan State tried to change things up from the second quarter on, with play-action passing out of pro-set/I-formation personnel on the first play of the drive on six of its last seven possessions.

* Andrew Dowell had a career-high 10 tackles last week, and he took on blockers when playing the WR screen better than ever.

• The Spartans are looking to begin Big Ten play 5-0 for just the fourth time in school history. Under Dantonio, the Spartans went a perfect 8-0 in regular-season league action in 2013 before winning the Big Ten title over Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game. MSU also started 5-0 in the Big Ten en route to winning conference titles in 1965 (7-0) and 1966 (7-0).

• Following another strong defensive performance against Indiana, MSU continues to rank among the Big Ten leaders in several defensive categories, including total defense (first at 262.3 ypg), first downs defense (first with 97), rushing defense (second at 93.6 ypg), pass efficiency defense (second with 98.3 rating), passing defense (third at 168.7 ypg), third-down percentage defense (second at .282) and scoring defense (fourth at 16.9 ppg). The Spartans also rank among the FBS leaders in pass efficiency defense (fourth), total defense (fourth), first downs defense (fourth), rushing defense (eighth), passing defense (ninth), third-down defense (11th) and scoring defense (14th).

“I remember getting ready for our game a year ago, reading Mark’s comments about self-inflicted mistakes from a communication standpoint, and you just don’t see that happening right now,” said NU coach Pat Fitzgerald.

MORE STATS:

* Brian Lewerke ranks fourth in the Big Ten in total offense, averaging 239.3 yards per game (194.6 passing ypg, 44.7 rushing ypg). He led the Spartans in rushing through the first five games of the season and still ranks second among Big Ten quarterbacks in rushing, averaging 44.7 ypg (Ohio State’s J.T. Barrett is first, averaging 51.3 ypg).

Lewerke ranks fifth in the Big Ten in pass efficiency, seventh in passing yards (94.6 ypg), and rushing (14th at 44.7 ypg).

* Lewerke is completing 59 pct of his passes with 10 TDs and three INTs.

* MSU is 28-14 (.667) in Big Ten road games under Dantonio, including a 22-8 record (.733) since 2010.

* Michigan State hasn’t lost at Northwestern since 2001, when I vaguely remember problems in defending a Hail Mary and a punt, and having only 10 Spartans on the field for one of the pivotal moments.

GAME RESULTS

W: Northwestern 31, Nevada 20

L: Duke 41, Northwestern 17 (Sept. 9 in Durham, NC)

* NU was out-rushed 233-22 in that game.

* NU was somehow held to 14 of 33 passing with 2 INTs.

“Duke wanted it more than us, out-executed us, out-coached us, out-hit us and we didn’t win enough one-on-one battles,” Fitzgerald said after the game.

* Duke ran a lot of RPOs. Michigan State does some of that, but that’s MSU’s jam.

“Our physicality wasn’t where it needed to be in the Duke game,” said standout d-end Joe Gaziano.

W: Northwestern 49, Bowling Green 7

L: Wisconsin 33, Northwestern 24

total offense: Badgers 306, Northwestern 244

(Not many yards for all those points).

L: Penn State 31, Northwestern 7

PSU led 10-0 at halftime.

W: Northwestern 37, Maryland 21

W: Northwestern 17, Iowa 10 (OT)

THE LATEST

* Two straight wins, following decent showings vs Penn State and Wisconsin (decent for awhile vs PSU but PSU pulled away in the second half.)

* Iowa lost last week to Northwestern when Iowa TE Noah Fant dropped a first-down pass in overtime on fourth-down.

* NU out-rushed Maryland 238-85 two weeks ago. (That’s a Maryland team that is a run-first spread offense, a Terps team that rushed for 262 yards against Minnesota).

* NU has the capacity to play balanced football. Against Maryland, NU rushed for 248 and passed for 293.

* Three weeks ago, NU was able to hang with Penn State for awhile, trailing just 10-0 at halftime.

LAST YEAR: 54-40

Last year, Michigan State’s season began to head toward rock bottom when the Spartans lost 54-40 at home to Northwestern, falling to 2-4.

Michigan State players were amazed this year to watch the number of assignment mistakes Spartan defensive players committed in that game last year. It’s not hard for the to see how much they have improved, based largely on being assignment-sound. That has likely reinforced the importance of adhering to assignments, and should help Michigan State maintain good quality control for this game and possibly weeks to come.

Last year, Northwestern out-gained Michigan State on the ground, 209-51.

Last year, Clayton Thorson cherry picked his way to 281 yards passing on 27 of 35 accuracy with 3 TDs and 1 INT (which was a pick-six by brand new CB Justin Layne).

Last year, Lewerke started for the first time and was 12 of 19 for 99 yards before being relieved by Tyler O’Connor, who went 13 of 21 for 281.

NU wide receiver Austin Carr riddled Michigan State with 11 catches for 130 yards, including seeming unstoppable on simple out routes from the slot vs Michigan State safeties. MSU’s safeties might not be as athletic as they were last year, but three is better commitment, smarter play and Michigan State is more varied with its coverages.

NORTHWESTERN OFFENSE

*NU ranks No. 4 in the Big Ten in total offense.

* No. 3 in pass offense 256 yards per game 9 TDs 9 INTs

* No. 11 in yards per pass attempt. Not so great.

* No. 11 in pass efficiency (Michigan State no. 8). Not so great.

* Have allowed more sacks than any team in the Big Ten. Not so great.

* No. 13 in Big Ten in turnover margin (Indiana No. 14 +1 vs Michigan State). Not so great.

NORTHWESTERN TRAITS AND TRENDS

* Justin Jackson is simply one of the most prolific RBs in Big Ten history. He was injured earlier in the year, played hurt against Duke and others. He’s been healthy the last couple of weeks, is playing well as a tailback AND a pass catching threat. NU is a different team when he is healthy and rolling.

* NU had at least two turnovers in each of their first six games but had zero against Iowa.

* They love to go for it on fourth down. They went for it five times last week against Iowa, including a fourth-and-1 sneak in the red zone, although eventually leading to a field goal and a 10-7 lead.

* NU has gone for it on fourth down 22 times this year, more than twice as many times as eight of the other 13 teams in the Big Ten. (Next closest is Iowa and Purdue with 13 apiece. Michigan State has gone for it 10 times).

* NU is converting at 59 pct on fourth down, seventh best in the Big Ten.

* NU’s 13 conversions on fourth down is the most in the Big Ten.

* What it means: From the 40-yard line to the red zone, third-and-long is a running down for NU. I said the same thing last year. But Michigan State twice went with nickel defense (and fewer run defenders) on third and long in this part of the field and surrendered back-breaking long gainers on the ground on third-and-long.

On third-and-long inside the 40, NU likes to run the ball, to set up fourth-and-manageable.

* Northwestern ranks 125th out of 130 in IsoPPP, a stat that measures explosiveness per play.

* As a side note, Pat Fitzgerald coached while wearing shorts, black shorts, for NU’s game at Maryland. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a coach in shorts for a game

* Iowa really missed Josey Jewell at MLB last week. His replacement, No. 44, Neuman, looked like a back-up. Jewell was out with an injury.

OFFENSIVE TRAITS

* They almost always use a mesh concept (which is a fancy, modern way of saying criss-cross routes at shallow depth) on third down.

(But NU was flagged for pass interference on the rub on this play twice in the first half last week. Fitzgerald protested. Probably something the officials talked about BEFORE the game.)

* Wind can be a factor at Ryan Field. Last week, NU played for the tie and overtime when it gained possession at own 25-yard line with 1:30 left in the game. Fitzgerald said the decision was due to wind, Iowa’s defense, field position. Said he preferred a 25-yard even game. Worked out for him, but wow. I’m not sure it was THAT windy. 90 seconds and they ran the clock out. This is a team that goes for it on fourth down at a whim. They are conflicted. But it worked.

TEMPO AS FATIGUE WEAPON

* NU have the capacity to snap at 11 seconds, they make you get ready at 11 seconds, but they usually hold it and wait and snap it at 20 seconds.

* They want to use tempo, and ball control passing, to move the chains, keep your guys on the field and fatigue you.

One of their assistant coaches said last week that they felt midway through the Iowa game that if they strung together first downs, Iowa’s defense would wilt because they didn’t play enough second-stringers - and that’s kind of what happened (and that continues to be one of the new determining factors of defensive excellence. How much depth do you have, from snap to snap and how well can you substitute on the fly)?

Iowa wasn’t great at it last week. Michigan State is pretty good at it, and it should come in handy for this game for the Spartans. NU will see that Michigan State will substitute even if the offense doesn’t. It will be interesting to see if NU tries to quick-snap it while Michigan State is trying to execute a hockey-line type of change. No one has tried that vs Michigan State. NU has the capacity to do so.

* In NU’s ball-control spread tempo offense it seems like Thorson reads short-to-long, with the primary being a short route and if it’s open, he’s going to it now. If it’s not open, that’s when he gets into the habit of holding the ball too long, going to his second read without the decisiveness they would like to have out of him. We were

THE MICRO: OFFENSIVE PERSONNEL

QUARTERBACK

(Players of note in bold)

QB CLAYTON THORSON (6-4, 225, Jr., Wheaton, Ill.)

* Was a four-star recruit, No. 7 in Illinois, No. 6 dual-threat QB, No. 136 in the nation.

* He leads the league and ranking 18th in the nation in completions per game (22.6). NU’s ball-control passing attack and uptempo offense are big reasons for it.

* Thorson is also third in the conference and 49th in the country in total offense (241.1 ypg).

* For the year he is completing 60 pct of his passes with 8 TDS and 9 INTS.

* Last week: 21 of 36 for 192 with 0 TDs and 0 INTs vs Iowa. Rushed 13 times for 40 in gainers, for a net of 23.

* vs Maryland: 27 of 49 for 293 with 1 TD and 2 INTs. Rushed 9 times for 48 gross, net of 43.

* vs Wisconsin: 29 of 45 for 219, 3 TDs, 2 INTs.

* Worst game: 11 of 29 for 120 with 2 INTs with 4 sacks at Duke on Sept. 9.

Fitzgerald said NU’s WRs failed to win one-on-one battles in that game against base cover-one, man-to-man. Michigan State is capable of playing man-to-man. Will Michigan State stick with man-to-man more often this game than in the past two or three weeks? Michigan State played a ton of man-to-man in the first two games of the year, and has been more balanced during Big Ten play - but they have the capacity to go heavy in one direction or the other, man or zone, depending on what they see fit for a given opponent. This is a strength.

* For the season: 179 yards in ground gainers for Thorson, 179 yards in losses for net of 0 yards rushing on the year.

* Thorson can look spectacular at times, when the defense is bad. As was the case last year vs Michigan State and a couple of weeks ago against Maryland, the Big Ten’s worst statistical defense.

When defenses are elevated, Thorson doesn’t always elevate his game to go with it. Not yet anyway. This year’ s version of Michigan State will be his latest chance to show progress.

- When he throws downfield, sometimes he makes bad decisions, into crowds. He seems like a system QB to me. He looks good within it at times, and sometimes very good (like on those slot out routes vs safeties which killed Michigan State last year).

But if he has to read more than one receiver, he usually opts to check down to the safe flat receiver. If he decides to go downfield to a second read, he gets into trouble.

+ Strong arm when he sets down into it, like Hoyer used to be in that regard.

+ Impressive 10-yard strike to WR Lees from right hash to left sideline, on a line, on fourth-and-7 in the second quarter vs Maryland.

* Sometimes holds the ball too long. Coaches say he needed to get rid of the ball quicker in the first half of the season, and it’s still in need of improvement.

* Combine those last to asterisks together and you have to question his CONFIDENCE in throwing downfield right now (although he had no problem throwing the slot out vs Michigan State to Austin Carr last week).

* He is an opportunistic runner, not a great runner. Not as good a runner as Lewerke. More of a Tyler O’Connor caliber runner, but with more size.

* They will use him on the zone read, and he’ll keep it if you over-play Jackson. He’ll carry on the zone read six or seven times a game. Not a game-breaker with his feet but can move the chains.

+ Tuck and run on third and 15 last week vs man to man vs gain of 21 extended a drive that became NU’s first TD of the game, midway through the 3Q.

+ Tuck and run vs man-to-man vs Maryland for 18-yard TD romp.

- 3-11 ugly INT on intermediate out to the wide side of the field vs Maryland, overthrew WR by 10 feet AND stared it down, which allowed the safety to come over and cherry-pick.

(Back-ups in parentheses)

(QB MATT ALVITI, 6-0, 204, Sr., Park Ridge, Ill.)

* No. 2 QB. Was 3 of 4 for 49 yards with 1 TD in relief at Duke.

NORTHWESTERN RUN GAME VS MSU

• Michigan State ranks second in the Big Ten and eighth in the FBS in rushing defense (93.6 ypg). MSU has held four opponents under 100 yards rushing this season (Bowling Green had 67 in season opener on Sept. 2; Iowa had 19 on Sept. 30; Minnesota had 74 on Oct. 14; Indiana had 95 on Oct. 21), and No. 7 Michigan had a season-low 102 yards on Oct. 7.

• Michigan State has allowed just three rushes of 20-plus yards, tied for the third fewest in the FBS, and just 17 rushes of 10-plus yards, tied for fourth fewest.

* NU’s rushing attack is on an uptick. RB Justin Jackson was injured earlier in the year, but is now rolling. The NU o-line was a problem earlier in the year. It’s still an area of question, but it’s improving.

* My expectation: NU will have trouble running the ball on first and second down. NU will need to make hay through its keep-away, ball control passing attack, aided by tempo after a first down or two.

* NU’s run game can be dangerous on third-and-long. Michigan State likes to go with nickel defense on third down, that usually means playing man-to-man with lighter defense on the field. If Jackson is going to have a breakout carry or two, it could come on third down, like he did last year.

RB 21 JUSTIN JACKSON (5-11, 200, Sr., Carol Stream, Ill, Glenbard North)

* Was a four-star recruit, ranked No. 8 in Illinois and No. 156 in the country.

* Economics major with a French minor.

* No. 8 all-time in Big Ten rushing yards.

* For the season: 603 yards rushing, 86 yards per game, averaging 4.5 per carry.

* He also leads the Wildcats receiving with 26 catches for 167 yards (6.4 ypc/23.9 ypg).

* As a receiver, they don’t stretch him downfield much. It’s mostly short routes to the flat. But they do split him out as a wide out a lot - but they haven’t sent him deep much that I’ve seen.

* They use him on inside zone, zone read, outside zone, sweeps, speed option pitches. They will pull linemen once in awhile on sweeps. And they will put the center a little bit. But they aren’t real varied with traps, or power, or misdirection.

* He picks his way on outside zone read, vision, cuts hard on cutbacks. Can shake and bake as he approaches the line of scrimmage with patience.

* Deceptively strong, often makes first man miss or surges through the next.

* The way he shakes and bakes with his shoulders while he is eating up yards downfield and trying to elude defensive backs, he kind of reminds me of lighter Lorenzo White with the way he does that.

+ Picked up third-and-19 on an inside zone in 2Q vs Maryland with a gain of 23. Third and long, your nickel had better be ready to play the run.

* Lateral movement for nice jump cuts.

* Last week: 93 yards on 25 carries. Five catches, 38 yards, including a huge 23-yarder in overtime.

* Vs Maryland: 28 rushes, 171 yards, long of 25.

* Had only seven carries in loss at Duke for 18 yards, including an 8-yard TD run. “He came in a little banged up,” Fitzgerald said after the game.

* Only 9 carries (25 yards) against Wisconsin.

++ Turned in the play of the game last week, on third-and-9 in OT, leaked out to the flat on a little flare route. He was the primary receiver. He made MLB miss in space and broke three tackles in all, dipping and darting, stopping and starting, to the 1-yard line, setting up a TD and a 17-10 lead that would be the margin of victory.

For his career:

* In wins: he averages 26 carries, 134 yards

* In losses: 16 carries, 67 yards

Big Ten’s All-Time Leading Rushers:

1. Ron Dayne, Wisconsin, 7,125

2. Archie Griffin, Ohio State, 5,589

3. Anthony Thompson, Indiana, 5,299

4. Montee Ball, Wisconsin, 5,140

5. Mike Hart, Michigan, 5,040

6. Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin, 4,915

7. Lorenzo White, Michigan State, 4,887

8. Justin Jackson, Northwestern, 4732

9. Ameer Abdullah, Nebraska, 4,744

He needs 155 yards to surpass MSU’s Lorenzo White.

RB 28 JEREMY LARKIN (5-10, 194, R-Fr., Cincinnati La Salle)

* NU rode him in the red zone last week midway through the fourth quarter on an option pitch (gain of 7), inside zone (gain of 5) and option pitch (6-yard TD) on consecutive uptempo plays.

* Last week: 32 yards on 7 carries.

* Vs Maryland: 5 rushes, 21 yards.

WIDE RECEIVERS: FOUR VERSIONS OF THE SAME GUY

* Very balanced receiving attack.

* Five different players with at least 20 receptions (counting RB Jackson).

(By comparison, Michigan State has only two receivers with more than 12 catches - Felton Davis and Darrell Stewart. Hunter Rison and Cody White rank tied for third on the team with 11 catches each).

* They spread out their pass catchers. Last week four players with three catches or more, including RB Justin Jackson. The Wildcats had four receivers with at least three catches two weeks ago vs Maryland.

* They commonly have eight to 10 different players catching passes in a game.

* Four sacks vs Duke “guys (wide receivers) weren’t winning one-on-ones and Clayton had to hold it too long.”

* Lots of sit-down type of routes, especially vs zone. Possession routes. On third down, they almost always have a mesh choice (criss-cross shallow with the rub).

WR 88 BENNETT SKOWRONEK (6-4, 218, Soph., Fort Wayne Homestead)

* Was a 5.6 three-star recruit, ranked No. 15 in Indiana.

* Was a summer commitment over offers from Boston College, Indiana, Iowa, Purdue, NC State.

* Top among team WRs with 25 catches and 344 yards (49 yards receiving per game).

* Caught short hitch to the wide side of the field in 3Q last week for a gain of 5.

+ Gain of 18 on fake option pitch, drop back, looking deep, checked down to 88 in cover-two hole.

* Last week, 4 catches, 40 yards.

WR 15 MACAN WILSON (6-0, 185, Sr., Houston)

* Was a 5.5 three-star recruit, unranked in Texas by rivals.

* Summer commitment had offers from Cal, Tulsa, New Mexico.

* Didn’t do much for three years but has emerged as team leader in receptions and receiving yards.

* Quick route runner, gets up to speed quickly, speed through his cuts, sharp cuts.

- Dropped a 6-yard hitch on fourth-and-five at the Iowa 28-yard line with 5:30 left. (Wilson was flagged for offensive pass interference anyway).

* Team-high 5 catches last week for 47 yards.

* Team-high 74 yards receiving vs Maryland, on 5 catches with a long of 32.

WR 2 FLYNN NAGEL (5-11, 194, JR., Lemont, Ill.)

* 5.7 three-star recruit, No. 7 in Illinois.

* Signing day commitment, over Duke, Boston College, Illinois, Indiana. No other official visits.

* Is trying to fill the void left by Austin Carr’s graduation.

* Fitzgerald said prior to last week they want to get more out of him.

+ Gain of 9 on option route last week, cutting inside depending on the LB’s leverage.

+ Another 10-yard gain on short possession route, at slot LB, head and shoulder release to the inside.

+ Gain of 8 on crossing route mesh concept to convert fourth-and-two late in the third quarter last week.

+ Good hands up high on a 15 yard hook vs Maryland.

+ TD catch 14 yards on a mesh shallow crosser, right on target by Thorson for run after the catch yardage.

* 4 catches, 48 yards vs Maryland.

* Team-high 5 catches for 52 yards against Wisconsin.

WR 5 CHARLIE FESSLER (6-3, 210, Soph, Erie, Pa., Cathedral Prep)

* Was a 5.5 three-star, No. 26 in Pennsylvania.

* Summer commitment over MACs and Ivys.

+ 30-yard gain on a skinny post vs Maryland.

WR 19 RILEY LEES (6-0, 193, R-Fr., Libertyville, Ill.)

* Was targeted on fourth-and-7 in the 2H last week, well-covered, INC.

* three catches, 39 yards vs Maryland.

+ Shallow crosser on third-and-nine vs man-to-man for about 15 yards.

* None of these guys are spectacular, but it wouldn’t be a shock if one of them emerged as an Austin Carr type of go-to guy at some point in their career.

TIGHT ENDS: NOT GAME-BREAKERS

* Tight end blocking is average, and that’s a good thing for opponents because NU tries to run behind these tight ends a lot on outside zones.

TE * GARRETT DICKERSON (6-3, 248, Sr., Englewood, NJ)

* He plays the “super back” position, which is a glorified H back.

= INC went deep for him on deep skinny post on third and medium vs Maryland on opening drive.

* Went down with what appeared to be an arm or wrist injury last week. I haven’t heard any injury news on him.

* Not as quick afoot as past NU “super backs.”

(TE 84 CAMERON GREEN (6-3, 230, Soph., Buffalo Grove, Ill.)

* Team-high six catches vs Maryland for 49 yards. * Decent block and got away with a hold on the perimete ron 6 yard TD option pitch.

OFFENSIVE LINE: NOT SO GOOD

Fitzgerald on the o-line: “The rotation is not nailed down. There is a handful of those guys that are play-to-play, day-to-day. We’re not consistent enough. We’re improved from where we were a month ago but we need to be and should be a lot better and expect that we will be if we keep working.”

Ranked No. 78, No. 117 in sacks allowed in 2015 and 2016. This year, more of the same, ranking No. 115 in sacks allowed.

* Many sacks are coverage sacks, with Thorson holding it too long.

* The Wildcasts are kind of an enigma of a passing attack. They specialize in springing receivers open in the short areas, over and over and over. Yet they snap the ball so many times that they also run into coverage sacks and coverage pressures, due partly to sheer volume of reps and volume of chances for things to go wrong. Add the fact that Thorson WILL hold the ball too long, after a succession of short, quick-release passes, and it’s truly enigmatic.

So are they are a great route-running/possession pass attack, or a passing attack with shaky pass protection and a QB who holds the ball too long? Is it possible to be both? Apparently so, and NU is it.

But if you are a little bit shaky in your coverage, he will rip you better than most.

* Rotated a lot of o-linemen vs Duke, Fitzgerald said, because guys weren’t playing well and had to get pulled. O-line has played better in the weeks since then but it’s not a great unit.

* Allowed 8 sacks vs Wisconsin.

* Several of their guys have trouble vs a straight, stiff bull rush. Have to wonder about their strength program and/or recruiting evaluation or player development. Too much of one problem that across the board on this o-line.

So what does that mean for Michigan State? Demetrius Cooper is a decent edge rusher but isn’t bad with the bull rush. He might be able to get something out of the bull this week. Jacub Panasiuk is young at d-end, but he has mature power. He might make some hay against these offensive tackles.

I didn’t get a chance to see how well they communicate and filter out blitzes.

LT/RT 70 RASHAWN SLATER (6-3, 289, Fr., Sugar Land Texas)

* 5.6 three-star recruit, No. 36 OG in the country.

* Committed a week before signing day, no other official visits, over offers from Illinois, Kansas, Rice, Wyoming.

* Does not respond well to counter moves to the inside. Moves okay to the outside, can’t change back inside vs counters to the inside.

* Below average

* I’m not sure who is the LT and who is the RT. I saw them play both last week.

LG 59 JB BUTLER (6-3, 305, Jr., Plainfield, Ill/Joliet Catholic)

* No opinion.

* 5.4 two-star recruit.

* Former walk-on. Had offers from Western Illinois, Colgate, Maine, New Hampshire and the like.

C 69 BRAD NORTH (6-2, 290, Sr., Allen, Texas)

* 5.6 three-star recruit, No. 9 center in the country.

* Summer commitment over offers from Houston, San Diego State, Washington State, Wake Forest and Mountain West types.

* Athletic when he pulls, athletic to get down and cut. Travis Jackson type.

* Is unique with the way they use him as a pull blocker. He doesn’t pull and fold around down blocking guards and tackles, doesn’t pull wide to the perimeter. Usually pulls and folds over one guard and takes the b-gap. That’s kind of unique, but I wouldn’t think it’s a terribly difficult thing for LBs to filter to through a changing gap. But he’ll fill the b-cap and cut block the pursuing LBs.

- Called for holding, negating a third-and-long completion to Flynn in 2Q vs Maryland. Maryland DT dipped a shoulder, shot a gap and kept coming, and North eventually hauled him down.

71 RG TOMMY DOLES (6-4, 292, Jr., Grand Rapids Christian)

* 5.6 three-star recruit, ranked No. 19 in Michigan.

* Summer commitment over offers from Iowa State, Army, Air Force and apparently Michigan.

+ Pull front side, good cut block vs MLB on short side/strong side sweep for gain of 8 in 4Q last week.

- Mediocre in pass pro vs a stiff bull rush.

+ Looked good on a pull and fold around RT on an outside zone play vs Maryland but tight end 44 didn’t finish his block and Jackson gained only 1 yard.

RT/LT 72 BLAKE HANCE (6-5, 300, Jr., Jacksonville, Ill.)

- Does not withstand a good hard bull collision well. Staggers and stammers a bit.

NORTHWESTERN DEFENSE

* Held Iowa to 89 yards rushing last week and 2.7 per carry.

* Iowa’s Akrum Wadley had 90 yards on 26 carries (3.5 per).

* PSU’s Saquon Barkley rushed for 75 yards on 16 carries (gained 97, but lost 22 somehow).

* Held PSU to 95 yards rushing (5 sacks cost PSU 39 yards, otherwise PSU rushed for 134.

* Wisconsin’s superbad Jonathan Taylor had 80 yards on 19 attempts (4.2).

* Wisconsin netted 109 yards rush (2.9 per).

* NU has held four straight opponents to 110 yards rushing or fewer - including Wisconsin and Penn State. So why should we expect Michigan State to rush for more than 110? Well, I don’t have a good reason why we should.

* Barkley got loose for a 50-yard run, other than that, NU totally held him in check. But that was at a time when PSU’s o-line was having trouble against everybody. The defensive performance against Wisconsin is more impressive.

* NU really contained PSU’s offense until MLB Paddy Fisher was ejected for targeting.

Rushing yardage for recent opponents:

* Iowa 89 yards (2.7 per)

* Maryland 85 (2.7 per)

* Penn State 95 (2.5 per)

* Wisconsin 109 (2.9 per).

* PSU’s Trace McSorley was 25 of 34 for 245 with 1 TD.

* Wisconsin’s A Hornibrook was 11 of 20 for 197 with 1 TD and 2 INTs.

DEFENSIVE LINE

* Northwestern has often been underrated on the d-line under Fitzgerald. And they are again. This is a quality d-line, probably better than Iowa’s.

DE 97 SAM GAZIANO (6-4, 280, Soph., Scituate, Mass.)

* Was ranked No. 1 in Massachusetts, a 5.7 three-star.

* Two-time Boston Catholic League player of the year.

* No. 25 strongside DE in the nation by rivals.

* Was a spring commitment with offers from Boston College and Rutgers.

* 5 sacks on the year, ranks No. 3 in the Big Ten.

* Last year, he beat Miguel Machado for a safety in the Michigan State game.

* He is a plus player He’s a load. Good combination of pass rush and playing the run in this guy, and loves to take on and win collisions.

* Doesn’t look great to the eye test standing still or walking around, but he can bend and turn the corner. And at the point of attack, he can get low and win a collision.

* Decent in the box, taking on blocks with clever rip move.

* He solely plays boundary DE. So he’ll go against Chewins and Campell. He’s good and will have his moments but I don’t think Gaziano will dominate. He is capable of having loud games against a lot of teams, but Michigan State has a good chance to contain him. I wouldn’t be surprised if he has a sack, but I don’t think he will be an every-down terror against Chewins and Campbell.

+ Took on wham-blocking h-back on a split zone and bashed the hell out of the wham blocker, kept his feet, didn’t lose stride and transitioned to the QB, and ran the hoop to chase the escaping QB. That was an NFL play.

+ Two sacks last week, including one on first-and-10 on last play of 3Q, beating Iowa’s Alaric Jackson cleanly with a rip move.

* Had a sack vs PSU.

* Had 4.5 sacks last year as a reserve redshirt freshman.

* Was NU defensive player of the week after last year’s victory over Michigan State.

DE 91 SAM MILLER (6-3, 261, Fr., Houston, Texas)

* 5.6 three-star recruit, ranked No. 99 in Texas, No. 31 strongside DE.

* Committed one week before signing day over offers from Indiana, Colorado State, Texas Tech. No other official visits.

* Maryland ran outside zone to his side a few times, won his outside shoulder, got him hooked.

+ Quick hands, quick feet as a DT in the pass rush. Not sure about the next gears but quick in a phone booth.

+ Stunted inside for a sack on third-and-six vs Maryland in the second quarter.

DT 1 TYLER LANCASTER (6-4, 315, Sr., Romeoville, Ill./Plainfield East High)

* Was a 5.7 three-star recruit, ranked No. 16 in Illinois, No. 6 center.

* Summer commitment over MAC offers.

* Good player.

* Voted by teammates to wear the prestigious No. 1.

* Good athlete who broad jumps 9’7” at 315 pounds.

* Three-year starter.

* He’s a horse, and a big reason why NU is difficult to run against.

+ Good vs double-teams.

DT 99 JORDAN THOMPSON (6-3, 290, Jr., Cincinnati La Salle)

* Is a watered-down Raequan Williams. Even wears his number. Not bad. Not great.

* Was a 5.6 three-star recruit, ranked No. 30 in Ohio, No. 35 strongside DE.

* Spring commitment apparently also had offers from Duke, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisville, Michigan State, Notre Dame.

(DT 75 BEN OXLEY, 6-6, 286, Jr., Avon Lake, Ohio)

- Beaten on a critical play with 2:25 left last week, allowing Iowa into field goal range when he gave up a yard of movement vs a double team AND got carved out of his gap. Iowa RB Wadley ran through that vacant gap for a gain of 9 to the 26-yard line.

+ he was better on the very next play, getting a yard of penetration vs Iowa’s overrated All-Big Ten center. No gain. Iowa settled for game-tying field goal with 1:30 left.

LINEBACKERS: GOOD TRIO

“Those linebackers have fit well,” Fitzgerald said when asked about NU’s success on run defense. “When the d-line has maybe gotten reach or maybe gotten out of a gap, our linebackers have made them right. For the most part, we have tackled pretty well for the last month, but that’s going to continue to be a challenge, especially here against the Spartans.”

MLB 42 PADDY FISHER (6-4, 245, R-Fr., Katy, Texas)

* Was a 5.5 three-star recruit, unranked in Texas.

* Was a summer commitment over offers from Baylor, Boston College, Houston, Indiana, Maryland, Kansas, Washington, Wisconsin.

* His name sounds more like a 19th-century bare knuckles champion, but he can play this game.

* Quality player. Is going to be All-Big Ten some day. He’ll get votes this year.

++ Major, big time play on third-and-1 with 1:45 left last week, taking on LG, hit and shed and made tackle, for no gain, forcing game-tying field goal when Iowa was trying to drive for a game-winning TD.

10 BRETT WALSH (6-1, 220, Sr., Monrovia, Calif.)

* Was a 5.5 three-star recruit, unranked.

* Summer commitment over Fresno State, Nevada, UNLV.

+ Short strider who accelerates pretty quickly.

* Stubby hustler. Good pursue, scrape and TFL on Wadley outside zone last week for TFL in the 3q.

32 Sam LB NATE HALL (6-2, 230, Jr., Toledo Southview)

* 5.4 two-star recruit, unranked.

* Summer commitment over offers from Pitt and MAC schools.

* Leads NU and ranks tied for third in the B1G for both tackles for loss (8.5)

+ Plus player. Accelerates well.

* Smart in reading your primary receivers when dropping into LB zone coverage, then accelerates to clean things up.

+ Broke up an angle route to the RB on fourth down last week on Iowa’s opening drive, read the route like he knew what the RB was going to do.

* Plays on line of scrimmage over the TE when they go with their under front. Plays in the slot against 3WR sets.

* Hurt his wrist last week in the third quarter.

* Team’s second-leading tackler.

* Five third-down tackles and a fourth-down tackle last week.

* Had a sack vs PSU.

(51 Blake Gallagher, 6-1, 221, Fr., Raynham, Mass.)

* Going to be a standout. Quick, physical. Smaller Jon Reschke type.)

DEFENSIVE BACKS: TAKE THE LID OFF?

* All four of their starters on defense were tested deep in the last two games. I’m not sure any of them looked great at it.

* Allowed Iowa to complete 19 of 33 for 223 last week with 1 TD and 1 INT.

* Allowed Maryland to go 17 of 38 for 255 (3 TDs, 0 INTs) with a third-string QB.

* Penn State’s Trace McSorley completed 73 pct of his passes (25 of 34) for 245 yards.

* They show press man on third down. OCCASIONALLY they drop into zone after showing press man on third down. Did that vs Iowa on a third-and-six in the third quarter last week and Iowa botched it up, dropped a pass, punted.

* Allowed 50-plus yard TD to Maryland’s outstanding WR D.J. Moore on a tunnel screen. NU missed some tackles on the play, but Moore is special.

* Vs Iowa, on third-and-9 with 4:47 left, leading 10-7, NU’s zone coverage allowed a 12-yard sit-down route to the TE. That was the first-play of a game-tying drive in the final minutes. Big play in eventually leading to a field goal, a tie game and overtime.

* In overtime vs Iowa, coverage allowed an open TE on fourth down, but he dropped it.

24 CB MONTRE HARTAGE (6-0, 195, Jr., Cordele Ga.)

* Was a 5.4 two-star recruit, unranked.

* Committed on signing day. Also visited Middle Tennessee State. Also had an offer from Army.

* Suspect in pass defense. Iowa attacked him on third-and-14 with a simple release move and go route. The release move left 24 flat-footed. QB missed the WR, open by a yard.

* Heavy hitter for a CB. Plays CB like a linebacker. That’s good and bad.

* Good in run defense, extending long, strong arms to control WR blocking when playing the run.

+ Stayed home nicely to mess up a reverse, and finished with a physical sweep tackle.

+ Physical jam on WR, caused WR to saw off his route, WR threw to the cover-two hole and WR wasn’t there. Resulted in 4 intercepting the pass like it was a punt.

* Physical sweep tackle sent standout Maryland WR DJ Moore to the bench limping.

CB 12 ALONZO MAYO (5-11, 188, Soph., Baltimore)

* a 5.4 two-star recruit, unranked in Maryland.

* October commitment, no other official visits, over Ivys.

- Iowa attacked him in press coverage on the first third-down of the game for about 27 yards on a deep fade. [Yes, Iowa attempted to go deep a couple of times.]

* Suspect vs deep shots.

DB 16 GODWIN IGWEBUIKE (6-0, 212, Sr., Pickerington, Ohio)

* Was a 5.7 three-star recruit, No. 28 in Ohio, No. 39 athlete.

* August commitment over offers from Duke, Boston College, Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota, Nebraska, Pitt, Wisconsin.

* This guy has a good reputation but I’ll see him do something smart and quick one play, then slow the next. Inconsistent in my book.

- Looked like he had sub-standard speed to me. Looked slow in pursuing outside zone from the back side last week. But he has a good reputation.

+ Then he looked smart, quick acceleration to cover the short area in zone, knowing where you like to go with the ball.

* Was late to react to the TE on an Iowa TD pass last week, from about 7 yards out. Iowa sprang three receivers quickly on sit-down routes, two TEs and a fullback. At pre-snap, they didn’t look like they had three receivers to that side, but they sprang ‘em on you and they fooled NU three times with it (including the dropped pass in OT).

S 21 KYLE QUEIRO (6-3, 220, Sr., Verona, NJ)

* Was a 5.7 three-star recruit, ranked No. 17 in New Jersey.

* Summer commitment, no other visits.

* Also had offers from Colorado, Duke, Illinois, North Carolina, Illinois, NC State.

* Good run-sniffing safety.

= Maryland tested him deep with a play action deep seam. Ball was late and inaccurate but 21 did a pretty good job of getting up and batting it down. Beefy safety.

* Biggest safety in the Big Ten? Might be.

* In nickel, he presses the inside WR if you go trips. And he will hold. Will the officials call it? At his size, it’s hard to get off of him if he grabs you.

DB 7 MARCUS McSHEPARD (5-11, 200, Sr., University Heights, Ohio/Cleveland Heights)

* 5.6 three-star recruit, ranked No. 49 in Ohio.

* December commitment over offers from Illinois, MAC schools and an apparent offer from Penn State.

8 Beaten deep in first quarter vs Maryland but QB underthrew him.

* Carries too much weight to be a DB.

SPECIAL TEAMS

* The kicker is 7 of 8 this year including two from 40-plus yards, including a 48-yarder.

NU elected to go for it on fourth-and-7 last week in a tie game late in the 3Q rather than attempt a 49-yard field goal in windy conditions.

* The punter is fourth in the Big Ten at 43.5 per attempt.

ADD IT ALL UP

* NU’s pass defense can be smart and tricky in the short area but I’m not sure they are great on intermediate routes, or deep seams or deep go routes. Michigan State hasn’t made a living on deep shots this year, or past years, but this might be the game that two or three of that ilk make the difference - and it might NEED to be the area of difference.

Michigan State went with play-action passes on the first play of drives on six of its last seven possessions last week. I think Michigan State might need to get into that business more often and more aggressively in this game because if Michigan State continues to try to establish the run in this game, they could get into trouble because NU has more ability to score than Iowa, Michigan or Indiana - three foes the Spartans have beaten with a rope-a-dope approach in recent weeks.

In the trenches, this game is pretty even. At QB, give the edge to Northwestern with more proven ability there, but Thorson has also been more mistake-prone than Lewerke and more prone to the sack. Lewerke has the capacity to elevate his game and match or exceed Thorson in this game. Lewerke will be passing against a weaker pass defense than the one Thorson will see.

Run game: If either team has success on the ground, that’s the team most likely to win. It will be tough sledding for either team.

In the end, it’s similar to the Michigan State vs Iowa forecast, with Michigan State having more talent at WR. But the edge isn’t as pronounced as it was in the Iowa game. NU has some solid wide receivers too, but they aren’t the explosive type. NU’s ball control passing attack, with suspect pass protection, against the Michigan State defense SHOULD curtail NU’s usual offensive output.

In the end, you have to like Dantonio’s win rate as a ranked team vs an unranked opponent. There is relevance to that stat and relevance to Michigan State’s ability to handle its business in games such as this under Dantonio.

But if NU wins this game, NU has a chance to finish the season with a seven-game win streak. And if NU wins this game, NU might be more likely than Michigan State to finish the season in the Top 25.

So Michigan State is the ranked team and NU is the unranked opponent THIS WEEK. Those descriptions could flip-flop by Thanksgiving.

But for now, for this week, Dantonio has a good record of handling this type of task. Now Lewerke needs to show he can do what Cousins and Cook used to do. And the pass defense needs to prove it’s all that against this ball control pass attack.
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Monday Morning Football: Dantonio Talks Defense

Monday Morning Football: Dantonio talks defense
Jim Comparoni | Publisher

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EAST LANSING - Some attention will turn this week to Michigan State’s surprising problems on offense against Indiana during Saturday’s 17-9 Spartan victory.

But head coach Mark Dantonio began Sunday night’s weekly teleconference with a salute to the Michigan State defense.

Aside from the leaky fourth quarter against desperation-mode Minnesota, the Spartans have allowed only two touchdowns over the last 16 quarters.

No. 18-ranked Michigan State heads into Saturday’s game at Northwestern ranked No. 4 in the nation in total defense (Alabama is No. 1) and No. 14 in the country in scoring defense (Penn State is No. 1).

Michigan State is 6-1 overall and 4-0 in the Big Ten. Northwestern is 4-3 and 2-2.

Northwestern is on a two-game win streak, having beaten Maryland (37-21) and Iowa (17-10 in OT) in the past two games.

In complimenting the Spartans’ ability to hold Indiana to 253 yards of total offense, Dantonio began with the defensive interior - an area that has been strong all season.

“We got great play from Mike Panasiuk inside and Raequan Williams,” Dantonio said. “I thought they played outstanding, really built a wall basically that we always talk about when you play against the run - stop the run.”

Williams defeated Indiana’s left guard and pressured Indiana quarterback Peyton Ramsey on the the Hoosiers’ final play, batted the ball and forced an incompletion on fourth-and-nine.

“But really, collectively as a defense, I thought our defense played outstanding,” Dantonio said. “Joe Bachie had another big game. I thought our corners played extremely well as did our entire secondary.

“You really can’t point to a person and say, ‘He did not play well.’ Which is the reason we didn’t give up a touchdown and allowed field goals.

“(We got) a little soft there on two consecutive drives, a little bit where one play sort of led to another play on the third down. Got a little bit tired on that, I guess it was the end of the third quarter drive that continued on into the fourth quarter. But I thought we got the game back with the three-and-out series in the fourth quarter and got the ball back to the offense and went down and scored.”

Williams had burst for the final snap of the, in part, due to Michigan State’s commitment to utilizing second-stringers on defense, especially on the defensive line. Second-string defensive tackles Gerald Owens and Naquan Jones played their usual allotment of snaps and didn’t cause Michigan State to suffer much of a dropoff while Panasiuk and Williams rested.

At defensive end, second-string true freshman Jacub Panasiuk saw the most playing time of his young career, and had one of the more productive games of the season by a Spartan defensive lineman.

The younger Panasiuk was in on five tackles, and had his first career sack.

Jacub Panasiuk also provides a measure of versatility to the d-line. When he checks in at boundary defensive end, that allows starting boundary DE Demetrius Cooper to rep a few snaps at field defensive end, where Cooper gets a chance to operate in space a bit more.

“He (Jacub Panasiuk) had about 22 or so (snaps),” Dantonio said. “He got his first sack so that was exciting for him to have.”

Panasiuk is another one of these classic underrated three-star Midwestern recruit that Dantonio has a penchant for turning into college stars. The younger Panasiuk appears well on his way to an impact career.

Panasiuk went down with a lower body injury in the Indiana game, but Mike Panasiuk told media after the game that Jacub was fine. Dantonio didn’t mention the injury on Suday.

“He’s another guy that is going to be an outstanding player,” Dantonio said. “He’s a true freshman; he goes about 272 pounds. Good player, and he’s active. We roll our guys in there, and we have to because of the nature of offenses today. So we roll our guys in, and they’ve done an outstanding job.”

Kenny Willekes and Cooper join Mike Panasiuk and Williams in logging the majority of reps on the d-line. But Dillon Alexander joins Jacub Panasiuk, Owens and Jones on the second unit.

Designated pass rusher Brandon Randle plays in the nickel defense, which morphed into a dime package against the Hoosiers with the Spartans using a sixth DB (Josh Butler) in place of linebacker Andrew Dowell in passing situations.

Randle was completely fresh in pressuring the edge in the late going as Indiana failed to mount a threat in the final minutes. Randle had one QB pressure.

Elsewhere in the front seven, Tyriq Thompson spelled Chris Frey for a few snaps on the day, and true freshman Antjuan Simmons relieved Dowell for a bit.

Dantonio was satisfied with the support provided by second-stringers, and also the conditioning level of his starters.

“We work extremely hard to do the things we do, whether it’s the weight room under Ken Mannie or on the field,” Dantonio said. “We really have to, first of all, be in great shape. But on average, we probably work about 130 plays a practice as ‘team’ (11-man unit) plays, getting ready for these types of games. You got to work your 1s and 2s. Our front is working those plays. So they’re going to get ready for that kind of tempo, and that helps immensely.

“I thought our coaches did an outstanding job. I think Ron Burton and Mark Snyderhave those guys playing at a very high level in terms of execution right now. You play against a lot of different types of offenses as we go through this season. So we’ve seen it all. But thus far they’re playing extremely well.

“They’re big, firm guys that have power and they’re young. Mike played last year as a true freshman, Raequan as a redshirt freshman. So they have game experience, but they’re still young. I think the best is yet to come with these guys. I still think that as a football team we’ve not peaked on all cylinders. I’m waiting for that to happen.”



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Raequan Williams had enough in his gas tank to play big, late in the game, Saturday.

Other than Notre Dame, Michigan State hasn’t yet faced a dangerous, balanced offense. The Spartans have gotten a good handle on a reliable rotation, with firm d-linemen, steady linebackers and same-page communication in the defensive backfield. That organization and accountability will be in place when the athletic tests become more difficult in the weeks ahead, against Penn State and Ohio State. But Dantonio said on Sunday the Spartans will save November challenges for November.

OCTOBER PHASE NEARS END

“I’ve talked to you guys about being in phases here,” Dantonio said, when asked about becoming a factor in the Big Ten race. “We’ve got one more game here against Northwestern to sort of complete October. We knew that this stretch of five games that we had, two at home and three away, was going to be tough. So we’re just going to focus on the task at hand right now, and then we’ll worry about what happens in November when November comes.

“We have a young football team. I was told today we have 64 players on our football team who’ve never been to a bowl game.”

Michigan State has missed out on a bowl bid in only one of Dantonio’s 10 seasons with the Spartans - last year.

“So that tells you how young our football team is,” Dantonio said. “That’s exciting for us to be bowl eligible at 6-1. We’re 4-0 in the conference. All those things are very exciting. But I think the other message of last night’s football game is that we’re inches away. We’re inches away from not being 6-1, and we have to take care of the small things. Big things will follow.”

A BIG LIBRARY

Michigan State sought to pound the run against Indiana on Saturday, and had limited success. From there, the plans of complementing things with a balanced passing attack fell flat for much of the day - until Michigan State exploded for two touchdowns in its final two drives.

Dantonio steered away from any thoughts that offensive creativity is lacking.

“The system works,” Dantonio said. “We got RPOs in there, we got a lot of different things that we do, we got no-huddle, we got these different things, getting the ball to the perimeter, inside zone things, power game, different types of concepts – about every running concept that you can use is used here. And then we lean on certain ones relative to what’s being successful. From that standpoint, we are difficult to prepare for, I think. Because when you take all the different formations and the run concepts out of that, the same can be said for passes, you start to build up a big library there.

“But there is no question we need to score more points. When you look around the Big Ten conference, really, there’s teams playing good defense. We’re certainly of that vintage at this point in time. But it’s a game-to-game process, it always will be. So we’ll get ready to play against Northwestern and go from there.”

Dantonio’s macro thoughts on MSU’s offensive performance against Indiana:

“On the offensive side of the ball, (we) really sort of came alive there at the end of the game and had huge plays,” Dantonio said. “Obviously, Cody White has a big, big catch at the end of the game on third-and-19 to get us 16 of that and then has another big catch on third-and-9 the second series and then Hunter Rison. Those are very big plays. So, big plays from Felton (Davis) as well.”

PLAYING TO WIN: THE PROCESS

Dantonio changed his usual approach to late-game play calling when he opted to go to the air on third-and-eight, and third-and-nine on MSU’s final offensive drive. Michigan State was up 10-9 at the time, enjoying a strong day from its defense, with less than four minutes to play. But the Spartans elected to get aggressive and throw for first downs rather than playing to their defense.

Dantonio outlined the conversational structure that he has with co-offensive coordinator Dave Warner and his co-defensive coordinators through the course of a game.

“I always know what plays are going in,” Dantonio said. “I do not micromanage our offense or our defense. I think that our coordinators do an outstanding job, and they have to make decisions probably within 10 seconds. And for me to sit there and interrupt them in their communication with our coaches and then our players would just be disruptive. So what I will do is ask things between series and during timeouts, and obviously during certain situations.

“If he (Warner) wants input, he’s going to ask me. For example, throwing the ball on the third downs at the end of the game, if he wants input, and asks ‘What do you want to do here?’ Then I’m going to tell him.

“But there’s very, very few times that I’m going to interrupt and say, ‘No, don’t do this,’ and disrupt someone, because I think that has long-term problems. That’s not a short-term problem, that is a long-term problem, beginning to question someone’s decisions on the field. We can critique that after the fact and I can have discussions after the fact, which we do, and they are healthy discussions. I think to do that during a play is very difficult.”



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Warner did ask for input from Dantonio for the third-and-long situations late in the game with the Spartans protecting a 1-point lead.

“Well, Coach Warner asked me what I wanted to do, did I want to run it or pass it?” Dantonio said. “And I said, ‘Let’s go. I got faith in our football team.’

“We need to play the game to win and attack the football game. I didn’t feel we could just go in the bag and punt it down there with four minutes to go or whatever it was. And so we went ahead with it. And then the second one, the same thing. I felt like, ‘Let’s try and win the football game.’

“And even though we were playing very well defensively, they had driven down the field. And if you get in a rhythm when they’re going fast like that, they’re only one play away. I thought as long as we didn’t make a crucial mistake, we could survive the clock stopping for a play (if Michigan State had an incompleted pass). Let’s try and make one.”

QB Brian Lewerke had been inconsistent, with bouts of inaccuracy earlier in the game. But Dantonio gave Lewerke the ball and trusted him.

“We always do with our quarterbacks,” Dantonio said of the trust element. “We have a belief system in our players, and our guys can make plays. And I’ve said it all along, in crunch time he might be at his best due to just his sort of demeanor.”

Lewerke completed his last five pass attempts - four of which went for first downs - including a 10-yard TD pass to Davis.

“He’s gaining experience and knowledge as we go,” Dantonio said. “There’s no question he made some decisions on the field that probably he would like to have back, but that probably could be said for almost everybody out there, including coaches.”

BEEDLE BACK

Former starter David Beedle returned to the field at right guard against Indiana, after sitting out three games with an undisclosed injury.

Beedle split time with current starter, Kevin Jarvis. Beedle and Jarvis rotated from series to series, throughout the second half.

Dantonio didn’t talk at length about Beedle’s performance and situation, but said: “Dave, I thought, played pretty well in there for his first day back. He looked healthy, and that’s a good thing.”


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Hunter Rison lunges for the line of gain during a key fourth-down conversion on Saturday night, helping fuel Michigan State's go-ahead TD drive.

Pre-Snap Read: MSU vs Indiana

Pre-Snap Read: MSU vs Indiana

By Jim Comparoni
SpartanMag.com Publisher


EAST LANSING - Indiana is better than Minnesota.

A week ago, I said if Michigan State played its C-game and Minnesota played its B-plus game, the Spartans would still be 7 points better than the Gophers (that was based on the Conor Rhoda version of Minnesota).

Well, that script held up for about 52 minutes, then Rhoda’s replacement found a groove and the Pre-Snap Read forecast became a crop shoot, with QB Croft being a pure variable.

Prior to the Notre Dame, we wrote that QB Wimbush had been struggling. We said the Michigan State-ND game was an arms race of sorts, meaning a race to find out when Wimbush would turn the corner and gain traction as a viable starting QB. There were too many credible sources in South Bend who were saying that Wimbush had played just fine in practice and it was a matter of time until he figured out gameday. Well, the arms race ended in East Lansing as Wimbush took a major step that night. He and ND took it to another level, and Michigan State helped the cause by feeding the Irish 21 points off of turnovers.

Indiana represents another arms race of sorts, in two areas:

1. Their new QB, redshirt freshman Peyton Ramsey, is pretty good. He has some pretty good moments. He doesn’t have the strongest arm in the world. He is a pretty good runner, and effective runner, not quite the athlete that Brian Lewerke is, but he can move the chains with his feet and buy some time with his feet.

He’s not bad. Probably similar to Lewerke of last year.

But he also represents an arms race similar to that of Wimbush. He’s going to be a quality QB at some point in his career, probably a plus QB. The question is when will he make that leap?

He will be making his third start of the season on Saturday. If he remains the same QB who played against Michigan and Penn State, then the Spartans don’t have too much to worry about. He’s solid, but he’s not going to destroy you.

But this is college football, and each week is like a new season, and sometimes young players make astronomical improvements in a short period of time. I’m not saying he is Trace McSorley or CJ Beathard, but if Ramsey makes a McSorley or Beathard type of overnight leap in improvement, well, you have to hope it doesn’t happen on your watch. But it’s possible. He’s not bad. His receivers are good. His pass protection is good. His running game has been decent but not explosive.

Michigan State’s defense is good, solid, pretty heady, with good speed at most positions. But the defense Ramsey and the Hoosiers played against this week will be easier to navigate than the Michigan defense they played against last week.

Indiana’s offense has been on the field against Ohio State, Michigan and Penn State. As good as MSU’s defense has played, Indiana will see nothing that would make them flinch.

But here’s the other side of that coin: MSU’s offense is more capable of putting points on the board than Michigan’s. Way more. And MSU’s o-line is better than Penn State’s. Way better. If Brian Lewerke can continue to gain ground on the Trace McSorleys of the world, then Michigan State’s offense will be better than Penn State’s in the coming weeks. Yeah, I said that.

2. Indiana’s ground defense represents the second arms race. By arms race, I mean it’s an area of construction. They are trying to improve. Will they get it up to a winnable level in time to play your team? Their ground defense is part of an arms race.

Their ground defense isn’t bad, from an individual standpoint. But from a collective standpoint, they had way too many plays last week in which their gap integrity, their run fits, were off. Michigan gashed them for 270-plus yards rushing.

Some of Indiana’s ground game problems are correctable, in terms of run fits. New head coach Tom Allen, a defensive guy, spoke at length about that stuff earlier in the week. He’s on it. Did he have “too much” defense in, to the point of leaving his guys a half-step slow to their gaps on a few too many occasions?

Allen made the point that when a defense does as many things as Indiana does (and they are multiple. Not crazy multiple, but they do move a lot up front), it makes it that much harder to play the run fit game of Tetris (my analogy, not his) when trying to get a set of slants and stunts to fit when Michigan is running a quick-breaking counter at you. The gaps change rapids. The Tetris blocks start whirling and falling quicker. And it becomes harder to stay in your gap and get all the gaps fit than if you reduce the volume and stay simple on offense.

To their credit, they generate TFLs with their slants, stunts, movements and well-disguised blitzes.

But will then reduce their volume in order to try to keep things more simple against an Michigan State run game that will run another steady diet of counters, powers, traps and sweeps at them - plus a new weekly run game wrinkle that has yet to be revealed?

It’s an arms race. If they try to improve what they did last week, they will probably blow up more rocket ships than they put in orbit and give up 200-plus on the ground again. Indiana has been working all week to improve its run fit problem. There’s a solid chance they will improve. But can they improve THAT MUCH in seven days? Good question. And the answer to that question will go a long, long way to determining how much ease, or trouble, Michigan State has in trying to win this game.

Or will Indiana reduce the volume, and play things simpler?

Probably a combination of both. One way or another, they aren’t likely to have the run fit problems they had last week. They will have SOME problems, because mode of operation is too hard to change in one week at this point in the season. Run fits are a quality control matter, and Tom Allen should have had it identified and snuffed out in the spring and August camp. But the problem made its way to the field last week and it was the main reason Indiana lost, because Indiana was Michigan’s equal in all other areas.

How much improvement will Indiana make in ground defense? Meanwhile, will MSU’s new success in the tailback run game from a week ago continue to surge forward? Mark Dantonio announced on Friday that LJ Scott will play on Saturday, despite Wednesday’s arrest for a traffic violation (driving with a suspended license). That helps MSU’s chances of winning, as long as he doesn’t fumble.

It’s a week-to-week thing in college football. Which team CONTINUES to improve in week seven? It’s a simple question, but that’s what determines whether Michigan State falls back to the back as a failed pretender or takes another step forward as a possible contender. Indiana will provide a test.

MSU’s improving ground game vs Indiana’s under-construction ground defense. I call it an arms race in name only. It’s actually a ground race.

FINAL ANALYSIS FIRST

If Michigan State and Indiana each play their B-game, Michigan State should be 10 points better than Indiana. If Michigan State plays with the ball-security smarts the Spartans had against Iowa and Michigan, then the Spartans should be fine. But chances of a spectacular beatdown are low.

I would be very impressed if Michigan State handles its business in all facets of the game and wins by 17 or more. If they do that, then this team will have taken a definite step toward becoming a real threat against Penn State and maybe Ohio State.

Penn State had some great moments in the first half of the season, but some weaknesses have popped up. PSU’s o-line gets a bad rap, and for good reason. PSU’s o-line is shoddy, especially on the right side. Indiana’s pass rush ransacked PSU’s backfield all day. Saquon Barkley is not going to be able to put up Heisman numbers on the ground in the second half of the season behind that o-line, and Penn State is going to have a terrible time on offense against the Wolverines. (Michigan is going to have a tough time against PSU’s defense too. Michigan will have a better chance to get its ground game going than Barkley will against the Wolverines, but PSU will have an edge at QB, WR and pass game construct).

Penn State beat Indiana comfortably on the scoreboard. But at the line of scrimmage, and in the defensive backfields, Indiana played PSU almost straight-up, closely. PSU benefitted from two TDs on special teams and a short-field TD drive early in the game. After a 21-0 lead in the opening minutes, Indiana was surprisingly even with PSU at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. Did PSU’s level of intensity dip due to the big lead? Probably. But line of scrimmage work is line of scrimmage work and there aren’t many linemen who are willing to take plays off and quit in the second quarter. Indiana won as many plays as they lost at the line of scrimmage in the last three quarters of that game. I came away almost as impressed with Indiana against PSU as you might have been with Indiana after last week’s game against Michigan. Indiana can hang with the best in the Big Ten East, and we don’t know for sure whether Michigan State is in that category, yet.

THE MACRO ON INDIANA:

* New head coach in Tom Allen. He was d-coordinator for Indiana last year, after serving as d-coordinator for one year at South Florida. Prior to that, he was linebackers coach at Ole Miss from 2012-14. He’s an Indianapolis native. Seems like a stern disciplinarian. I like his style, but he’s going to need a new offensive coordinator at some point in order for Indiana to get over the hump as a program.

He was elevated to the head coaching job last December after Kevin Wilson was fired for being rude or something like that.

Individually, Indiana is:

* Decent, and growing at QB, with Peyton Ramsey winning the starting job, and rightfully so, over inaccurate Richard Lagow.

* Decent and growing at RB, with true freshman Morgan Ellison.

* Indiana’s o-line is one of the most underrated units in the Big Ten. They aren’t dominant, but they are stable and functional. They are good in pass protection. Michigan managed to get pretty good heat on the QB as the game progressed, with blitzes. But Michigan COULD NOT get consistent pressure on the QB with a standard four-man rush.

* Indiana has quality WRs. Simmie Cobbs looks like an NFL player to me. No. 25, Luke Timian, is a classic possession route guy, who can make crafty plays over the middle to move the chains. Tight end Ian Thomas was not used enough against Michigan, but he is one of the most underrated players in the Big Ten. He’s in his second year at Indiana as a juco transfer. He’s good, at 6-5, with hands, and RAC ability (run after the catch).

* New Indiana o-coordinator Mike DeBord has tried to reinvent himself as an uptempo guy, after two years with Butch Jones at Tennessee. He left Tennessee to take the same job at Indiana, which means he was probably let go in Knoxville.

DeBord was o-coordinator at Michigan from 1997-99, which includes their National Championship season, and the season in which no one in Ann Arbor could identify that Tom Brady was better than Drew Henson. DeBord has been milquetoast since then, including a miserable stint as head coach at Central Michigan, a second tour or duty at Michigan, during which he was o-coordinator for the App State game, then five years as an NFL assistant coach, then he resurfaced at Tennessee.

Indiana still runs an uptempo offense, but it’s not as dynamic and problematic with run-pass conflicts as it was under Kevin Wilson. They still manage to snap the ball at :11 seconds from time to time, but it’s not quite the same outfit.

* On defense, their DTs - Hoff and Robinson - are comparable to Panasiuk and Raequan Williams. They’re pretty good.

Their d-ends are suspect against the run, but pass rush is occasionally decent.

LBs are average with their run-game collisions, below average in run fit consistency (or gap integrity), but a couple of their guys pursue the ball well as athletes.

Their CBs are good, with Fant being an NFL guy. One of their safeties is inconsistent and I don’t have an opinion on the other guy.

They play a lot of second-stringers on defense, and some third-stringers. They have quite a dropoff when playing reserves. The probably play some of those reserves too much, but that’s the luxury a first-year coach has, when trying to develop for the future.

But overall, their defense is better than it was in the Kevin Wilson days. They start eight seniors on defense, with a good one at every level (Hoff at DT, Scales at MLB and Font at CB). This was probably the defense Wilson was working toward before he was fired last year.

* On special teams, their place kicker is one of the best in the Big Ten, leads the conference in FG pct. Their punt return game is outstanding, with their return man having taken two back for TDs this year, and a long one of 50-plus yards serving as a game-changer in the final minutes last week against Michigan.

* In all, Indiana isn’t as physical up front as Iowa, but their QB and WR situation is better than Iowa’s was. We know more about Michigan State now than we did prior to the Michigan State-Iowa game. But we also know more about Indiana. And what we know is that this game has a good chance to be as challenging as the Iowa game was. Michigan State needed to stay clean in the turnover department to win that game. Michigan State might be able to get away with a -1 in this game, but it would be wise not to tempt that formula.

As for turnover margin, Indiana is the worst in the Big Ten. They have produced precious few turnovers this year.

* So this is a game. I call it The Border Skirmish. I’m the only one who calls it that, for now. You can join in with that monicker if you wish. It’s not quite a border war, but it’s an annual scuffle of intrigue, with The Old Brass Spittoon on the line. It’s a game. And why wouldn’t it be? Indiana took Michigan to overtime last week. Indiana benefitted from painfully conservative approach by Michigan to have a chance to rally late. Indiana used a long punt return in the final minutes to cause UM’s strategy to blow up in its face.

Functional QB, good WR, good pass protection, credible running back, good d-tackles, solid secondary, questions in run fits, question in run game collisions, questions in run defense at d-end, quality kicker, quality punt returner. Indiana isn’t perfect, but they have more than enough to give you problems, especially if you help them.

HOT TAKES AND SAUSAGE

* Indiana throws the ball much better than Minnesota did, coming into the game, with Rhoda. But Minnesota ran the ball much better, in previous games, than Indiana does.

Indiana has had some moments with freshman Ellison. But down-in and down-out, Indiana has not been a quality ground attack, overall.

* Both Indiana and Minnesota are good in pass pro. Minnesota is better, statistically, in pass pro than Indiana. But I like Indiana’s o-tackles in pass pro better.

* The Hoosiers rank dead last in the Big Ten in yards per carry. Second to last in yards per play on offense.

* Indiana is dead last in the Big Ten in turnover margin at -9. That might mean the percentages say they are due for a lift. Or it might mean they’ll continue to have a problem with it every week. Michigan State is No. 8 in the Big Ten in turnover margin at +0 (thanks to eight ugly fumbles).

* Indiana’s defense, surprisingly, is not bad. It’s pretty good, statistically and to the eye. That’s a big change from the Kevin Wilson days. (But their offense has taken a backward step).

* On pass defense, IU has allowed fewer than 100 yards through the air in consecutive weeks for the first time since 1989. The cover well at CB, they have a pretty decent pass rush, they bring some decent linebacker blitzes. They aren’t bad on pass defense, although No. 30 at safety is questionable.

* Their punt returner, J-Shun Harris, has returned two for TDs this year. He is the best in the Big Ten.

* Their primary WR, Simmie Cobbs, is a big, 6-foot-4, long-armed, strong guy. QB Ramsey didn’t target him enough last week against Michigan. But he had terrific moments against Ohio State and Virginia (and a couple against Penn State).

* Last year, Indiana finished 6-7 after losing to Utah in the Foster Farms Bowl, 26-24,with Tom Allen taking over for Kevin Wilson.

* It’s been written that IU football is now in its best place in 25 years.

* Indiana is looking for its third straight bowl bid.

THIS YEAR’S RESULTS

Indiana is 3-3, 0-3 in the Big Ten

Ohio State 49, Indiana 21

Indiana 34, Virginia 17*

vs Florida International (canceled due to hurricane. Indiana picked up Charleston Southern as an opponent for its open date on Oct. 7)

Indiana 52, Georgia Southern 17

Penn State 45, Indiana 14

Indiana 27, Charleston Southern 0

Michigan 27, Indiana 20 (OT)

* That’s one of the best non-conference wins of the year for the Big Ten. Virginia is 5-1 with wins over Duke, UNC, Boise State and UConn.

INDIANA OFFENSE

* They don’t stretch our slot LB with run-pass conflicts (and thereby stretch the interior B gap) the way they did when Kevin Wilson had Tevin Coleman or Jordan Howard at RB.

* “Indiana is a tempo team. They’re not terribly complex: slant, fade, in-cut,” said ABC analyst Brock Huard.

* Ranks No. 6 in the Big Ten in total offense (Michigan State is No. 5) and No. 6 in scoring offense, but those numbers get skewed by extra possessions created by tempo. More telling, Indiana ranks No. 13 in the Big Ten in yards per play, ahead of only Rutgers (Michigan State is No. 6 in the Big Ten in yards per play, not bad considering that one third of MSU’s games have been played in rain).

* IU ranks No. 5 in passing offense at 249 yards per game but No. 13 in the more important yards-per-pass-attempt category at 6.3. (Michigan State is tied for 11th in the Big Ten at 6.6 yards per pass attempt, but again … rain has had an impact on that).

THE LATEST ON Michigan State

* Enough games have been played that Big Ten stats are starting to paint an interesting picture:

+ Michigan State ranks No. 3 in the Big Ten in rush offense at 192 yards per game (fourth in the Big Ten in yards per carry at 4.5, trailing Ohio State, Penn State and Wisconsin).

+ Michigan State ranks No. 3 in the Big Ten in rush defense (93 yards per game), and tied for third in yards allowed per carry.

* Michigan State d-end Kenny Willekes is No. 5 in the Big Ten in sacks with four, and No. 4 in the Big Ten in TFLs with 8 (six solos, four assists equals eight, they say).

THE MICRO: On Indiana Personnel

QB PEYTON RAMSEY (6-2, 210, R-Fr, Cincinnati Elder)

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* Was a 5.4 two-star recruit, and a spring commitment over offers from Illinois, BC, Wake Forest. Rivals missed on this evaluation.

* Started for the first time two weeks ago against Charleston Southern.

* 62 pct completions, 7 TDs, 4 INTs, 135 yards per game.

* Had a little success with QB draws vs PSU, counting few people in the box and it becomes a pass-run option for Ramsey, with the option to tuck and run almost immediately.

* Last week he was a respectable 20 of 41 for 178 yards against Michigan’s outstanding pass defense.

* Ramsey was 32 of 41 for 321 yards against Charleston Southern with 2 TDs and 1 INT.

* Most IU throws are quick-drop, short reads, a lot of slants and fades, probably too man, but when he wanted to take longer reads, his o-line usually gave him pretty good time to throw through the first two and a half quarters. UM’s pass rush became more of a problem two-thirds of the way through the game. He was sacked twice.

* His 48% completion percentage vs Michigan is quite a bit better than the seasonal rate UM has been allowing.

* He rushed 14 times for a net of 14 yards last week (gained 35, lost 21). Had along run of 9 yards.

- INT on a deep fade for WR Taysir Mack with 6:10 to go in the game. Great leaping INT by UM’s Lavert Hill.

* He looked for No. 25, Timian A LOT on third downs last week, including a big third-and-10 conversion in the red zone on an intermediate dig with 3:51 to play and IU down 20-10. Good pass protection to find him.

+ stepped up into the pocket vs a 5 man rush to find WR 22 Whop Philyor on a shallow crossing route for an 8-yard TD pass to cut it to 20-17 with 3:27 left last week.

* On the game-tying drive, he found Cobbs on a 10-yard square in and Timian dig route, caught at 15 yards vs man to man and good for 23 yards, then Cobbs for 10 more on a crossing route to get into field goal range.

* In overtime, he was stopped on a zone read keeper and a pair of roll-out INCs. Indiana coaches were criticized for rolling him out to his off hand.

* He came off the bench at Virginia to go 16 of 20 and help Indiana win on the road.

* As a runner, Ramsey is something less than Brian Lewerke, maybe in the Tyler O’Connor category for now.

* He carried the ball on two zone read keepers on the opening drive vs Michigan for 6 and 5 yards. One to the edge, and one up the middle.

(Richard Lagow, 6-6, 240, Sr., juco transfer)

* Lagow is streaky, but sometimes good. That gives you an idea of what they think about Ramsey.

* He was inaccurate against Penn State. Ramsey relieved him and played better. Ramsey won the job in the days that followed.

* IU runs a lot of fades vs press. I think Lagow throws the fade better than Ramsey. When Lagow gets in a hot rhythm with those fades to his big WRs, he can be a pain in the neck.

* Lagow started last year. Has four 300-plus yard passing games, the fourth most in school history.

* Completed 38 pct of this passes in the bowl loss last year.

* This year: 56 pct completions, 4 TDs, 3 INTs, 136 yards passing per game.

* Indiana is No. 10 in third down pct at 37.3 (Michigan State is No. 4 at 41.6).

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THIRD AND MEDIUM SAMPLE STUDY

+ Short out route to RB Majette for a gain of 10 last week in the 1Q.

+ Ramsey creative flip to No. 25 WR Timian while Ramsey was being tackled from behind, got it away for a completion to move the chains last week on their second possession. Creative.

= Cobbs dropped a slant last week in the 1q in tight handsy coverage.

- QB had him open but didn’t pass to No. 7 Taysir Mack on a slant on third-and-10 in the second quarter last week. Held the ball, dumped it off to the RB for a short gain, then punt.

* WR Taysir Mack (No. 7) was open on a neat little play, with three receivers crammed to the boundary. The other two ran interference for him, heading downfield on verts, while No. 7 cut to the inside behind their wakes, open vs man to man on a slant. But QB didn’t see him.

Decent play by DeBoard. Freshman QB didn’t execute.

WIDE RECEIVERS

* When IU stacks two WRs to each side, the deeper WR (the ones farthest from the line of scrimmage) are often used as the in-route receivers.

* They run a handful of pass plays with FIB (formation into the boundary), meaning two (sometimes three) WRs to the short side of the field. That can create traffic issues for the DBs. The good news is that LJ Scott doesn’t play DB. (It’s a thinker)

WR 1 SIMMIE COBBS (6-4, 220, R-Jr., Oak Park, Ill.)

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* Was a 5.6 three-star recruit, ranked No. 27 in Illinois. Also visited Purdue.

* No. 4 in the Big Ten in receiving with 37 catches (3 TDs), averaging 68 yards receiving per game.

* Had 4 catches for 39 yards against Michigan.

* He is a very impressive player when he extends his arms and catches it high, like Matt Trannon, or your dad against you when you were 10.

* Is very hard to stop on fades, whether jumpball or back-shoulder, WHEN the QB is accurate.

+ Had catches of 12 and 16 yards on the opening drive vs Charleston Southern two weeks ago, both on RPO crossing routes vs off coverage. He won’t see that much off coverage vs Michigan State.

I didn’t notice that much RPO vs Michigan or Penn State from Indiana. Maybe it’s something they do more of vs off coverage.

* Had a terrific TD vs Ohio State on a back shoulder fade.

++ Real nice 29-yard TD at Virginia. Three WRs crammed to the short side (FIB, formation into the boundary). Cobbs the outside guy. The two inside guys clear out with deep verticals. Cobbs runs a crossing route across their wake. Caught at 5 yards, 24 yards afte contact, very good run-after-catch ability.

- Dropped a third-and-three slant last week, with a UM DB having hands all over him, but still should have been caught.

* Had a 60-yarder called back last week because he stepped out of bounds earlier in the route and didn’t completely reestablish himself on the field. Caught that one high on a deep fade. Impressive.

(Taysir Mack, 6-2, 200, R-Fr., Brooklyn, NY)

* 9 catches on the year, two TDs.

* 5.6 three-star recruit. Also visited Rutgers. Had a Syracuse offer.

(I didn't put the title on this YouTube film, but I don't necessarily disagree with its title):

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25 WR LUKE TIMIAN (6-0, 195, R-Jr., Southlake, TX)

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* Was a 5.4, two-star recruit, walked on at Indiana. Had an offer from Columbia. Visited Minnesota.

* Slippery guy, a poor man’s Blair White.

* Ramsey looked for No. 25 time after time on third downs last week. usually as a slot WR on in routes.

+ 6 yard gain on a slant as the middle of three WRs last week, as part of one of IU’s bread-and-butter plays (‘70s term).

* Had a team-high 7 catches for 95 yards last week.

* Possession type receiver.

+ Had a 17-yarder last week on a dig route, operating as a stacked WR. The stacked WR has a natural free release; IU uses it to gain a step of leverage on in routes. Sometimes IU stacks two receivers to each side. Usually symmetrical routes to each side.

* Michigan double-teamed him in the end zone on the fourth-down stoppage in overtime. He was the guy UM sought to stop.

WR DONAVAN HALE (6-4, 225, JR., Largo, Fla.)

* 5.4, two-star recruit. Also visited Syracuse. Also offered by Minnesota and South Florida.

* Sat out last week with an injury. Status unknown this week.

* 7 catches on the year.

(22 Whop Philyor, 5-11, 180, Fr., Plant City, Fla.) has one of the great names in the Big Ten. (Careful with that one.) He had three catches for 13 yards last week including an 8-yard TD grab which cut UM’s lead to 20-17.

* Was a 5.4, two-star recruit. Apparently had offers from Arizona, Iowa State, Louisville, Maryland, Va Tech, Syracuse.

RUNNING BACKS

* IU ranks No. 10 in rushing offense (137 yards per game) and dead last in the Big Ten in yards per carry (3.5), that’s a big change from the Kevin Wilson days of Tevin Coleman and the explosive run-pass conflict, sometimes featuring the run blast.

But Ellison is a talent on the rise.

* Indiana averaged only 3.5 yards per rush against Charleston Southern two weeks ago. The Hoosiers rushed for 157 yards that day.

* They will sprinkle in some zone read option. They don’t live on it.

* Inside zone. Some interior counters and powers. Not much in terms of sweeps or toss plays or fly sweeps.

* Didn’t see one bubble screen in nine quarters of film study.

RB MORGAN ELLISON (6-1, 225, Fr., Pickerington, Ohio)

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* No. 30 in Ohio, also visited Ohio University. Had MAC offers. Rivals had him rated higher than most, and got it right.

* Rushed for 68 yards on 14 carries last week including a 31-yarder

* Ran for 187 yards vs Georgia Southern in late September.

+ A rambler. Kind of a watered down LJ Scott type. Solid player.

* Morgan Ellison rushed 14 times for 68 yards against Michigan. The Hoosiers netted 80 yards rushing against the Wolverines.

* Ellison rushed for 48 yards on 16 carries (3.0 per) vs Charleston Southern.

+ On the 31-yarder, UM outside LB Khaleke Hudson came out too wide to honor the QB on a zone read, leaving too much daylight outside the tight end. Ellison with good vision, decent burst, ran to daylight and untouched for the first 25 yards.

+ 8 yard TD run last week on an inside zone. RT Brandon Knight downblocked a tired Devin Bush as UM was caught on the field too long vs a tempo offense and wore down badly for the final two plays of this TD drive which cut UM’s lead to 13-10.

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24 RB MIKE MAJETTE (5-11, 210, Jr., Woodbridge, Va.)

* 5.5 three-star recruit, No. 36 in Virginia.

* 22 carries on the year for a net of 22 yards.

* Is on the field a lot but had only one carry last week. I gather that when he’s on the field, the pass tendency is greater.

* He had 5 catches last week for 49 yards.

* 12 catches on the year for 90 yards.

* Made an error in blitz protection last week, resulting in QB Ramsey getting banged up and sidelined for a few plays.

+ 22-yard gain on a nice “wide receiver screen” to the RB out of empty formation last week in the 1H.

* Attempted a trans-contintental pass back to Ramsey last week in the 1Q but it fell incomplete. They were trying to duplicate the play Purdue hit Michigan with. It didn’t work because, I think, UM was in zone coverage. But BTN’s camera man sucks so bad and felt he (or she) had to zoom in on the football as soon as it was snapped. Dude needs to stick to basketball (or BTN needs to give him different instructions. Terrible. That’s one area in which the NFL TV product is consistently better than college - cameramen in the NFL show all 22 players on most plays.) This dude for BTN zoomed so quickly. I am calling for a drug test.

* Diving catch on wheel route in the red zone vs Ohio State.

TIGHT END

IAN THOMAS (6-5, 248, Sr., Baltimore, Md./Nassau Community College, NY)


* Out of nowhere, this guy is going to get All-Big Ten votes. Good tight end.

* 17 catches on the year, 3 TDs. Had a 54-yarder vs PSU when getting matched up with a LB in man to man on a crossing route.

* 8-yard gain on an over route on third-and-10 midway through the 4q last week.

+ 22 yard catch on a deep over route from Lagow early in the Penn State game.

* Had a one-handed catch on a pass thrown behind him midway through the PSU game.

* TD vs OSU on an out and up.

* He’s a weapon.

* If I had time, I would go back and watch his blocking more closely to see just how well-rounded he is. I didn’t notice his blocking one way or another when going through things initially.

OFFENSIVE LINE

* Their o-line is good - individually and collectively. I’m not sure why they don’t run the ball better.

* IU has done a good job evaluating and developing o-linemen. These guys look sturdy, they move well.

None of them are dumpy or defective.

IU doesn’t get first pick of the o-line recruiting pool, but they are doing something right. Dan Feeney and Jason Spriggs were a couple of Indiana OL NFL Draft picks in the last three years. I wouldn’t be surprised if there were one or two NFL guys in the current Hoosier OL batch.

* Indiana is No 8 in the Big Ten in sacks allowed with 13 (Michigan State is No. 3, having allowed only six sacks), but their pass pro looked pretty good in the first half against Michigan and for good chunks of the PSU game.

Their sack numbers are high probably due to having played PSU, OSU and UM.

* The center and guards each were beaten by Mo Hurst as part of TFLs last week, but he did that to MSU’s center and guards too.

* Freshmen (two true frosh) make up the second-string on the offensive line at four of the five positions.

54 LT COY CRONK (6-5, 305, Soph, Lafayette, Ind.)

* 5.6 three-star, ranked No. 13 in Indiana.

* Also visited Iowa State. Had additional offers from Illinois, Vanderbilt.

* Very much functional.

* Moves okay laterally in pass pro. Looks shorter than 6-5. Doesn’t have long arms, but he gets by.

+ Real good, smooth job of passing off one man to pick up a stunting Rashan Gary coming inside-out into his Cronk’s area. Filtered it out with no problem. QB had time to read then stepped up and scrambled for a 5 yard gain.

- Allowed a pressure to Rashan Gary on third-and-seven but got enough of Gary for long enough, then Gary got off of him and was tackling the QB Ramsey when Ramsey completed a pass while falling down to the Blair White guy for a gain of 8 and a first down in the first quarter.

LG 76 WES MARTIN (6-3, 310, Jr., West Milton, Ohio )

* 5.4, two-star recruit, unranked in Ohio. Had MAC offers.

* Mobile out to the flat, cut-blocking a Michigan CB last week on the opening drive, and flagged for doing it illegally. But that was a scary/sinister play. He can get out and get low. Pain in the rear.

+ Real nice, quick, sudden, tough trap block last week to help spring Ellison for a gain of 8.

+ Can pull and quick-foot it on shot gun power, too.

- Allowed a QB pressure to Winovich when he was influenced too far inside by a DT slant. Winovich came from outside-in into Martin’s area. QB flush, INC on a third down late in the 1H. Decent ploy by UM. Martin wasn’t physically beaten.

- Got stood-up by UM reserve DT Mone on a key third-and-one early in the 4q. Stuffed, no gain on an inside zone.

C HUNTER LITTLEJOHN (6-3, 305,Soph., Powell, Ohio, Olentangy Liberty)

* 5.5 three-star recruit, No. 60 in Ohio.

* Had offers from Illinois, Minnesota, Purdue, Syracuse. Summer commitment.

+ Nice, solid job of zone blocking, getting out to LB Bush for a square block on an inside zone early in the 2H for a gain of 6.

* Didn’t see anything terrible from him.

RG SIMON STEPANIAK (6-4, 305, Soph., Hamilton, Ohio)

* 5.5 three-star recruit, No. 44 in Ohio.

* Summer commitment. Also had offers from Illinois, Kentucky, Louisville, Minnesota, Syracuse and others, and apparently Penn State at some point.

* Sat out last week. Status unknown this week. Coach Allen hinted that he probably wouldn’t be back.

(51 Mackenzie Nworah, 6-4, 305, R-Fr., Houston) started last week against Michigan.

+ Real nice job picking up a stunting Maurice Hurst and moving his feet well to stay with him and give the QB a chance to throw it away.

* Was a three-star recruit, offered by ASU, BC, Colorado and others but didn’t take any other official visits after a December trip to Indiana, committing two weeks before signing day.

* is a little bit sloppy but has good make-up athleticism to catch up when he might get a step behind.

- Hurst beat him with a shoulder club move for a sack in the third quarter.

RT BRANDON KNIGHT (6-5, 305, Jr., Noblesville, Ind.)

* 5.7 three-star recruit, No. 7 in Indiana.

* Summer commitment with additional offers from Purdue, Illinois, Maryland, Miami (Fla.), Minnesota.

* Quality pass protector.

+ Good pass pro vs Michigan’s Winovich on an inside move on third-and-10 in the first quarter last week.

* Solid, balanced, poised, under control vs Winovich.

+ No problems vs a tiring Gary on a third-and-five late in the 1q, QB with plenty of time to find RB Majette on an out for a gain of 10.

- Beaten for a sack on third and long in the first quarter at PSU by LB Jason Cabinda blitzing off the edge.

DEFENSE

4-2-5 defense. Hybrid LB will play in the box. Wasn’t ideal against Michigan last week.

* They start eight seniors on defense, and this isn’t a bad unit. They aren’t afraid to play some second- and third-stringers, although those guys aren’t quite ready for prime time.

* UM’s O’Korn was 10 of 20 for 58 yards last week. He missed a wide-open Peoples-Jones in the first quarter which could have added about 60 more yards and a TD to the stats.

* Michigan had success with the basic inside zone in the first half, and it’s not like they were blowing people off the ball all the time. IU had some moving parts up front and sometimes didn’t fill all the puzzle pieces.

* Indiana disguises its blitzes well, No. 8 MLB Scales has good closing speed.

* Their CBs are good. There is no mismatch there. If you beat them on a route, you've earned it. They will put their hands on you and challenge the official to throw a flag (as they did in overturning an INT against Michigan).

* The player on defense to attack is safety, No. 30.

THE STATS:

* Indiana’s pass defense is pretty good, as is their third-down defense.

* Indiana is No. 7 in the Big Ten in total defense, and No. 6 in yards allowed per play. That’s a big improvement for Indiana defense.

* Indiana is tied for No. 2 in third down defense (tied with Michigan State), allowing 29.1 pct success. [Michigan is No. 1 by a big margin at 20.5 pct.]

* Indiana is No. 11 in the Big Ten in rush defense (172 yards allowed per game), No. 8 in yards allowed per rush.

* Indiana is No. 4 in pass defense (180 yards per game) [Michigan State is No. 3 at 170.]

* Indiana is tied for No. 5 in the Big Ten in yards allowed per pass play (Michigan State is No. 4, trailing Michigan, PSU and Minnesota).

* Indiana tackled real well in space on the perimeter in the first half against OSU. But I wouldn’t say they were a plus tackling team against UM and PSU.

* Indiana has only one interception this season (Michigan State has 6).

* Indiana has allowed 9 TD passes (Michigan State has allowed 4).

* Indiana is No. 6 in the Big Ten in sacks with 14 (Michigan State is No. 4 with 16).

THE TRAITS

* They are multiple on defense, but sometimes they confuse themselves. Multiple with stunts and slants, especially on third down.

Multiple fronts - not a ton of them - just an assortment.

They’ll do some 30 with a stand-up end, but it’s not a two-gapping 30. It’s cute to be multiple, but is that part of the reason they too often left gaps unfilled on some of those Higdon chunk runs last week. Coach Allen was pondering that this week.

* Last week we said Minnesota lacked speed in the middle of the field, and Michigan State took advantage with the new toss sweep look.

Indiana has some speed issues in pursuit, too. Play-side CBs not great at setting the edge on outside run plays.

But the toss sweep will lose its surprise element this week. Can Michigan State cook up other ways to probe the perimeter?

Michigan ran the toss sweep three times, that I noticed, last week, gaining about 5, 9 and 1 yards.

DEFENSIVE LINE

* They go two-deep at DT, although the reserves they bring in, 51 and 95, aren’t good right now. 95, Wilson, a sophomore, allowed movement vs double-teams last week.

49 DE GREG GOOCH (6-2, 250, Sr., Lyman, Fla.)
* 5.6 three-star recruit, No. 100 in Florida.
* Committed on signing day. Also visited Iowa State and Cincinnati

* Boundary DE

* Lost contain, getting nosy inside, on UM’s one-play overtime TD run of 25 yards by Higdon. Just good enough to lose.

* Ran okay to chase down O’Korn from behind on a QB zone read keeper.

(99 Allen Stallings, 6-2, 240, Soph., Oak Park, Ill.)
* Unranked 5.3 two-star recruit
* Good find for Indiana. No other offers.

* Stallings has come off the bench for 2.5 sacks.

* Good-looking athlete. Can bend his knees, read, stop and start with quickness, close ground. Another St. Dic type of d-end, but he looks better in the airport than St. Dic did.

- Vs the run, he lost his outside containment gap, hooked inside (legally) by LT Mason Cole. His error allowed Higdon to bounce outside for a 12-yard TD run.

91 DT JACOB ROBINSON (6-4, 285, Jr., Westfield, Ind.)
* 5.5 three-star recruit, No. 18 in Indiana.
* Spring commitment over offers from Illinois, Minnesota, Northwestern, Purdue, Wisconsin.

* Quality DT. Not a difference-maker, but he does the job.

* 2 sacks

* Not a bad athlete although he is kind of awkward, but he doesn’t quit when pursuing to the sideline.

* He gets free to the QB when Hoff sets a pick for him on DT/DT twist games. MSU’s inconsistent, young o-guards have worked with Brian Allen this week to pick that up. Good test.

* Makes pretty good use of long arms with two-hand shiver to the breast plate on the bull rush.

* I voiced my doubts about him on the Skull Session podcast, but I retract. I saw some DTs allowing some movement, but it wasn’t him. It was the reserves.

+ Good play, using long arms to defeat a cut block and pursuing out to the edge to make first contact on Higdon on a toss sweep

+ Beat UM’s Bredeson to gum up an isolation play before it got started on the first play of the 2H last week, resulting in a two-yard loss.

(98 Jerome Johnson, 6-3, 295, R-Fr., plays some snaps and is terrible vs double teams on inside runs.)

DT NATE HOFF (6-2, 310, Sr., Solon, Ohio/Newport R.I. Naval Academy Prep)
* Originally committed to Navy.
* no-star recruit. Good find by Indiana.
* Camped at MSU. They took a long look at him.

* Quality player, been a quality player for a long time.

* Big dude, hard to move, but he also has a quick upper body, can swim and cross your face and stay there. If he gets an inch on you, you don't get it back.

* Never seems to give up a negative play.

+ Big TFL vs Onwenu on third-and-10 with 4:15 left helped launch Indiana’s comeback from a 20-10 deficit to force overtime.

* Nate Hoff beat Ohio State’s LG and RG on different plays in the opener. Equal opportunity winner.

(51 Mike Barwick, 6-0, 295, Soph.)

* They lose a lot when they sub Hoff out and put Barwick in, in terms of firmness vs double-teams. Barwick not good vs double-teams. Isaac of UM had a 14 yard run on an inside zone because of it, last week in the 2q.

+ Defeated UM LG Bredeson on an end sweep attempt in the third quarter last week.

47 DE ROBERT McCRAY (6-2, 270, Sr., Conyers, Ga.)
* 5.4 two-star recruit, unranked in Ga.
* Committed on signing day, also visited Southern University. Apparently had offers from Boise State, East Carolina and Ga Tech.

+ Pretty good wheels on an inside stunt on third down last week to force a quick O’Korn thrown (complete to TE).

- Lost outside contain on a sweep, getting nosy to the inside, on a 1Q run.

* Decent take-off, plays low as a short St. Dic type of d-end. Not bad, but MSU’s o-tackles have seen better.

- Mediocre with his hands in trying to beat mediocre UM right tackle.

(Brandon Wilson, 6-3, 255, Soph.)

LINEBACKERS

4 LB CHRIS COVINGTON (6-2, 230, Sr., Chicago)
* 5.4 two-star, unranked in Illinois
* Committed on signing day over MAC offers

* Usually plays in space. Had to play in the box as a Sam last week.

- Wasn’t firm and low enough when slanting from the C to the B gap vs a UM inside zone. UM RG Onwenu sealed him from the B gap and put him on skates, gain of 14. This was one of those examples Coach Allen was talking about doing so much on defense that it can mess with your run fits.

* Gets up to speed quickly to go full-tilt into the ball carrier. Respectable.

+ Good break on a TE curl on third-and-four to break it up early in the 4q last week.

(Dameon Willis, 6-1, 230, Jr.)

8 MLB TEGRAY SCALES (6-0, 230, Sr., Cincinnati Colerain)
* 5.7 three-star recruit, No. 29 in Ohio.
* Committed two weeks before signing day, no other visits. Also apparently had offers from Boston College, Lousiville, Minnesota.

* Good vs the ball carrier, not great vs blocks.

* Three sacks vs Penn State. One on an inside blitz, quick. The other two were chase-around, loose plays to the outside, including a green dog (cross key) blitz. He has plus closing speed for a linebacker.

* He leads the team in sacks with 3.5 and tackles with 48. He’s good, not great.

+ Showed some heart in tacking on FB Poggi in the B gap on an isolation play but Poggi caught him 1 yard deep and won the collision. Scales had heart, but at 230 pounds and arriving a little late, there was a little too much daylight. Meanwhile, DE 49 Gooch got carved out of his gap by LT Cole, who isn’t that great. Higdon bounced outside for a 12-yard TD run in the second quarter.

- Might have shown a lack of heart in doing an olé number in avoiding the fullback at the point of attack on a 59-yard TD run by Higdon on a counter early in the fourth quarter.

(Reakwon Jones, 6-2, 230, Soph.)

19 HYBRID LB TONY FIELDS (5-11, 205, Sr., Tallahassee, Fla.)
* 5.6 three-star recruit. No. 87 in Florida.
* Committed two weeks before signing day. No other visits. Apparently had offers from Louisville, Michigan State, NC State.

+ Dodged a TE and delivered a good stick to blow up a WR screen last week.

+ Good INT vs Penn State, covering WR in man to man, under cut it.

- Allowed TD on slot corner fade vs PSU. Good pass, not much he could do.

DEFENSIVE BACKS

* 3-12, quarters in the red zone, with the slot LB off, like Michigan State’s base.

16 CB RASHARD FANT (5-10, 180, Sr., Fairburn, Ga.)
* Four-star recruit, No. 18 in Georgia.
* October commitment, no other visits. Also had offers from FSU, Kentucky, Ole Miss.

* NFL player. Projected as a third- or fourth-rounder by NFLDraftScout.com.

+ Terrific coverage and high-point INT on a third and 7 fade intended for McDoom last week. But it was flagged for pass interference because Fant grabbed some cloth.

+ Good pass break up on a deep INC to Crawford last week.

* No. 3 in the nation in passes defensed last year with 20. Second-team All-Big Ten (media).

CB 14 ANDRE BROWN (6-0, 195, Decatur, Ga.).

- Missed a little time last week after tweaking something in his lower body.

- Not all that aggressive in setting the edge vs the UM toss sweep to his side. He’ll need to improve upon that for Michigan State. Because of him, an otherwise well-defended toss sweep got out for 14 yards in the third quarter last week.

* Will puts hands on you in coverage, got away with it vs a deep route in the Penn State game.

(3 Tyler Green 6-3, 190, Jr., played a little bit in place of Brown last week)

S 30 CHASE DUTRA (6-1, 212, Sr. Brownsbrug, Ind.)
* 5.7 three-star recruit. No. 9 in Indiana.
* Summer commitment over Indiana State and Western Michigan.

- Wildly inconsistent player. Will tackle well on one play, then whiff on the next.

- Beaten on a deep post by two steps by Don Peoples-Jones during UM’s first drive last week, but the QB overthrew. Michigan isolated him in the slot and blew by him. UM should have tried it a few more times.

- Missed a tackle on Issac on a run blitz in the 1q last week.

+ pretty good tackle scraping to the short sinde on a Higdon sweep.

- Missed tackle in being late to fill the eighth gap on an inside zone in the 2q on HIgdon. Missed the tackle at 4 yards, and the play got out for 17.

- Pursuit angle not great on the Paris Campbell long TD by OSU in the opener, squeezed too far to the inside, couldn’t get back to the boundary to tackle Campbell.

(Zeke Walker, 6-2, 215, Jr.)

9 S JON CRAWFORD (6-2, 203, Jr., Largo, Fla.)
* 5.5 three-star, unranked.
* December commitment also took official visits to Iowa, North Carolina, Syracuse.
- Missed a tackle on Higdon on a power in the 1Q, allowing 5 extra yards.

- Beaten on slot fade to the corner vs PSU for a TD.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Kicker Griffin Oakes is a good one. Forced OT with a clutch kick at the end of regulation last week.

+ He is 7 of 8 on field goals for the year.

PR J-Shun Harris (5-8, 170, Jr., Fishers, Ind.)
* 5.5 three-star recruit, No. 13 in Indiana.
* Summer commitment over MAC offers.

* Indiana is No. 1 in the Big Ten in punt return average at 19.0 per (has taken two back for TDs).

* 11 punt returns for a 23.3 average, with 2 TDs including a 70-yarder.

* Is back after tearing ACL in both knees.

+ IU set up for the return when down 20-10 rather than going for a block when UM punting from own 27-yard line with 4:15 left. Good decision. Harris returned it about 55 yards to the Michigan red zone, setting up a TD and IU’s comeback toward overtime.

- Indiana allowed a game-opening KO return for a TD to Penn State’s Saquan Barkley.

P Haydon Whitehead: no opinion.

KR Devonte Williams (5-10, 190, Soph.)

* Indiana is second to last in kickoff return average (16.9 per) [Michigan State is No. 4 at 24.3.]

ADD IT ALL UP

My guess on the ground game arms race? Will Indiana’s ground defense improve enough this week in order to head off a Michigan State tailback attack that is suddenly gaining traction? I’m going to say no. By that, I mean I’ll go with the most recent body of work. Michigan State rushed for 200-plus at Minnesota, at times against a stacked box. Indiana looked leaky in allowing Michigan to rush for 271. It doesn’t take a math major to expect success for Michigan State on the ground in this game, although Paul Konyndyk wisely cautions that in sports last week’s problem is this week’s area of emphasis, so expect improvement if the problem is not a physical or athletic one. In this case, I think MOST of Indiana’s problems in run defense were structural and assignment-oriented rather than physical - thus the problems are somewhat correctable. So the Konyndyk theorem should be noted here.

Ground game, Michigan State 200-plus? I’m going to say 170. If they get over 215, and there are no game-changers on special teams or turnovers, then Michigan State should win by 13 or more.

Will Lewerke show new levels of development, able to operate on a dry track for a change? Quite possible. Indiana's pass defense is good. They have good blitz packages. MSU's pass pro will get a good test but I think MSU is up for it. And MSU may prove to be the most balanced offense Indiana has faced since the Ohio State game - if MSU continues its current trends of improvement.

MSU should stop Indiana's ground game, and hold the Hoosiers below 90 yards.

How much has Ramsey grown as a starter in these last couple of weeks? How much more will he target Cobbs? How much more with the TE be a factor than last week? Indiana has some elements that can test MSU in this part of the matchup, but the overall pass game structure by DeBord has not been great.

Overall, MSU has the ability to score more on Indiana than Michigan did. But Indiana has ability to score more against MSU than they did in the first 55 minutes against Michigan.

Overall, if both play their B game, MSU should be in good shape. But this is a test.

Monday MSU Football Notebook, by Paul Konyndyk

Dantonio: resilience part of MSU's developing identity
Paul Konyndyk | Associate Editor

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Mark Dantonio has been impressed with his young team's ability to handle adversity, including self-inflicted adversity.
Associated Press
Watching all but a handful of plays in the third quarter of a 30-27 victory at Minnesota, may have been a factor in Michigan State’s slippage on defense during a furious fourth-quarter Golden Gopher comeback, which was thwarted by a pair of onside kick recoveries by Khari Willis and Cody White.

“Our defense was not on the field almost the entire third quarter,” Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio said during his weekly teleconference on Sunday. “I think it was 27 plays to four. So, then they had to come back in and we did not play well at that point.

“The game got very interesting but we closed out, won the football game and we’re 5-1 and made it difficult for them to run the football, had explosive plays.”

Changing quarterbacks from Conor Rhoda to Demry Croft provided a much-needed spark for a Minnesota offense, which had been stagnant until the fourth quarter. Croft ability to scrambling for positive yards on broken plays gave him the confidence needed to make big plays in the passing game down the stretch.

In retrospect, Dantonio believes his ballclub may have erred by defending Croft the same way they defended Rhoda.

“I thought we got a little lax there at the end and we didn't play as well as we had early,” Dantonio said, “and their quarterback change sort of changed the structure of the game. We needed to go to more of a capture mode, rather than just trying to take off and sack him at all costs. I felt like he got out a bit and extended plays, and that led to a couple of scores in the fourth quarter, that made it very close.”

Developing Resiliency
Young teams make mistakes, and Michigan State made a bunch of them in the fourth quarter against Minnesota. But the ability to bounce back from mistakes is beginning to emerge as part of youthful Spartans' identity according to Dantonio.

“It's painful at times, but I guess we all learn with some of the mistakes that we make, or we learn with things that happen to us,” Dantonio said. “It's not so much the mistakes, just things that happen. It's older players, younger players. I feel like our football team is developing a personality as we do this, as we move through. We're going to play hard, we're going to make some mistakes, but we're going to play hard and we're going to come ready to play. Those are the biggest two things that I could ask for of our football team.”

Michigan State’s resiliency as a football team begins with sophomore quarterback Brian Lewerke, whose demeanor is unchanged when faced with adversity like a first-quarter interception, which could have easily resulted in a pick-six, but didn’t.

“We’re going to make mistakes,” Dantonio said. “The biggest thing that I can say about our football team is we don’t get rattled when things happen. We didn’t get rattled when we had a 30-minute delay. When I walked over to Brian after the pick, he wasn’t rattled and was ready to go back to work. That’s a positive, and people see that, feel that in terms of his leadership.”

Cave Man Football
Michigan State was determined to get its run game sorted out at Minnesota, and the Spartans did just that, rushing for 245 yards and three touchdowns on a night LJ Scott set a new career high rushing total with 194 yards on 25 carries.

Michigan State’s game plan for run the ball effectively against Minnesota defense, which was ranked No. 25 in the FBS against the run before facing the Spartans, was to use multiple tight ends and a fullback. Early success running the football out of its jumbo package, a fullback, one wide receiver, and multiple tight ends, including converted offensive guard Chase Gianacakos, led co-offensive coordinator Dave Warner to stick with what worked.

“I thought Chase had a big game on Saturday night at tight end,” Dantonio said. “He gives us a different personnel grouping in there. He’s been good. It’s been good for him, and it’s been good for the football team.”

The likelihood of inclement weather made running the football imperative for Michigan State.

“We felt like the weather would be like this,” Dantonio said. “I do feel like we all felt like we needed to get our tailbacks going, and we did feel like these were things we could exploit a little bit because we had not done them as much … But the biggest reason, I think, is we wanted to get our tailbacks going. And the reality of the situation is, if things are working, you see more of it. And things were working.”

Fullback Colin Lucas was also instrumental in Michigan State’s success on the ground.

“Lucas played his best game last night,” Dantonio said. “I thought he had a dominant block on that touchdown run of L.J.’s to the right. I thought he had a nice game and did a nice job. He is going to fit up on you.”

Jarvis settling in, Reid gaining experience
Right guard Kevin Jarvis made his third consecutive start on Saturday, and the experience he has gained during in the Big Ten thus far will benefit the talented true freshman moving forward.

“I thought that he did some very good things,” Dantonio said. “He got out on the edge, but there’s a lot of different things that are going on in there, so again it’s a learning process for him. But when you look at him he’s extremely talented, he’s not out of sorts in terms of his athletic ability with size or his strength there.”

Dantonio does, however, seem concerned with keeping Jarvis fresh, and avoiding the dreaded freshman wall.

“He’s got valuable experience there and he’ll remain a fixture in that offensive line for many years and through the remainder of this year,” Dantonio said. “But I do think at times we need to take a little bit of stress off of him and just give him a minute to sort of settle in a little bit and refocus a little bit because it’s tough being out there every single play he’s out there as a true freshman.”

Jarvis was inserted into the starting lineup after an undisclosed injury to junior David Beedle, who remains sidelined, but could return at some point this season, according to Dantonio, who also expects promising redshirt freshman tackle AJ Arcuri to return from injury this season.

Jarvis is one of two true freshman playing significant roles for Michigan State on the o-line, along with Jordan Reid, who played 22 snaps against Minnesota at right tackle. Investing reps in Reid at right tackles enables Michigan State to give starting left tackle Cole Chewins a breather from time to time. In those instances, the Spartans move redshirt freshman Luke Campbell from right to left tackle.

“Jordan is very athletic,” Dantonio said. “He played right tackle, we flopped Luke Campbell over to left tackle to give (Chewins) some relief … But he’s a very good football player. Again, a true freshman, so we have a redshirt freshman, two true freshmen really playing there, then two sophomores and a senior making up the bulk of who’s playing on our offensive line. But talented and should be another fixture for the future.”

Dazzling Debut
True freshman Connor Heyward validated his reputation for great hands in his debut as Michigan State’s starting kick and punt returner.

“He has done an outstanding job of catching punts in practice and kickoffs in practice and I just felt like we needed a guy that could do that and had some running back skills,” Dantonio said.

Heyward showed running back skills, and then some, totaling, 115 yards on three kick returns.

“He’s got great running skills, he’s calm, he’s been in a position of leadership,” Dantonio said. “I don’t think any situation is too big for him because he was a quarterback at a large high school in Georgia, and also he started as a ninth grader for their basketball team. So, I knew he had been in pressure situations before. He has great hands, great hand-eye coordination.”

Heyward’s impact performance likely cemented Heyward’s role as Michigan State’s starting punt and kick returner for years to come.

“I think he showed what he could do a little bit, which was a big positive in the game,” Dantonio said.

Heyward would have been the story on special teams if not for redshirt freshman kicker Matt Coghlin making field goals of 42, 35, and 25 yards respectively.

“He’s proven to be a good kicker, and thus far he’s 5-of-7 on the year,” Dantonio said. “I think the two he’s missed -- he missed the last one here, but I’ll give him a hall pass on that one, I guess. He’s gotten the ball up, which that’s the main thing with me all the time. Get the ball up and believe you’re going to make it.”

Pre-Snap Read: Michigan State vs Minnesota

I have to get to the airport, so I had to get this done early.

I haven't finished the video to go with it, and I have to get on the road, so here we go:


PRE-SNAP READ: Michigan State vs Minnesota

By Jim Comparoni
Publisher
SpartanMag.com

MINNEAPOLIS - I don’t think there’s much of a chance of Michigan State getting too full of themselves and overlooking the task at Minnesota.

This is MSU’s first road game, first flight, first business trip together for this edition of the team. They liked practicing and playing together before. Now, after last week, they love it.

They had a good, physical, accountable win at Michigan last week. But there are/were plenty of things to clean up, such as:

* Getting the ground game going, getting the tailbacks heated up.

* Getting the o-line squared away on what happened in losing too many one-on-one battles in the second half last week (maybe five or six occasions, spoiling drives).

* Getting David Dowell, who played well, squared away on a coverage bust or two that Michigan State had in that game (one which QB O’Korn didn’t see on a TE deep route vs cover-three; and one for a TD which was called back due to holding).

It’s great to be a Spartan football player right now. Big win over Michigan, improving, coming together, maturing, 4-1, on the road, need to keep improving, keep chasing excellence.

I think the Spartans will be playing themselves, playing the sport, more so than the Gophers in this game. I expect Michigan State to be eager, and engaged.

These might be two teams trending in opposite directions.

Minnesota was strong early in the year, including impressive wins against Middle Tennessee State and Oregon State (two teams that aren’t all that good, in fact Oregon State is awful).

But still, Minnesota looked pretty good there for awhile.

But they’ve been hit by injury in the defensive backfield and at WR, and have had some issues at o-line that might be subsiding.

But this is a Minnesota team that is having trouble deciding whether to play more true freshmen and try to salvage a season, or keep their seed corn stored for times ahead.

Minnesota looked pretty good at times against a fairly decent Maryland team two weeks ago, but the injuries kept mounting, and the Gophers looked less than good last week in a sloppily-played game between the Gophers and Boilermakers.

I watched the first quarter of that game and rewatched it and felt that Minnesota looked like a team that would lose 35-14 to Michigan State. Minnesota looked a step slow in the middle of the field on defense. And they looked like they featured the type of running attack (the inside zone) that Michigan State is most comfortable defending, and they looked like they had another one of these mediocre QBs that Michigan State has been facing all year.

Then I watched the whole game again, and then the Maryland game.

Minnesota made enough plays against Maryland, and Minnesota’s defensive players - many of whom won’t look like good eye test players at first glance - hung in there long enough to make me think the Gophers could hold it to something like 28-17. But what’s more likely, a TD swing in Minnesota’s direction to make it 21-17 Michigan State as a final score, or a TD swing in MSU’s direction to make it 28-10? I think the latter.

Those of you who have been getting the Pre-Snap Read know that I don’t often predict scores. But this time, I have to call it like I feel it. Minnesota isn’t a bad team, they just look like the type of outfit that will lose the majority of the snaps against a team like Michigan State.

If both teams play their B game, Michigan State wins by 14 to 17.

FINAL ANALYSIS FIRST

Minnesota’s defense has a couple of guys with good quickness. One at outside linebacker (13, Jon Celestin), one at stand-up DE (45, Carter Coughlin).

At too many other positions, Minnesota is a half-step slow. It might not show up, down-in and down-out. But there is too much of a likelihood to spring a play that might go for 7 yards against Michigan that can get out for 40 yards against Minnesota.

Minnesota doesn’t have much of a pass rush. Brian Lewerke, behind an increasingly-trusted offensive line, will have time to operate.

Minnesota has a dinged-up secondary. Maryland attacked CB No. 34 mercilessly. No, a new guy is in the lineup, No. 16, and he’s coming off winter ACL surgery, and not quite ready for prime time. But Minnesota has to go with him.

If 34 and 16 are playing CB, Michigan State should be able to pick on either of them.

Minnesota held Purdue to 132 yards rushing. Maryland broke out for 262 yards rushing, with quick zone read action, not quite the style of MSU’s run game. But Maryland’s quickness hurt Minnesota.

Michigan State has had trouble getting its running backs going this year. This game will give the Spartans a chance to get that ground game rolling. Minnesota isn’t bad on defense, but Michigan State has the type of balanced offense to keep the Gophers’ safeties out of the box, and a diversified running attack into a rhythm.

Minnesota has some decently firm defensive tackles. But you can watch their d-line for quite a while and not see any of them beat anybody. They have some catchers in the front seven.

It’s time for the Michigan State ground game, namely the tailbacks, to start holding up their end of the bargain.

MSU’s offensive front has been weather-proofed mentally and physically in the last two weeks against a pair of good-to-outstanding defensive fronts in Michigan and Iowa.

MSU’s blockers have been continuing their preparation with that type of opposition in mind, holding themselves to a high challenge. But Minnesota won’t be nearly as physical as Iowa, not nearly as quick as Michigan into the gaps, or as quick to close as Michigan.

Michigan State will be more physical than Maryland or Purdue. MSU’s QB and WR combination will be more diversified and dangerous than anything Minnesota has seen.

I add it all up and I can’t figure out what Vegas sees that makes this a 5-point spread.

I don’t talk about the spread much in the Pre-Snap Read series. Usually, I don’t want to know the spread before I write this thing. But I saw on a message board that the spread was around -5 with Michigan State favored.

I think of the injuries that Minnesota has, and I look at the things Michigan State is doing in the trenches, and at QB and WR and in the defensive backfield, and I think this could be a dreadful game for the Gophers.

The threat of rain dampens things a bit, could help keep it a bit closer. Or Michigan State might be more-equipped to operate in it after last week - although Michigan State didn’t set the world on fire offensively in the downpour. But the opposite will be quite easier this time, theoretically.

I assume there is someone in Vegas setting that line who is better at watching film than I am. Or perhaps there’s some algorithm or formula that suggests that Michigan State is going to struggle in this game.

I suspect that they set that line for the public, a public that saw Michigan State get blown out (scoreboard-wise) against Notre Dame. But you and I know that margin was about turnovers, and Michigan State did some decent things in that game at the line of scrimmage.

The same public might have respected MSU’s victory over Michigan, but felt Michigan State’s offense is terrible and barely eked out a victory despite not being able to move the ball in the second half.

Well, you and I know that the weather and circumstances had something to do with that, and MSU’s offensive output in the first half against the nation’s No. 1 defense was pretty good.

And Michigan State’s defense doesn’t get any credit for shutting down another opponent?

The betting public might expect a letdown, but Mark Dantonio is very mindful about MSU’s performances the week after the Michigan game and Michigan State usually plays quite well the next week.

Also, Michigan State often challenges itself to take its game up a level in order to face the Wolverines, and then Michigan State often matches or approaches or exceeds that same level in the following weeks. In other words, Michigan State resets its best level of play for the Michigan game, and then does a good job of maintaining that best level of play in subsequent weeks. That happened in the championship years, and it happened last year even during a terrible season.

I like MSU’s matchups with the Spartan pass rush against questionable Gopher pass protection.

I like MSU’s tight, varied pass defenses against a shaky, inconsistent QB who telegraphs passes and doesn’t have a great stable of WRs to throw to (assuming that Minnesota will stick with former walk-on senior and first-year starter Conor Rhoda).

I like MSU’s excellent run defense to contain (at least) or totally shut down a pretty decent Minnesota running attack.

I like MSU’s WR’s ability to match up against 34 or 16.

I would be very disappointed in Michigan State if the Spartans win by less than a touchdown.

This game is a chance for Michigan State to go on the road for its first business trip, handle that business, and feel even better about itself in seeking a 5-1 start to the first half of the season, and a continued new beginning to the next chapter of the Dantonio era, with new standouts and new leaders forging the path. This week, the path goes through Minneapolis, and Michigan State is the team trending hungrily upward, and the Gophers are the team seeking damage control.

TRENDS & OBSERVATIONS

* Minnesota vs Purdue was not good football. A lot of young players, a lot of tardiness.

* Minnesota is a team hurt by injuries with a first-year head coach torn between burning redshirts or sacrificing the season, torn between reinstating a pair of suspended upper classmen (one at back-up QB and the other at safety) or lengthening the disciplinary lesson.

* PJ Fleck is the first year coach. You know all about him.

Their offense this year isn’t nearly as exciting as he is.

They are a ground-based offense, featuring the inside zone. It’s similar to the things Western Michigan did, but WMU might have done it better, which just as good of running backs as Minnesota’s fine RBs.

WHERE MINNESOTA COULD HURT MSU:

* Not much comes to mind. Their defense occasionally makes plays, but not in a downhill, relentless, problematic type of way. They will sit in a cover-four zone on most plays and Michigan State should be able to sit receivers down into those open areas, or probe with comebacks and curls in the middle, or digs to the middle of the field. There should be some low-hanging fruit for Lewerke.

Minnesota hasn’t been explosive on specials teams.

Their run game was good at Oregon State, but Oregon State’s defense ranks in the bottom 2 percentile of the country.

Michigan State should be equipped to take Minnesota’s run-game strength away from them, or at least contain it.

Minnesota’s QB had a moment or two against Maryland, connected on a couple of 20-yard outs to the wide side of the field that were pretty good.

He didn’t attempt many deep passes against Purdue and Maryland, maybe five or six in all. He connected on one, to the 1-yard line, setting up a game-tying TD in the fourth quarter.

He has thrown some decent deep balls. He’s not terrible at it. But his WRs are almost never running free. They aren’t the type of WRs who can blow the top off a defense.

So where might Minnesota be dangerous? I struggle to find an area. That’s where the idea of Michigan State possibly becoming its own worst enemy is a theory.

What are the chances that Minnesota rights Fleck’s boat and they come back strong to stop the bleeding, overcome their injuries, get their QB straightened out, stop their losing streak and cool off the suddenly-hot Spartans? Not great, in my opinion.

I usually subscribe to the idea that the team that NEEDS to win the most has a natural advantage. Judging by the records, you would think that team is Minnesota. But I think Michigan State is still the team out of these two that NEEDS to win the most.

THE LATEST ON MINNESOTA:

* Minnesota has led every game in the fourth quarter. That’s kind of a good testament to them and the coach because in watching this team it seems to me that PJ Fleck was left with a cupboard that was less than half-stocked. It wasn’t bare. But this is and was more of a rebuilding job than their 9-4 record of a year ago would suggest.

* Last year, they had Matt Leidner at QB. This year, they don’t have much.

* Last year they had crafty 6-3 WR Drew Wolitarsky, who had 66 catches. This year, they’re inconsistent at WR.

* The Gophers will be without four former starters against Michigan State, three of which went down with injuries last week against Purdue.

* A CB, a WR and an offensive tackle were injured against Purdue and won’t play against Michigan State.

* Safety Antoine Winfield will miss a second straight game with a hamstring injury. He was regarded as their best coverage man.

* Fleck often refers to this year as “Year Zero,” an indication that implementing his program is more important than the record this year.

* QB Conor Rhoda has not been good. There’s a chance Minnesota could shake things up with reinstated QB Demry Croft, who was suspended for team reasons in early September. He is much more of a runner than Rhoda. Minnesota began the season with those two as co-starters. Rhoda beat him out after the win at Oregon State.

* Rhoda has struggled recently. Fleck said earlier this week that we (media) could put an “or” next to all four QBs listed on their official depth chart.

I don’t know much about Croft or the freshmen behind him. From what I’ve seen of Rhoda, he’s quite beatable enough, if I’m Michigan State. I wouldn’t mind having that guy in, if I’m Michigan State.

EARLIER GAMES

* Beat pesky U of Buffalo, 17-7, on opening night. Buffalo is 3-3 after losing to Western Michigan in overtime last week.

* Beat Oregon State 48-14 on the road. Oregon State is 1-5, and fired its coach this week. Oregon State’s defense ranks No. 128 out of 130.

(The 49 points were the most by a Gopher team on the road since 1980 at Northwestern).

* Beat Middle Tennessee State, 34-3. (Middle Tennessee State is now 3-3 after losing its best WR and QB).

* Lost to Maryland 31-24 at home two weeks ago.

* Maryland was a double-digit favorite for this game.

* Maryland cut off Minnesota’s main artery by stopping the run, holding the Gophers to 80 yards rushing.

Minnesota turned in some good work in tying Maryland at 24-24 with 3:45 to play. Lost the game on a 32-yard smoke draw with about a minute left. Prior to that Maryland successfully, frequently, picked on No. 34 CB Shenault.

LAST WEEK: Lost to Purdue, 31-17.

Purdue led 17-16 with a couple of minutes left.

Purdue drove and scored to go ahead with less than a minute left, with the big play being a third-down shallow crosser vs gimpy replacement CB 16 Coney Durr.

* Purdue turned it over three times in the first half but came back to win. By the time Purdue battled back and cut the Minnesota lead to 14-13, the Boilermakers had 15 first downs compared to 7 for the Gophers.

The first down totals ended up 22-17 in favor of Purdue.

Purdue out-gained Minnesota 439-328.

Minnesota was up 17-16 with 1:40 to go.

“To have five plays or whatever it was and go right down the field (to take the lead), it's unacceptable and 100% fault is on me,” Fleck said.

Fleck conveys the idea that he is having to play guys that he doesn’t think are good enough.

“ We have to understand that everybody on this football team will play this year and we’ve proven that,” he said. “We prove that in the secondary. We're proving that on the D-line.”

THE TO DO LIST:

* The Michigan State defense might be able to control and possibly dominate this game either way it chooses - by bringing a safety down near the box and over-play the run against a run-centric team that struggles to throw, with run-blitzed mixed in. Just shut them down and dominate. Or Michigan State might be able to stop the run with the standard 7, and get heat on the QB with the standard 4. But where’ the fun in that?

* On offense: Probe the perimeter with “Now” routes to the WR to the field, maybe a wide, two-man jailbreak screen (Purdue popped one off for about 50 yards). MINNESOTA seems a step slow in pursuing from the inside out. Put them in space, make it a race, you could spring a few guys loose.

* On offense, attack No. 16. He is coming back from ACL surgery. Was forced into action in the fourth quarter last week. Didn’t look fast. They are very thin at CB, due to injury. They’re talking about moving a WR or two to that position. 16, Coney Durr (5-10, 191, Soph., Baton Rouge, La.) can be targeted.

* But, if you follow what Maryland did, attack No. 34. They really went at him in the first half, especially on third down vs press, then hit him for a TD on an out-and-up.

THE MUST LIST:

* As usual, don’t turn the ball over. Against good teams, turnovers will result in defeat. Against beatable opponents who are struggling such as Minnesota, turnovers will keep them in the game and give them confidence.

Either way, don’t give it away.

Lewerke has improved in this area.

* Stop the run. That’s a key every week too. But the ramifications of it change from week to week. This week, if you stop the run, Minnesota isn’t likely to consistently be able to do much through the air to hang with you, if Michigan State’s offense has the B-plus level of success that I’m expecting against a game but defective Gophers defense.

GOPHERS’ RUN GAME :

* Minnesota rushed 58 times for 253 yards and five TDs against Oregon State. That figure, plus WMU’s success against USC, really really makes me wonder about ground defense in the Pac-12.

* The Gophers are a heavy inside zone team. Like Western Michigan. Their o-line might not be as good as WMU’s. Their QB is better than WMU’s was. Their RBs are similarly effective, although differ in style from WMU’s.

MSU’s first indication that the Spartans were going to field a strong defense this year came in the opener against WMU. Michigan State has improved since then. There’s a chance Michigan State stifles these guys.

* In addition to the conventional inside zone, Minnesota will mix in a sweep with two o-linemen pulling, usually to the field side.

You’ll see that five or six times, usually with No. 1 (RB Rodney Smith, 5-11, 209, Jr.) carrying the ball. He has good cutback vision, so don’t overpursue on the sweep. Michigan State has to figure out a way to whip back those pulling linemen. They’ve been working it all week. Michigan State will have a plan, and they’ll work it well.

* Minnesota will mix in the fly sweep, with the RB as the fly sweeper. Usually No. 23 (RB Shannon Brooks, 6-0, 213, Jr.) on the fly sweep. Like six or seven times a game. They revisit plays more than most opponents.

If 23 is in motion, fly sweep alert.

And if he carries on the fly sweep, the next play when he goes in motion for the same look he WON’T get the ball for a second straight fly sweep. It’s either a fake fly sweep then inside zone, or a play-action pass. Don’t fear the play -action pass, they aren’t that good at it.

* They mix in some zone read, but it’s not really a read because they don’t want the QB (when it’s Rhoda) to keep the ball.

If the suspended back-up Croft plays, THEN the QB keeper becomes a true option and things change.

Maryland didn’t respect Rhoda on the zone read at all and sent the unblocked optioned defender straight at the RB. They did this well enough that Rhoda HAD to keep it once or twice, just to make that part of the playbook retain its ink.

* If Croft plays at QB, he is much more of a run threat. He had a 68-yard run against Oregon State.

* Fleck suspended Croft in early September. He has been reinstated but Fleck hasn’t said whether he will play.

* Rhoda and Croft shared QB duty at the outset of the season, but Rhoda became the man after the Oregon State game.

Will they play Croft? Well, Fleck does not HAVE to win right now. So he might be more set on sending messages and instilling long-term discipline than compromising himself and playing a guy sooner than he had originally planned. When did he plan to reactivate Croft? He’s not saying.

Same with their situation at safety with previously-suspended Duke McGhee.

GAMBLER, FLECK

* Minnesota went for it on fourth-and-one on their second possession of the game AT THEIR OWN 35-yard line last week, after a terrible start, falling behind 7-0 with some stale errors. They picked it up with a 1-yard run, inside zone, out of pistol. LT 73 did a decent job with a down block.

MINNESOTA OFFENSE

* Minnesota is suffering from not having much of a pass threat. And their QB is not much of a run threat.

“We got to be able to create separation on the outside,” he said.

“For us to run the ball better, guys on the outside have to make better plays,” Fleck said. “We don’t have the fifth-year senior who’s caught 120 balls and you can say, ‘I’m going to rely on that bell cow.’

“We’re going to do what our offensive linemen can do,” he added.

Their o-line is solid, not all that good. Not as good as Iowa’s or Michigan’s.

Maryland held Minnesota to 80 yards rushing (2.6 per carry). Maryland usually went with a single safety deep, stopped the run with an extra man in the box, and didn’t feel Minnesota’ QB/WR combination could beat press coverage and take advantage of all the green space created by removing a safety from pass defense.

INSIDE MINNESOTA’S PERSONNEL:

Running backs first, they are Minnesota’s most accomplished players:

RUNNING BACKS

1 RB RODNEY SMITH (5-11, 209, Jr., Jonesboro, Ga.)

* 21 carries, 81 yards last week against Purdue, including a 51-yarder.

* Had 18 carries for 35 yards against Maryland.

* Averaging 79 yards rushing per game and 3.7 per carry.

* 2,226 career yards.

* Was a 5.4 two-star. Took official visits to Minn, and East Carolina. Also had offers from App State, Jacksonville State, and southern directionals. Committed a week before signing day.

* Rushed for 1,158 yards last year and 16 TDs (third most in school history).

* 23 catches last year.

* Can jump and skip around with pretty good vision.

* They like the counter sweep with him.

* Good cut-back, jump-cut guy. Back side linebacker MUST pursue to SMith’s back hip. Don’t go too fast, too far after him as the back-side pursuit guy, or he will cut behind you.

As Lou Tepper used to teach, 80 pct of long RB runs happen when they CUT BEHIND THE BACK SIDE LINEBACKER. He said to look it up. I’ve noticed it ever since. And that’s what happened on his 50-yarder last week. Power sweep left, cutback right behind the back side LB.

Whether it’s A Dowell, or C Frey (or Ty Thompson or Ant Simmons), when No. 1 is carrying the ball, pursue his back hip. Don’t over-pursue, rely on your teammates.

ALERT: They sent him deep on a wheel once last week too.

23 RB SHANNON BROOKS (6-0, 213, Jr., Atlanta)

* 18 carries, 116 yards last week against Purdue, including a 40-yarder.

* 12 carries for 39 yards against Maryland.

* Averaging 78 yards per game and 4.8 per rush.

+ Converted a fourth-and-one on an inside zone last week in the first quarter.

* Rushed for 650 yards last year.

* Decent power as short-yardage guy. Picked up fourth-and-one on inside zone pistol last week.

* Quick feet, not extra-gear fast. But quick pedals.

* Looks shorter than 6-feet.

* Had a 40-yard run last week on an inside (split) zone, with wham action by 6-10 TE. Purdue was not gap sound. Brooks not fast enough to take it to the house.

* Had a 16-yarder on a fly sweep. They’ll put him at WR and fly sweep him. Alert that.

QUARTERBACK

QB CONOR RHODA (6-3, 225, Sr., Eagen, Minn.)

* Completing 55 pct of his passes with 5 TDs and 4 INTs.

* Averaging 157 yards passing per game.

* Was a no-star walk-on QB, had an offer from North Dakota State.

* Played in only three games last year. Was 8 of 16 last year with 1 TD.

* Did not play as a sophomore in 2015. Played in two games in 2014.

He’s truly a Joe off the pickle boat.

But Fleck didn’t have much talent at QB and talked him into coming back for one last year.

Conor Rhoda battled for the job during camp with Demry Croft during the spring, fall camp and into September. They began the season in a two-QB system.

Rhoda gained the upper hand during a convincing win over Oregon State. Then Croft was suspended on Sept. 12 for disciplinary reasons and is expected to be back now. Fleck wouldn’t say whether Croft would play vs Michigan State.

Rhoda completed 11 of 25 passes for 101 yards and two touchdowns in the 31-17 loss at Purdue. He also lost a fumble at the Boilermakers 7-yard-line and threw a fourth-down interception from the Purdue 27 that was returned 76 yards for a touchdown with 10 seconds left in the game.

“With Conor, he keeps making these killer turnovers in the red zone at crucial points,” Fleck said after last Saturday’s game.

During Monday’s weekly presser, Fleck was asked about Rhoda losing his QB job.

“If there was a better answer today, I would have somebody else in there. That’s not the better answer,’’ Fleck said. “He’s the better answer for our football team.”

Not a ringing endorsement.

“He’s proven that he can run this offense very efficiently,” Fleck said. “But he’s also made mistakes. What I want to be able to say is, ‘Watch him grow from those mistakes.’ ’’

Rhoda completed 11 of 25 passes for 101 yards and two touchdowns in the 31-17 loss to Purdue. He also lost a fumble at the Boilermakers’ 7-yard-line and threw a fourth-down interception from the Purdue 27 that was returned 76 yards for a touchdown with 10 seconds left in the fourth quarter.

**

Overall, I thought Rhoda was not good against Purdue, the type of QB that Michigan State might really shut down.

Then I watched the Maryland game and saw Rhoda complete a few more quality passes than I thought he might be capable of.

Against Maryland, he was 13 of 26 for 229 yards with 1 TD and 2 INTs.

Plusses and minuses in the last two games:

+ Last week, connected with WR Rashad Still for about 30 yards to move the ball to the Purdue 30-yard line in the final minute.

Purdue kind of had a cover-three bust on that play. CB stopped playing the WR and tried to come back for the ball. Then the ball went over his head. Not good football played on this day. You’ll hear me say that a lot.

- Telegraphed a slant against a zone blitz, had it picked off and returned for a TD in the final seconds last week, making it 31-17.

+ Connected with Phillip Howard (WR, 25) on a shallow crossing for a gain of 25 in the 2Q vs Maryland. One of the few times Rhoda threw it over the middle comfortably and on-time last week, although it was caught only 5 yards downfield.

- Intercepted in the red zone vs Maryland in the second quarter, a little slow with the delivery, telegraphed a dig but the WR Tyler Johnson still should have caught it, went through his hands, tip drill INT.

= He will attempt the 17-yard out to the wide side, like once a game, but seems to leave it in the air too long, not quite enough zip. Not bad accuracy, but can he drive that thing into the small, quick windows of Michigan State?

+ Decent pass to Tyler Johnson while on the run after being flushed with 10 minutes to go vs Maryland, but Johnson failed to catch a semi-diving catch, on the move, shallow crossing route. Not a bad ball, Johnson is a decent WR, but kind of ran out of talent on that play.

+ Nice pass 26 yards to 6 WR Tyler Johnson on a post corner, to the field side. Decent ball.

+ Deep post to WR Eric Carter (5-11, 193, Sr., Lakeland, Fla.) to the goal line for about 45 yards.

- INT in the final minute vs Maryland, down by 7 point, telegraphing a dig route.

* Minnesota likes the TEs inside the 12 yard line, and on third down.

= Threw it downfield for a chunk attempt only once in the first half last week, and that was near the end of the first half. From left hash, accurate deep ball, but left it in the air a little too long against pretty good coverage, knocked away INC. Intended for TE Lingen. Not the best deep threat you’re going to find, but a guy Rhoda trusts.

* ALERT: Rhoda stares down receivers and is sometimes late in delivering, which sometimes leaves his guys out to dry for big hits. This will easily be the fastest, smartest most well-positioned defense he has faced. I am afraid for Minnesota that some of their receivers (WRs, TEs, RBs) could get hung out to dry for some big hits.

* He kind of hung WR Phillip Howard out to dry on the second play last week. Howard got hit hard, knocked out of the game and out for this week.


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QB 11 DEMRY CROFT (6-5, 205, Soph. Rockford, Ill.)

* Played in two games prior to getting suspended.

* 7 of 12 passing on the year for 63 yards with 0 TDs and O INTs.

* Had a 64-yard TD run against Oregon State.

* Was a 5.6 three-star recruit, ranked No. 18 in Illinois and the No. 28 dual threat QB in the nation.

13 QB TANNER MORGAN (6-2, 205, Fr., Union, Ky.)

* A Fleck recruit they are trying to redshirt. I assume he won’t play. But who the hell knows. He is listed No. 3.

17 QB SETH GREEN (6-4, 229, R-Fr., Woodbury, Minn.)

* Has been the back-up while Croft was suspended. Green, of Minneapolis, was recruited by Michigan State and has known Michigan State ’s QB coach Brad Salem since he was a kid. I assume he won’t play, but who the hell knows. He is listed No. 4.

WIDE RECEIVERS, in order of importance:

* Minnesota is lacking proven performers, and have been hurt by injury. Fleck says they aren’t getting separation. Defenses don’t respect them, or the QB’s ability to deliver, and can load up to stop the run. That’s what Maryland did.

(Demetrious Douglas was the team’s leading receiver when he was lost for the season in game three.)

(One of their support WRs, Phillip Howard, isn’t expected to play. Head injury last week. But Fleck put him on the two-deep, Tuesday, one day after saying he was out).

WR PERSONNEL

6 WR TYLER JOHNSON (6-2, 190, Soph., Minneapolis)

* Leading receiver with 17 catches and 3 TDs.

* Kind of a Cam Chambers type, even though we haven’t seen a lot of Cam Chambers yet.

* Has some muscle to him, maybe not a burner threat. Their best WR at this point. They don’t have a lot of field-stretchers.

How He Matches Up With Michigan State:

* Either Michigan State CB should be able to cover him on the vast majority of plays. Put him in the slot and Khari Willis shouldn’t be afraid of him.

* Michigan State didn’t play back-up CBs Josh Butler and Tyson Smith nearly as much last week. Michigan State coaches say they expect to get back to working them in. Butler and Smith might not be as good as Justin Layne and Josiah Scott at locking up a guy like Johnson, but they shouldn’t be afraid of him. They can cover him.

* Michigan State will be able to mix its base with man-to-man, like they’ve done all year.

* Johnson was a 5.7 three-star recruit, ranked No. 3 in Minnesota and the no. 36 athlete by Rivals.com.

* Had more than 100 yards receiving in consecutive games, vs Oregon State and Middle Tennessee State.

* Averaging 73 yards receiving per game. Had a 67-yarder against Oregon State.

* Averaging 21.5 yards per catch, far and away better than anyone on the team.

* Last week: 2 catches for 15 yards against Purdue.

* Vs Maryland: 3 catches, 69 yards.

- Had a pass go through his hands for an INT at Maryland.

= Play action post drew pass interference vs Maryland, after Maryland had been creeping in to overplay the run. Decent inside release move by Johnson on that one.

+ Decent dig route of play action in the third quarter vs Md, but QB locked in on him all the way. QB called an audible to that play after Maryland showed single safety high, loaded box.

+ Good catch vs press, going high to nab a back shoulder fade in the third quarter vs Maryland.

+ Nice catch for 26 yards on a post corner, to the field side. Decent ball.

* Had 14 catches last year.

(25 WR PHILLIP HOWARD ? 5-11, 187, Fr., Minneapolis)

* Went down with a head injury against Purdue. But had only 6 catches on the year at that point.)

* But he as targeted early in the Purdue game, so the Gophers were hopeful he could be a guy.

* Is listed as a starter this week, a day after Fleck said on Monday that he would not be available to play against Michigan State.

8 WR MARK WILLIAMS (6-0, 195, Gainestown, Ala.)

* Will likely start in place of Phillip Howard.

* Was slowed by a foot injury during training camp.

9 WR ERIC CARTER (5-11, 193, Sr., Lakeland, Fla.)

+ Deep post to WR Eric Carter (5-11, 193, Sr., Lakeland, Fla.) to the goal line for about 45 yards.

86 TE BRANDON LINGON (6-5, 254, Sr., Wayzata, Minn).

* Third on the team with 9 catches, averaging 9.3 per catch, 2 TDs

* Was a 5.5 three-star recruit, No. 5 in Minnesota. Had offers from Air Force and Florida Atlantic.

* GOOD in the red zone. TD catch vs Maryland, stopped and faked an out cut, then kept heading down field. Good double move for a short TD catch to tie the game at 17 17 in the third quarter. Tricky target inside the 15-yard line.

+ TD catch last week in 2q, left wide open for a 1-yard TD off of play action. Rare occasion in which QB was under center. ALERT: when QB is under center, it might be play-action, especially if it’s second and goal.

* Slow. Caught a short 5-yard pass on third-and-six last week, as the free release guy. Slow off the line, turned and caught it.

* Had 33 catches last year, including 3 TDs.

TE NATE WOZNIAK (Greenwood, Ind.) is the 6-foot-10, 280 guy you may remember, through the years.

Has five catches on the year. Good blocker on the split zone, with wham blocks. Has grown into his frame pretty well.

He turned a short out route of a play action half roll into about a 30 yard gain against Maryland.

OFFENSIVE LINE

* Two redshirt freshmen start on the o-line, and true freshman Blaise Andries is listed as the back-up at both offensive tackle positions. Andries has yet to play, as they are trying to protect his redshirt.

* The right side of the line appeared to get stronger, and more movement, on zone plays late in the Maryland game.

THE MATCHUPS

* Minnesota does not look good at left tackle. I think Brandon Randle is poised to hit the stat sheet with a sack or two, and some pressure.

* 76 at RG not the most comfortable in pass pro. I think Raequan Williams could get on the sack board this week.

LT 73 DONNELL GREENE (6-7, 314, Jr., Marietta, Ga.)

* Second-year starter. Former juco transfer.

* Questionable mobility. Questionable pass pro.

* Occasionally good as a down blocker, but limited overall.

+ Good down block on fourth-and-one last week, getting more than a yard of movement on a Purdue DT.

+ Decent down block as part of a double team to spring 23 Brooks for a gain of 10 in the second quarter at Maryland on a day when other run plays were pretty dry for the Gophers.

LG 78 GARRISON WRIGHT (6-4, 319, Sr., Beattie, Kan.)

* Got out as a pull guard on a sweep in the 1Q last week, wasn’t natural. Went for a cut block, got it done, not pretty.

- Trouble passing off a stunt, allowed a flush pressure in 2q.

C 62 JARED WEYLER, 6-4, 296, Jr., Dayton, Ohio

* He missed the last two games. I haven’t scouted him. No opinion, but people seem happy that he will be back. Went down with an apparent leg injury earlier this year.

* Is a first-year starter.

C/G 64 CONNER OLSON (6-5, 297, R-Fr., Monticello, Minn)

* Is expected to return to RG after being a replacement starter at center for a couple of weeks. Not bad.

* Was a 5.5 three-star, No. 13 in Minnesota. Spring commitments over Ivy Leagues.

* Became starting center after Jared Weyler went down in the Oregon State game with a leg injury. Weyler is not expected to play.

- Was tossed aside once for a TFL in the red zone last week.

* Snap and pull on a sweep, not bad.

RG 76 VINCENT CALHOUN (6-4, 320, Sr., Roswell, Ga.)

- Failed to close off a blitzing LB, allowed a TFL in the third quarter last week. Seems a little unsure for a senior.

RT 70 SAM SCHLUETER (6-6, 298, R-Fr., Victoria, Minn.)

* Came off the bench for the first extended playing time of his career last week against Purdue, playing LT. I didn’t see enough from him to have an opinion.

* Took over for Nick Connelly, who was lost to a leg injury against Purdue.

* Schlueter was a 5.6 three-star, ranked No. 10 in Minnesota. Was a spring commitment, had an offer from Michigan State, ISU, Northwestern, Wisconsin.

DEFENSE

* Minnesota plays three down linemen and one stand-up defensive end.

* They tend to favor off zone coverage with two deep safeties, usually a quarters zone.

* Like a lot of teams, Minnesota seems to want to play tight man-to-man on third down. I’m not sure they have the coverage skill or experience to do this, plus it leaves things inviting for a running QB like Lewerke to tuck and run. I would expect MSU’s third-down PCT to be better than it’s been in recent weeks.

* Going to man-to-man on third down in the last two minutes caused Minnesota to give up a big pass play on a shallow crossing route vs. 16, the gimpy CB replacement. That wasn’t a good defensive call, and Fleck kind of acknowledged that after the game.

* When plays break into a little bit of daylight, Minnesota has too many guys who are a step slow to get going. Those add up over the course of a game. If Michigan State gets into a rhythm, you might see more than a handful of plays break out and a game of chase ensue.

* Minnesota has two true freshman starters on defense. Their second string defensive backfield includes two true freshmen who have yet to burn their redshirts.

DEFENSIVE LINE

* Some of their d-linemen are reasonably firm, but you can watch this group for a long time and rarely see any of them beat anyone.

DT 96 STEVEN RICHARDSON (6-0, 292, Sr., Chicago).

* Four-year starter.

* Third-team All-Big Ten last year. 11 TFLs last year.

* HM All-Big Ten as a sophomore.

* Was a 5.5 three-star from Mt. Carmel. No. 37 in Illinois. Was a spring commitment, over MAC schools.

* Squatty body. Not ideal frame, but gets things done.

* Can turn his hips quickly and knife into a gap. Slippery hips, like a shorter Jerel Worthy.

* Decent pass rush, turning the corner on a stunt to hit QB for INC in 3q last week.

“He is playing at a high level,” Fleck said. “He is seeing two people on every single play, and he’s still productive in QB hurries. He is playing the system as well as you can play it. It’s nice to have that anchor in the middle, knowing he is going to win his individual battles every single play.”

My Take: He’s pretty good, he’s not dominant. Michigan State has had some consistency problems with Tyler Higby and Kevin Jarvis at the guard positions.

No. 96 will give them a good test as they try to continue their development.

(They bring in 99 ANDREW STELTER, 6-4, 298, Sr., and 93 Merrick Jackson, 6-2, 316, Sr., as second-string DTs.

(They are functional Devyn Salmon types.

(You may remember Merrick Jackson getting a lot of tough love from Fleck in the preseason Being PJ Fleck show on ESPN, whatever it was called. Salmon type. Stelter SLOW in pursuit.)

Stelter (99) got off for a coverage sack and fumble recovery last week. Looked like the WRs for Purdue were run blocking. QB dropped back and wanted to pass it to someone, then panicked and fumbled. Not good football last week.

93 Jackson wasn’t bad vs double team in the red zone last week vs power.

45 LB CARTER COUGHLIN (6-4, 225, Soph. Eden Prairie, Minn.)

* Their most active player in their front seven and sometimes their best.

* Plays like Marcus Rush, not quite as fast. He’s quick, slippery. Not as firm at point of attack as Rush was.

* Plays OLB but plays it in the defensive end area. He’s basically a stand-up DE.

* First-year starter.

* He was a four-star, national Top 100 recruit (ranked No. 82), and No. 1 in Minn. Michigan State had a little shot at him for a little while and probably finished second for him, but he committed to Minnesota in March of his junior year.

+ Good inside fake for a sack last week. Dipped shoulder, then countered the outside, quick like a skill position guy on that move. Beat the right tackle on that one. He will play right end or left end. Luke Campbell and Cole Chewins will be fine against him.

DE 87 NATE UMLOR ( 6-5, 269, Fr., Allendale, Mich., true freshman)

* Listed as a starter this week for the first time.

* Is listed as a TE on the roster.

* Ranked No. 27 in MIchigan, 5.5 three-star. He didn’t crack the SpartanMag Top 25.

* Is not very “sudden” as a defensive player.

(46 Winston DeLattiboudere, 6-3, 247, Soph., Baltimore, is the former starter. Seems to have been demoted. Not bad quickness inside but SLOW for a DE in pursuit.)

* Ulmor began Minnesota’s third defensive series last week.

* The difference between Coughlin and Richardson, and the Ulmor/DeLattiboudere combo at d-end is pretty immense and illustrates Minnesota’s depth problems.

DT 19 GARY MOORE (6-4, 287, Jr., Mobile, Ala.)

* Listed as starter this week

* Not bad.

* Pursues with some athleticism.

- Failed to host his gap on an outside zone for 25 yards last week in the 4Q.

+ Decent submarine and bear crawl for TFL inside the 2 yard line vs Maryland in the 1Q.

LINEBACKERS

41 MLB THOMAS BARBER (6-1, 233, Soph., Plymouth, Minn.)

* Was a 5.6 three-star, ranked No. 8 in Minnesota. March commitment with no other offers.

* Looks way too big in the behind to play MLB at this level. You start to assume he is slow but then he gets his rear going and he seems a little quicker than you think he would be.

* Overall, he is somewhat quick in a phone booth, but not pursuit-fast.

+ Nice job of getting of an OG block and pursuing to the outside to assist on a tackle for no gain early in the Purdue game.

+ Heavy hit on a sack last week, Purdue slid the protection the wrong way, he came untouched, and accelerated pretty well.

* Had 10 tackles against Maryland.

21 Slot LB KAMAL MARTIN (6-3, 229, Soph. Burnsville, Minn.)

* First-year starter.

* Was a 5.6 three-star recruit, ranked No. 7 in Minnesota. Summer commitment over MACs and directionals.

* The most athletic guy in the front seven. Good change of direction as a blitzer, getting a hard hit on Purdue QB last week in 1Q.

++ Turned in excellent INT last week in the end zone. Had the inside WR, watched the QB, came off of his man, flipped his hips well, for a pretty INT intended for the TE vs the MLB.

13 LB JONATHAN CELESTIN (6-1, 232, Sr., Jonesboro, Ga.)

+ Showed good speed in running down loose QB scramble last week, but teammates were unsound in letting QB get out for gain of about 20 late in 1Q.

* Extra gear in coming downhill to meet the QB. Doesn’t show that gear when it’s time to take on a fullback blocker in the hole.

* Wasn’t aggressive in taking on FB lead block early in the Purdue game.

+ Had 15 tackles against Maryland.

LB 36 Blake Cashman (6-2, 230, Jr., Eden Prairie, Minn.)

* Plays on nickel defense, quick feet, plays hard like Chris Frey used to on nickel defense. Not bad in pass rush, good motor in pursuit.

GOPHER PASS DEFENSE

* A lot of off coverage. Off, two-deep zone.

* HORRIBLE BUST: Allowed a 20-yard TD pass to Purdue on the opening drive last week. Safety Ayinde Adekunle passed off the TE to someone behind him, but there was no one behind him. His teammates were playing man, he was playing zone.

Wide open TD (set up by a horrible punt which gave PU the ball at the Minnesota 39-yard line, then a facemask penalty, then a bust. Horrible start for Minnesota. Horrible. That’s why Fleck tried to change the momentum by going for it on their next possession, inside their own 40-yard line, and made it)

16 CB CONEY DURR (5-10, 191, Soph., Baton Rouge, La.)

* Listed as new starter, replacing Kiondre Thomas, who is out with a leg injury suffered against Purdue.

* Durr is still recovering from off-season ACL knee surgery, required due to injury in last year’s Holiday Bowl victory over Washington State.

- Looked quite slow in chasing a WR on a shallow crossing route on third-and-three for a gain of 37 to set up the game-winning TD. Tried to play man to man, can’t quite do it with the repaired knee right now. Minnesota tried to blitz on that play, not a heavy blitzing team, and had too much greenery to cover in the back to make it work.

* Started one game last year.

“Coney's going going to play and Coney's still recovering, but that's the last (healthy cornerback available),” Fleck said. “It is what it is and he's going to step up and he's going to play better, and this isn't his fault, at all. We have to put him in the best position to be successful.

(Justus Harris, true freshman, is listed as Durr’s back-up. He hasn’t yet burned his redshirt.) Fleck side he might move a WR to CB rather than burn a guy’s redshirt.

“There has to be a line I draw on the sand at some point so far into the season that -- is that worth it on the back end?” Fleck said. “I will not sacrifice what you really want down the road because we can't do that enough because what it's going to do is put you back another recruiting class.”

34 CB ANTONIO SHENAULT (5-11, 192, Jr., Roselle, Ill.)

(Rey Estes, a true freshman and converted QB, is listed as the back-up. He has yet to play.)

+ From off coverage, pretty good pass break up on a slant in the third quarter last week, kind of physical with it.

- Allowed a completion a comeback to Maryland on third-and-nine the first quarter. good, well-timed cut for the comeback.

- Maryland picked on him twice in third-down, press, man-to-man situations in the first half - the only two times Minnesota played press/man in the first half. Shenault’s feet weren’t bad on either play, but gave up a completion, and was called for pass interference on the other.

- Beaten for a 28-yard TD pass in off coverage on an out-and-up by Maryland.

- On Maryland’s game-winning drive, on third-and-four at the 45-yard line, Maryland went five wide and attacked 34 again, in the slot, with a short out route to the sticks.

7 S KEN HANDY-HOLLY (6-2, 202, true-Fr., Jackson, Ala.)

* Made his debut with 14 snaps against Maryland. Then was in full-bore last week against Purdue. Sink or swim.

* Didn’t notice any big problems from him.

(S DUKE McGEE has been out for two games due to disciplinary reasons. He might be back this week, Fleck said.)

4 S AYINDE ADEKUNLE (6-0, 210, Sr., Blaine, Minn.)

* Second-year starter.

* Three pass deflections, one INT this year.

* DB Ayinde Adekunle with an INT in first quarter last week. Playing soft slot zone but read QB’s telegraph, stepped in front for INT.

* DB Ayinde Adekunle with an INT in first quarter last week. Playing soft slot zone but read QB’s telegraph, stepped in front for INT.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Shannon Brooks is averaging 19.8 per return.

Rodney Smith had one return for 40 yards.

* The kicker is 7 of 10 on field goals and is 4 of 5 from 40 to 49 yards. Kicked a field goal last week to put Minneost up 17 16 with 2:22 left.

* The punter is averaging 44.4 per attempt. Pretty strong. Six for 50 or more yards. But he screed up a rugby punt on the opening drive last week and gave Purdue first down at the Minn 38. After a personal foul, Purdue soon went up 7-0.

* Kickoffs: 10 touchbacks on 25 attempts. Allowed a 45 yard return in the last two minutes to set up the game-losing drive.

ADD IT ALL UP

The night game, the rain, the weather, does that help Michigan State? Probably not. Rain elements help the less-talented team.

But I think Michigan State matches up well with Minnesota. I like Michigan State’s edge at QB. Michigan State has been on the field with much better opposition. Michigan State has momentum and remains hungry. Michigan State is ripe to get its tailback game going and that could emerge as a significant step in this game, for this team, for this season, if they can get to 5-1 and show growth in important areas of need.

Minnesota has had injuries and is trying to hang on. In the years I’ve been doing this, this -5 line seems like the least-supported line I’ve seen. Maybe I’m wrong. I’ll be very interested to see if Vegas indeed saw angles that I did not. I think Michigan State could play its C game and Minnesota could play it B game and Michigan State would still win by 7 or more. We’ll see.

Trends, Schemes & Analysis: taking a second look

Trends, Schemes & Analysis
Jim Comparoni | Publisher

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EAST LANSING - Michigan State heads into its next challenge at Minnesota on Saturday night still searching for improvement in its run offense.

Michigan State (4-1, ranked No. 21 by the Associated Press) hasn’t been bad on the ground, but with most other areas of the team looking quite good, if the Spartans could spruce up its running attack, Michigan State fans might really be in for a feel-good season.

The Spartans rank No. 5 in the Big Ten in rush offense at 181.6 yards per game and No. 5 in the conference in yards per rush at 4.4.

The Spartans rushed for 158 yards during Michigan State’s 14-10 victory at Michigan on Saturday. Michigan went into the game ranked No. 1 in the nation in rushing defense.

“It was tough sledding in there, but we had to take that,” said head coach Mark Dantonio. “That was something I said we had to be able to do - run the ball.

“The production might not be there as much as we want, but we were going to run it and we were going to force the issue at the very least in terms of not getting behind the chains. We couldn’t become a third-and-12 team, a third-and-15 team and take sacks and pass the ball 50 times in that weather. We had to endure whatever came with the run, and that meant running some.”

Quarterback Brian Lewerke has been MSU’s leading rusher through every checkpoint of the season. He has 309 yards for the year, averaging 5.8 per carry.

Lewerke has accounted for 37 percent of Michigan State’s carries and 38 percent of the Spartan’s rushing yardage.

“Our quarterback is creating,” Dantonio said. “He’s making some plays with his feet. He’s also got a couple called runs maybe that we’ve used as well. But there’s just been a different dynamic in terms of what we’ve done offensively maybe than what we have before. But there’s no question we have to get our tailbacks running the ball. The production has to come, I think, for us to continue to grow as a football team.”

Michigan State will work to get its tailbacks a bigger chunk of that ball-carrying pie. But Lewerke’s work on the ground has been a big bonus for the offense through five games. Two late scrambles against Iowa and Michigan were key in melting the clock, and a 16-yard TD tuck-and-run against the Wolverines - punctuated by a brave dive for the goal line - gave the Spartans their first lead at 7-3.


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Madre London rushed for 59 yards against the Wolverines, but 50 of those yards came on a single burst.

INSIDE LONDON'S 50-YARDER: Freshmen Rule

The freshman tandem of Luke Campbell and Kevin Jarvis made the play. They double-teamed All-America candidate Maurice Hurst and drove him three yards downfield and two yards inward as part of a counter-gap play.

The dominant block forced Hurst back into the lap of middle linebacker Devon Bush.Bush was not able to pursue the alley and cut off London as London broke into daylight.

With the freshmen dominating Hurst, pull guard Tyler Higby had a clear shot at Michigan defensive end Rashan Gary.

Gary is such a quick, troublesome player that Michigan State didn’t leave him totally unblocked on this counter-gap. Usually, the d-end is allowed to come straight upfield, and the pull blocker executes a kickout block. This time, Michigan State assigned tight end Mark Sokol to chip Gary for an instant before Sokol turned and blocked a Michigan cornerback.

With Gary having been held up briefly by the chip, Higby had time to pull, cross the formation and drive Gary outward and out of the play.

Fullback Collin Lucas was offset to the left. He blocked linebacker Mike McCray in the c-gap.

McCray succeeded in meeting Lucas on the offense’s side of the line of scrimmage but he wasn’t able to close up the massive daylight left in Hurst’s wake. If Hurst had held strong, McCray’s stalemate would have log-jammed the interior and stuffed London.

By design, Lucas’ initial trek was to his left, and then he veered to the right c-gap. The initial trek to the left influenced Bush to that side of the line. Having been influenced in the wrong direction, Bush was more easily caught up in the Hurst/Jarvis/Campbell avalanche that caved through the right side of the line.

In all, credit the Jarvis/Campbell tag team with plusses on the play, along with Sokol and Lucas, and Spartan coaches with fine play design.


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London did a good job of folloing his blocker and darting to daylight. However, he was caught from behind by five Wolverines, including a defensive end.

London has never improved his top-end speed from the day he was caught from behind in his first Green-White Game. If London had the speed of Edwin Baker, Jeremy Langford or even Gerald Holmes from last year or perhaps even LJ Scott from last year’s Ohio State game, that play might have gone for 83 yards and a 21-3 lead.

**

Gerald Holmes rushed for 27 yards, including a 15-yarder behind pulling Brian Allen during MSU’s first touchdown drive against the Wolverines.

BREAKING DOWN HOLMES' RUN: Freshmen Again

On Holmes’ 15-yarder, Holmes followed Allen on a counter to the weak side. After snapping and pulling, Allen blasted into play-side defensive end Chase Winovich and drove him three yards downfield.

Michigan went away from its base 30 front and played an over/4-3 on this snap, probably because Michigan State had gone heavy with two TEs and a fullback. Michigan briefly took 205-pound viper linebacker Khaleke Hudson out of the game and replaced him with 6-foot-4, 310-pound defensive tackle Bryan Mone as a second defensive tackle, to get more beef on the field. But the beef didn't hold up.

Mone didn’t withstand the double-team block of freshmen Jarvis and Campbell. They drove Mone three yards downfield.

Elsewhere, Sokol won his collision with play-side linebacker Mike McCray and bounced him to the outside. And fullback Lucas got enough of middle linebacker Devin Bush.

Michigan State blockers batted 1.000 on this play and Holmes turned in seven additional yards after contact. Campbell got away with a borderline late hit at the end of the run on Bush.

Interestingly Michigan went away from its base 30 defensive front and opted for a 4-3 on these two plays, which went for a combined 65 yards on the ground.

**

L.J. Scott, last year’s leading rusher, missed the Michigan game with an undisclosed injury. Head coach Mark Dantonio said Scott could have played in case of an emergency, but they elected to hold him out.

The Spartans averaged a respectable 3.9 yards per carry against Michigan, but were unable to consistently get positive yards from its tailbacks, a factor which led to a series of three-and-outs during Saturday’s rainstorm.

HOW ABOUT THAT O-LINE?

Michigan State’s offensive line was outstanding in pass protection, allowing no sacks against a Michigan team that came into the game leading the nation in sacks.

The combination of providing good pass protection and not getting stonewalled in the ground game enabled the o-line to grade out well, overall, while remaining one of the youngest offensive lines in the Big Ten.

“When you have a redshirt freshman at right tackle (Luke Campbell), when you are playing with your left tackle as a sophomore (Cole Chewins), your left guard is a redshirt sophomore (Tyler Higby), and we have a true freshman starting at right guard (Kevin Jarvis), who played pretty well all things considering, I think our football team is unique in the fact that we’re a young football team in a lot of areas,” Dantonio said. “You got young receivers out there as well. You could say the same about the defensive side of our ball, playing a lot of different players, a lot of first-time starters. So we’re going to grow every time we get an opportunity to play.”

ABOUT THAT GROWTH …

During Dantonio’s weekly teleconference on Sunday, I asked if the developmental process for the offensive line will be sped up by the fact that the Spartans have played against two excellent defensive fronts in the last two weeks - Iowa and Michigan - which play two vastly different styles of play.

“I do think you’re correct in that,” Dantonio said. “I do think Iowa played very well. Michigan’s great, up there as well. A lot of different things thrown at our guys relative to the things conceptually from Michigan’s defense. A little more basic from Iowa, but they do it very, very well.

“Both games we knew we would be challenged up front,” Dantonio added. “We knew it was going to be tough to run the football. But nevertheless, we decided we were going to run it.”

Michigan State gained 105 yards rushing against Iowa, but netted only 88.

Iowa has had some mediocre outings in terms of run defense, including an allowance of 295 yards on the ground against Penn State (212 to Saquon Barkley). Iowa allowed 200 yards rushing to Illinois last weekend in a 45-16 Hawkeye victory. A 58-yarder by Illinois freshman RB Mike Epstein bolstered those stats. But Iowa held Illinois to 49 yards rushing in the second half.

Forget the numbers and trust the eye test. Iowa has a stout run defense and the numbers will show that by the end of the year.

Michigan’s defensive line doesn’t have a lot of huge humans, but they are quick, and create confusion with fast slants and stunts, plus plenty of horsepower. The Wolverines are low on second-string help, but they haven’t needed much of it thus far. They will need it when they face quality uptempo teams.

As for this week’s opponent for the Spartans, Minnesota ranks No. 4 in the Big Ten in rush defense, allowing 114 yards per game, and No. 8 in the Big Ten in yards allowed per rush at 4.1.

Rushing yards allowed by Gopher opponents this year (and per-carry averages in parentheses):

Buffalo: 51 yards (2.3).

Oregon State: 80 yards (3.1)

Middle Tennessee State: 46 yards (3.1)

Maryland: 262 yards (5.6 per)

Purdue: 132 yards (4.6 per)

SpartanMag Prediction: Michigan State running backs will have their best output of the season on Saturday night in Minneapolis. More on the reasons why later in the week in the Pre-Snap Read.

WHAT ABOUT THAT PASS PROTECTION?

Michigan’s fierce pass rush was expected to be a massive plus in the Wolverines’ favor. Instead, Michigan State attempted 22 passes without a sack, and there were few hits on Lewerke in the pocket.

“I thought as much as anything, the structure of what we did was very sound,” Dantonio said. “(Chase) Gianacakos played some tight end for us. He’s a 6-5, 300-pound guy.”

Gianacakos, an offensive guard by trade, has donned the No. 94 in the past two games and served as a tight end.

The No. 94 makes him an eligible receiver, when he isn’t covered up by a split end.

Wearing a number in the 90s and serving as basically an extra offensive tackle, Spartan coaches affectionately refer to the role as a “yackle.” Most recently, second-string offensive lineman Michael Dennis played the role in 2014.

“(Gianacakos) may not have gone out for a pass but he was in a protection mode,” Dantonio said. “He was part of the protection.

“Up front, obviously Brian Allen is playing very well and he controls a lot of things up there,” Dantonio added. “Beyond that, everybody has their moments.”

WHAT ABOUT THE PHANTOM HOLDING PENALTY?

Gianacakos was flagged for holding during a Lewerke run with 1:26 remaining when Michigan had no time outs. The flag stopped the clock. MSU’s next snap, on third-and-eight, would have been made with :46 seconds left. If that play had taken more than :06 seconds for the pile to settle and the officials to reset the play clock, Michigan State wouldn’t have had to snap the ball on fourth down.

Instead, the holding call gave Michigan a chance to advance the ball for a Hail Mary pass in the final seconds.

On Sunday night, I mentioned to Dantonio that the only angle we in media could see was the television angle, which showed Gianacakos having his left arm and hand inside the framework of the player he was blocking, which is legal, textbook hand placement. I mentioned that the play looked like a legal pancake to me and asked Dantonio if he had any thoughts on the holding call.

“You mean without criticizing the officials? No.” Dantonio said.

I asked Dantonio if Gianacakos graded out well on that play.

“He graded out pretty well on that play, but a lot of things happen on the field,” he said. “I can only do my job to the best of my abilities.”

Because the flag was on the team with the lead, officials didn’t restart the game clock until MSU’s next snap.

“The way I understand the rule is whoever doesn’t have the penalty is going to be the team that benefits,” Dantonio said. “It won’t benefit the team that the penalty is against. So if it was on us, the clock would not run. If it had been on them, the clock would have run. And if they would have been ahead of us (on the scoreboard), the clock would have run. That’s the way I understand it. That’s the way the rule was interpreted to me on the field.”

DANTONIO UNPLUGGED

“I think the keys to the game really, after I watched the film, from an offensive perspective -- zero turnovers, and we were not sacked,” Dantonio said. “When we got in the red zone we went 2-for-2 on touchdowns.

“Obviously we didn’t have the production we wanted to have, had the one dropped pass in the second quarter, but we had bad field position and the weather and everything else in the second half.

“But those are the key components. Quarterback being able to create and scramble for a touchdown and then a couple times for yardage, getting first downs. No turnovers, no sacks.

“Basically a great football game. I thought our guys played extremely wel. Obviously some things we want to change to better ourselves. But just a great win, great bus ride home and right now we’re 4-1, 2-0 in the conference and we need to look forward.”

THE AFTERGLOW

Dantonio was asked about the celebration in the hours and day that followed Michigan State’s eighth victory over Michigan in the last 10 years.

Did he have time to appreciate the win?

“Well, a little bit Sunday morning before we came in to work, but we got home at about 2 o’clock in the morning,” Dantonio said. “But just the ride itself - nothing important on the ride, it’s just sitting sort of with yourself and collecting yourself.”

Michigan passed for 198 yards against Michigan State, but completed less than 50 percent of its passes while doing so (16-of-35) and threw three interceptions.

Michigan State came out of the game ranked No. 2 in the nation in pass efficiency defense.

Spartan cornerbacks Justin Layne and Josiah Scott have settled in as team strengths. Tyson Smith and Josh Butler have been assets earlier in the season but haven’t played as much lately.

Meanwhile, sophomore David Dowell emerged as a starting safety for the Iowa game, and came forward as a difference-maker against Michigan.

“I thought our safeties played very, very well,” Dantonio said. “David (Dowell) also had some tackles and a pass break-up, obviously was on the front end of three turnovers. So huge plays.

“Khari (Willis) played very well. Tracked a guy down on the reverse, tracked another guy down one time, just ran him down. So he played extremely well.

“Our defense obviously kept us in the game. We were difficult to run on after the first series. We really only gave up one explosive play, and they fumbled on that one, the pass play. So when you’re talking about 20-yard passes, we gave up zero; and 15-yard runs, we gave up zero. So we come away with five turnovers and did not give up the big plays. Good things start to happen.”


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Michigan State effectively changed between zone and man-to-man, forcing to Michigan quarterback John O’Korn to holding the ball too long in the pocket at times, leading coverage sacks and pressures.

“I thought we pressured the quarterback,” Dantonio said. “He didn’t have a lot of time. And we pressured him into mistakes, and then we had four sacks as well.

“Our safeties played very well. Obviously Joe Bachie continues to play very well. We got good play out of our defensive front. I thought Josiah Scott and Justin Layne played very solid, too.”

BACHIE, PLAYER OF THE WEEK

Bachie was named Big Ten Defensive Player of the Week. He had a team-high 10 tackles, marking the third time he has reached double digits.

Bachie had an 11-yard sack in the second quarter. He forced a fumble on Michigan’s second offensive series of the game, a play that was arguably the turning point of the game. That fumble set up Michigan State’s go-ahead touchdown drive at 7-3, and changed the tenor of the game.

He recorded the first interception of his career on the second play of the fourth quarter. On that play, he showed lateral movement, quick burst and seemed to have knowledge of where the receiver was headed as O’Korn attempted the pass. From there, Bachie made a diving catch that would make a tight end proud.

On the game’s final play, Bachie commanded air space in the end zone, and high-pointed the ball for a pass-break-up. He put himself in the optimal place to play the pass, and out-jumped the crowd.

FROSH RETURN MEN

Michigan State has a pair of promising return men in true freshman Laress Nelson and Andre Welch. But each player made mistakes in the second half, causing Michigan State to begin its first two drives of the second half inside the Spartan 5-yard line.

Welch bobbled the opening kickoff of the second half, sending him on a lateral trek, which led to a holding penalty by a teammate.

Nelson muffed a punt, which rolled inside the 5-yard line before he covered it.

Dantonio indicated that both players will remain in their roles, although Nelson was replaced by Darrell Stewart late in the Michigan game.

“Laress has done a good job back there,” Dantonio said. “We want to continue to help him grow in that area. But the circumstances were tough. You know, he’s not playing all the time on offense, he’s in and out a little bit, but not all the time.

“He’s not caught six balls in 30 games, he’s a freshman. So that was difficult.

“Same with Andre Welch. On the back end, he bobbled the one when he did catch it at the goal line.

“So those are some of the things we have to look at and there’s growing pains as we go. Some of those things we have to make decisions on obviously.

“But (it was) not a perfect game on our part, just not a perfect game. At the end of the game, I felt like time could’ve been taken off and obviously we didn’t get that happening with the penalty call. So we live and we learn, but we got through it.”

DotComp: Don't act surprised

DotComp: Don't act surprised
Jim Comparoni | Publisher

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This was, without a doubt, Michigan State’s biggest win … in seven days.

Oh sure, I get it. Beating Michigan is a delicious thing for Spartan fans, and Spartan players - and it should be, considering the maize circus that in-state fans have to live through all year, and the things Spartan players may have heard us saying about them over the last few months, if they were listening.

I understand why Mark Dantonio raised his hand almost as high as he could when asked where this win ranks.

“It’s up there,” he said. “Way up there.”

This is a guy with wins at the Rose Bowl, the Cotton Bowl and two Big Ten Championship Games. He’s the only guy with those bullet points on a coaching resumé. Ever.

Yet this win over the erstwhile No. 7-ranked team in the nation ranks that high for Dantonio?

Today, yes. By November, who knows?

Back in 2011 when Michigan State punked Michigan 28-14, an excited Kirk Cousinsloudly proclaimed that he and his posse would forever be able to “walk the streets,” having gone 4-0 against the Wolverines in their careers.

That was a big win. Many were picking against the Spartans prior to that game, as they always do. And that seemed like a high moment, about as high as someone could reach while sitting down.

But back in 2011, Cousins still had big games to play, such as the skull-smashing 37-31 victory over No. 4- ranked Wisconsin, a mental-hurdle win at Iowa, a Legends Division-clinching win at Northwestern, and then a landmark victory over Georgia at the Outback Bowl.

Where did the win over Michigan end up ranking that year?

Meh.

Exactly.

Michigan looked good in the funny papers last week, and the week before, and throughout the summer and spring - which is when they’ve been at their best, for half a century. No one is keeping score at that time of year, but somehow they always claim victory, and are granted victory, whether at home or in Rome.

Then another season starts. And at some point, reality sets in that Michigan has won half as many national championships in the last 65 years as Brigham Young.

And this morning, in Wolverine fiefdom, some are whispering for the first time that maybe the king has no robe.

Spartan fans have been hearing for three years that football’s greatest coach was going to return Michigan to its glory years - although no one will actually recognize a return to glory-years football, if and when it happens at Michigan, because no one alive today remembers 1933.

Meanwhile, Spartan fans were enjoying actual progress toward a return of glory years football in late December of 2014 when their team’s victory over Baylor in the Cotton Bowl was upstaged back home by a press conference announcing Harbaugh’s hiring. Dantonio fielded questions about Harbaugh’s hiring while in Dallas.

Dantonio skillfully answered while giving respect, back then, in Dallas. In truth, it ticked him off. But it also motivated him to continue to dog the program for which he bears a black mark on his soul. (His words).

What bothers him about Michigan?

“Just watch the during warm-ups,” he said back then. “Just watch. I tell our guys that are new to this (rivalry) that it won’t take more than a few minutes around it to see what it’s about. Just watch.”

So I watched again, on Saturday, looking for something inflammatory during the warm-up. I didn’t see anything. Maybe that chapter is done.

Dantonio is still driven like crazy to beat Michigan, and he’s certainly annoyed by the circus that we on the outside make of the Wolverines any time they belch or pass gas. But I don’t think Dantonio is bothered by the people inside the Michigan program like he used to be. However, that hasn’t altered his success against them.

Dantonio is 8-3 against Michigan, exceeding the promise he made the day he was hired that his teams would “measure up” against the Wolverines.

They’ve done better than measure up. On Saturday, they once again stuffed a sock in college football’s paper-program loudmouth.

But by November, if Michigan has lost to Penn State, Ohio State and Wisconsin, this win over an eventual 8-4 (or worse) Wolverine team might not register any greater than MSU’s win over Iowa … seven days ago.

'IT'S SO ENCOURAGING'

Michigan is pretty good. Iowa is pretty good. If those teams played next week, who you got? Flip a coin and plant a flag.

Michigan has great starting unit on defense, and has a chance to become a terrific team this year. But the Wolverines have had a chance to improve every day since their over-glorified victory against Florida on Sept. 2. And they haven’t come very far.

The Wolverines toiled with Air Force and Purdue for too long. Michigan State players watched film of those games and felt they could and should beat Michigan. They felt they could and should win, if they played well in all areas.

As it turned out, they played well in most areas. And played well enough, overall.

That’s why when the Hail Mary pass hit the turf, incomplete, Spartan players jogged and smiled and celebrated.

But they didn’t run and scream and cry.

Michigan State was the better team. Not by much. But Michigan State didn’t need to play a perfect game and conjure up superstar efforts to stage a miracle.

The Spartans just tackled, covered, protected the ball, punted it back to Michigan in the rain and said, “Try to beat us.”

Some day, Michigan State will play a Big Ten team good enough to take that challenge and beat the Spartans. By that time, the Spartans hope to be better than they are today, and present tougher challenges to coming opponents.

It’s kind of methodical, simple process. But we’ve seen them trek through the autumn like this before, so unremarkable, but somehow consistent. In the past, they have racked up wins like recycled cans. And they might be at it again.

“In my mind, that’s the best defense we’re going to see,” said senior center Brian Allen.“It’s so encouraging because we are not even close to playing our best football yet."

The Spartan offense was stuck in neutral for most of the second half, due to beginning their first two drives of the third quarter inside their 5-yard line.

When questioned about playing conservative, Dantonio interrupted: “No, we played smart with the weather.”

Michigan State went three-and-out (or four-and-out) on its first seven drives of the second half.

"We didn’t gamble too much," Dantonio said. "We didn’t go down the field with the ball at all in the second half because of the weather. It was blowing out there, and wet. So everything was intermediate. We tried to run the ball and take the clock as much as we could and make them beat us on defense.”

People will recite those struggles as proof that Michigan State somehow wasn’t deserving of victory.

Meanwhile, Michigan’s offense went three-and-out, interception, interception, interception, three-and-out, and three-and-out on six of its first seven drives of the second half.

Meanwhile, Michigan’s offense went three-and-out, interception, interception, interception, three-and-out, and three-and-out on six of its first seven drives of the second half.

But, you see, Michigan State deserves zero credit for those stoppages. The interceptions were all Michigan’s fault. They weren’t of Michigan State’s doing.

Booger Harbaugh didn’t even mention the words “Michigan State” in the four or so minutes of his press conference that appeared on Michigan’s official athletics site. He offered no credit to the winning team, no compliments for Michigan State’s coaches, or defense, or band, or mascot or anything.

Typical. Harbaugh has the maturity of a fourth-grader, at times.

Dantonio? When given a softball question about going 8-3 against Michigan, the Spartan head coach turned it into a compliment for the opponent.

“Is this win validation for what you’ve done in the past?” someone asked Dantonio.

“I don’t know,” Dantonio said. “We’ve done it eight times. So I don’t know why there’s a lot of doubt.

“We’ll do it again or somebody else will do it again at some point in time.

“For this year, that’s the way it went down. It doesn’t mean it’s going to happen next year.

“They have a very good football team. They are extremely, extremely well-coached. They ran 40 different formations in the first half. 40. So they are an extremely well-coached football team with great talent, but we have some guys too.”

No one is pretending that the Spartans played a perfect game.

“We made some mistakes there that drive you crazy, but we survived them,” Dantonio said. “Every time we got a turnover, we got a penalty which made it just seem like a punt, and set us back.

“We hurt ourselves sometimes. But also, we found a way to win and I think that’s what good teams do.

“We’re becoming a good team. I don’t know if we’re there yet but we’re 4-1.”

THE PROPER PATH

It was a big win, partly because of the low expectations these Spartan had. They can enjoy a victory like this, and accept it for what it is, and realize there is way more work to do, because it’s not like Michigan State to stump for September Heismans and clamber for better computer rankings than thou.

It was amusing to once again defeat the team that had been climbing the trees, doing the can-opening dives and crying for attention every day of the non-football calendar year.

That’s where college football is different from all the other organized religions of the world. Winning a game and improving to 4-1 is cute and all. But, let’s be real, half of the fun is beating the rival back down to the truth. The truth in Ann Arbor this morning is that 8-4 probably won’t wear well in khaki. And 2-8 against Mr. Dantonio since 2008 seems less than valiant.

But that stuff is just the icing.

The cake, the real satisfaction for Michigan State this weekend comes via the self-validation of what’s been going on within their own walls. And that's what Dantonio was getting at, when he reached his hand high to signify where this win ranks with him.

It wasn't just the win. It was the journey.

This win, these four wins, the brand of football required to win them, the improved pass rush, the updated pass defense, the return of a disciplined run defense, the expanded defensive repertoire, the quality pass protection, the improved red zone play design, the return of team football not just on Saturdays, but every hour of every day … they’re all part of the validation that everything dictated by Dantonio, since the Monday after last Thanksgiving, through winter conditioning, every edict and decision Dantonio made through the spring and summer and fall camp, all set the Michigan State program on the proper path to today.

The proper path.

“Our biggest thing coming into this season was restoring the attitude that this program used to have,” Allen said. “We haven’t played our best football yet, but you see guys playing to the whistle, you see guys finishing, you see guys cheering each other on.

“Laress Nelson drops that punt, and you’ve got five guys out there telling him, ‘Hey man, no one cares. Keep your head up and we’re moving.’

“Guys made mistakes all night; guys are picking each other up. (We are) so much closer, so much more of a team. It’s just that attitude that we’re not going to accept losing, we’re going to keep going. It’s nice to see that in action. We’ve talked about it from November on, but we’re doing it now. So it’s cool to see.”

The rest of us had to wait until Saturday’s big reveal in Ann Arbor to get a true handle on the progress that’s been made.

“We battled some adversity last year,” Dantonio said. “We had some things going. Obviously we needed to bounce back. We made a commitment to do that as a program and a football team way back in the spring. We had some different things going on in the second semester as well, but I knew that we would rally up and I knew that our football team and our program would basically come back to the top.

“That’s what we’re trying to do. We’re just trying to go step by step.”

There’s validation that Michigan State is back as the best team in the state, back as a player in the Big Ten East, which means a player in the Big Ten, which means a player in everything. And validation that Dantonio’s blueprint for success still works, and is still in place, with a roster stocked with sophomores.

Harbaugh is now 1-2 against Dantonio. Don’t bring up Michigan’s record against it’s two main rivals over the last 10 or 15 years. And Michigan, for the first time since late December of 2014, might not want to talk about the future, either.

If you can’t get above .500 against Michigan State this year, if you can’t beat the Spartans this year, when is Michigan going to do it? Next year in East Lansing when Lewerke and most of the offensive line and key receivers get a year older and become … juniors? Next year when 90 percent of the playing group on defense returns? Next year, when the Spartans have spent an extra 365 days on Dantonio’s re-proven path?

Today, and throughout the week, anti-MSU factions might say this game was ugly, and that Michigan State didn’t win it as much as Michigan gave it to them.

Michigan has never actually lost a game, you see. It’s usually the fault of a crowned field, or poor officiating, or a bad Wolverine coach on his way out, or a bad quarterback who shouldn’t be on the field. It’s never, ever the opponent that is responsible for a Wolverine loss.

And that’s part of the circus that hits you in your religion. But it’s also amusing.

The game was ugly? Not to a Spartan fan. This game pitted two of the top five defenses in America, with almost half of the game played in 20-plus mile an hour winds and driving rain. What did you expect, Holiday on Ice? Shut up. This is Midwestern football, and Dantonio is becoming its new face.


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